Mls · resolved market
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8975d914f63b24e8d9aed9fe672337a79cc0328bccc99792086662345a2451e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $233,041
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $243,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $233,041 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed No | 55c | 98,120$53,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,588.69 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Yes | 44c | 34,176$15,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,069.61 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 23,738$16,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,417.52 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 44c | 22,562$10,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,026.65 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Yes | 44c | 21,612$9,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,509.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 36c | 15,000$5,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,356.63 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked No | 23c | 9,546$2,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,338.74 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +20.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…191dbacked Yes | 48c | 8,248$3,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,958.9 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed No | 55c | 7,891$4,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,567.23 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 53c | 6,163$3,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,874 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Yes | 48c | 5,597$2,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,681.76 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked No | 56c | 3,575$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.51 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e01…0875backed No | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.43 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed No | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.43 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 45c | 3,485$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.95 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 46c | 2,691$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.36 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 51c | 2,401$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.42 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 43c | 2,318$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.64 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Yes | 52c | 2,296$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.66 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 45c | 1,774$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.45 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 18c | 1,758$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.57 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed No | 56c | 1,748$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.21 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Yes | 44c | 1,705$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Yes | 8c | 1,354$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.1 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 45c | 1,265$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.55 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 45c | 1,265$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.55 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 45c | 1,265$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.55 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 45c | 1,123$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.36 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…f8dfbacked Yes | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Yes | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed No | 48c | 906.64$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.07 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 68c | 889.8$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.74 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 48c | 833.34$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 61c | 801.69$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.31 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 69c | 770.84$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.65 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed No | 49c | 754.01$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.34 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed No | 45c | 722.16$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.86 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed Yes | 44c | 720.45$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 38c | 709.85$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.04 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 62c | 674.24$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.02 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 45c | 647.23$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.63 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Yes | 47c | 638.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…b0b8backed Yes | 40c | 630$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 47c | 556.3$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.07 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 20c | 506.34$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.37 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 66c | 477.69$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.46 | 190 | 73.7%140 W · 50 L | +18.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Yes | 44c | 471$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.24 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 48c | 466.41$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.49 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 44c | 438.74$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.04 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee13…8bc5backed Yes | 14c | 427.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 47c | 425.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed Yes | 50c | 410$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.17 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 9cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 50c | 321.62$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.81 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 71c | 309$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.24 | 126 | 67.5%85 W · 41 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 49c | 290.16$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 45c | 279$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.74 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 34c | 271.41$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.68 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed Yes | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 16c | 248.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Yes | 49c | 244.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 19c | 236.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 39c | 233.43$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.16 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 57c | 228.37$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.19 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 49c | 219.97$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.18 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 77c | 217.1$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 55c | 214.3$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.86 | 70 | 74.3%52 W · 18 L | +9.4wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +39%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…2bd2backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Yes | 44c | 207.5$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.3 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 17c | 205.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec1…63cbbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 23c | 199$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe5…d4bfbacked No | 53c | 196.92$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2175…e56bbacked No | 71c | 196.2$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4448…90dabacked No | 71c | 196.03$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc10…818abacked No | 53c | 193.8$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 50c | 189.4$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.86 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e48…598ebacked No | 53c | 184.05$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d3…3661backed No | 53c | 184.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5690…2c93backed No | 53c | 183.73$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4c…ca47backed No | 53c | 183.26$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…70e5backed No | 53c | 182.69$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ae…dbe2backed No | 53c | 182.68$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 71c | 178.77$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.09 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbea8…80c3backed No | 71c | 177.56$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 51c | 176.47$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -7.4wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -41%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5a…c43cbacked No | 71c | 175.5$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa565…2bd0backed No | 53c | 174.49$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5812…90a9backed No | 71c | 172.4$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…61f7backed No | 53c | 169.8$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked Yes | 15c | 166$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Yes | 38c | 159.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 29c | 157.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Yes | 47c | 150.7$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.83 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Yes | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Toronto FC win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will Austin FC win on 2026-04-18?No won
- Will Toronto FC vs. Austin FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.