TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6733…acb9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
314
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT8450%42 W · 42 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 84 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$25.27
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49.56
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.41
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+138.8%+$63.31
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+83.4%+$26.33
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.87
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+81.1%+$24.77
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$46.98
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.1
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+192.5%+$67.72
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+59%+$40.46
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.26
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.87
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)backed Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+67%+$14.41
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$34.23
Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.74
Athletics vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$33.95
Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+137.9%+$43.74
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.75
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+85.8%+$39.43
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.76
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$32.32
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.43
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.74
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.87
Showing 25 of 84 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT7856.4%44 W · 34 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+25.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+89.1%+$167.95
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+96.7%+$10.19
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$26.77
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+118.2%+$83.73
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$40.64
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.75
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.3
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.74
Spread: Thunder (-17.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+97.9%+$106.82
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$531Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$531.4
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.14
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.38
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.89
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+86%+$17.13
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+105.6%+$222.99
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+100.9%+$216.58
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+104.6%+$17.92
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 209.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.85
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+181.4%+$126.69
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+94.5%+$209.4
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+104.8%+$188.5
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+98.2%+$56.05
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+91%+$68.86
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$56.05
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+107.9%+$234.16
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT2951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-2.5)backed Middlesbrough FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.65
Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)backed Middlesbrough FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.4
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+100.2%+$122.95
Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.75
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+79.5%+$101.71
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+169.2%+$296.07
AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.58
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.37
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.27
Stoke City FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.42
Leicester City FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.41
Coventry City FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.89
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.08
Crystal Palace FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+93.1%+$37.88
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$11.99
Crystal Palace FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+131.6%+$68.85
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$42.12
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+110.2%+$18.8
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$505.74
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$955Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$954.57
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$34.6
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+106.6%+$110.35
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+186.9%+$19.34
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+76.4%+$97.85
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT2722.2%6 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 58-59°F on April 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.55
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.99
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.71
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on April 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.46
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on April 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.79
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.66
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+877.4%+$337.58
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on April 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$21.43
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on April 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.38
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 57°F or below on April 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+82.5%+$134.96
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on April 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+70.7%+$20.18
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on April 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.56
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.69
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.93
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.55
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.05
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.04
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$19.38
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.21
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 55°F or below on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.72
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.2
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+834.6%+$249.71
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.92
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 35°F or below on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.01
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.8
Penguins vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.76
Kings vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$11.73
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$11.71
Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.59
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+36%+$5.06
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.21
Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$45.93
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.27
Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.86
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.72
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.69
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+92.2%+$123.86
Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.07
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.77
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+111.7%+$25.52
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$23.04
Blues vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.68
All 18 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Columbus Crew (-1.5)backed Columbus Crew · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.85
Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.63
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.55
Houston Dynamo vs. San Diego FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.61
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+54%+$15.1
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.97
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.66
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.07
Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+72.2%+$81.94
Will New York City FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+109.6%+$108.93
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+135.9%+$48.71
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$29.62
Will Austin FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10.78
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.13
All 15 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.49
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.62
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.06
UFC Fight Night: Julia Polastri vs. Talita Alencar (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Julia Polastri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.56
UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Mike Malott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$8.6
UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Charles Jourdain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+79.4%+$382.72
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.36
UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Jai Herbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+152.1%+$80.55
UFC Fight Night: Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Gauge Young · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$316.62
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.53
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+138.2%+$99.64
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$6.39
UFC Fight Night: JJ Aldrich vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Jamey-Lyn Horth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.16
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick60cpaid+50.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+30.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-59.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+57.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+50.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$48.2
SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+81.6%+$63.02
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)backed Cagliari Calcio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.68
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$52.28
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$11.06
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.04
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.