TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 209.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,441
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,736

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,441 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6204…0b06backed Over49c13,271$6,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,496.374134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under51c12,239$6,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,996.9856646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Over51c10,784$5,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,549.066043.3%26 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under46c10,629$4,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,729.161,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Under47c6,882$3,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,647.4916547.3%78 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+56.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Over56c4,997$2,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,798.551,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Under51c4,996$2,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,448.4238434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over49c4,912$2,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,406.8629748.1%143 W · 154 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Under51c4,758$2,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,331.3410553.3%56 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Under50c3,655$1,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,827.4724942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over50c3,600$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8002,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over49c3,005$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,472.5221653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under51c2,142$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.651,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over1c1,940$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9431222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over52c1,902$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.826233.9%21 W · 41 L-7.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd4b0…039dbacked Over58c1,695$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.251428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over18c1,682$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.81,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over54c1,624$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.2693148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over49c1,589$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.291,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb1f…6a93backed Over49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.82138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Over54c880$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.26237.1%23 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf01…6e5bbacked Under49c853.98$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over8c811.54$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.492,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over49c750.14$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.571,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Under52c748.07$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.077150.7%36 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Over7c696.84$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4520744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb307…be4abacked Under49c695.33$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.0518842.6%80 W · 108 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over50c645.57$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.2215543.2%67 W · 88 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Over9c581.24$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4614438.9%56 W · 88 L+32.5wins+0.23per pick16cpaid+228.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Over65c575.81$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.419937.2%74 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Over49c543.46$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.2925846.9%121 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x164d…50c0backed Under51c537.92$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.464257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Under55c531.58$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.710457.7%60 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68e9…7a6abacked Over53c465.73$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.841631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under49c421.8$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.5389850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over49c395.65$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.873348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34de…8e6bbacked Over52c370.03$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.332962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+31.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under46c363.92$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.762,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e3…c8dcbacked Under49c299.31$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.942065%13 W · 7 L+4.8wins+0.24per pick41cpaid+57%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Over50c291.94$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.4931151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34ca…9de7backed Under43c280.76$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.039558.9%56 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd69d…fe68backed Over12c263.87$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.177316.4%12 W · 61 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick17cpaid+1,317.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under51c242.65$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.91,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over38c204.86$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.211,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfe8…3684backed Over51c198.53$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.252231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Under78c198.47$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2211757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over28c195.37$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1433556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under60c195.18$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.071,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba81…dc35backed Under49c183.69$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.684252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d6a…26f7backed Under52c183.59$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.131145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+37.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bb7…4a53backed Under52c175.36$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.171040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+32.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d1f…48a4backed Over66c148.42$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9610948.6%53 W · 56 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55a3…fd93backed Under66c147.91$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.022846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under51c144.56$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.8466352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2aae…16e6backed Under39c134.07$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.2612458.9%73 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over51c114.12$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.753,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9c7…7ddebacked Over65c103.25$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.57825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under54c99.99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4624955.8%139 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a56…695bbacked Under45c97.31$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.525352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2afc…997cbacked Under51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.635850%29 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe961…c32bbacked Under51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6311459.6%68 W · 46 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Under50c94.98$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.4913047.7%62 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c99…d91abacked Under51c91.24$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.712437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Under44c87.26$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.625360.1%152 W · 101 L+26.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf61c…9ad2backed Over49c79.53$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9770%0 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdd9f…5734backed Under71c76$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Over51c64.77$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3114359.4%85 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddf2…8bf0backed Over59c62.26$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.735947.5%28 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over54c58.39$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3687049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa827…aeedbacked Over65c56.62$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.62425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f3…fda3backed Under52c56.03$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.89944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Under36c55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3511253.6%60 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74cb…636cbacked Under37c52.68$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.44450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+28%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Under40c49.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under49c48.47$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7227138.7%105 W · 166 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Under51c43.02$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1259255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a29…836dbacked Over50c42.47$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2320%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5eb9…1ae2backed Over49c39.75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfec0…f051backed Over49c39.57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.391546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed Under47c39.38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6848146.2%222 W · 259 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Under34c39.18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8621640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc789…7972backed Under50c38.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.416146.6%75 W · 86 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe89e…5d8fbacked Over50c38.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.47537.3%28 W · 47 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee41…d845backed Under51c38.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.654351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Under51c37.85$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6215662.8%98 W · 58 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over59c37$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8378639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4db7…1cabbacked Over53c36.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.445650%28 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c26…1694backed Over53c36.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.442653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8380…b151backed Under55c35.51$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0515056%84 W · 66 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Over59c34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0631238.5%120 W · 192 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over59c34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0680440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5081…e5acbacked Over52c33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1620055.5%111 W · 89 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcde4…aa62backed Under41c31.83$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.782231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-46%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x08f6…cd51backed Under48c30.28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.745641.1%23 W · 33 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3092…789abacked Under51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.75666.1%37 W · 19 L+7.3wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+23.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over46c29.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.652,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over52c29.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1545251.1%231 W · 221 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6733…acb9backed Over50c25.51$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.857856.4%44 W · 34 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+25.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1be0…dc27backed Under51c24.74$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1215853.8%85 W · 73 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.