NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39a53a3e5ff0626c65a8de72a004e692c98db12fd9c24bedb6d23d3328e93ca3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $357,767
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $357,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $357,767 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 281 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 99,721$50,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,247.27 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Under | 49c | 49,856$24,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,426.75 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over | 52c | 38,031$19,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,776.12 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Under | 48c | 22,903$10,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,909.55 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 48c | 20,648$9,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,760 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Under | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,399.93 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 60c | 19,556$11,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,697.79 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 19c | 13,831$2,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,694.65 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 47c | 11,281$5,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,978.12 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Under | 45c | 8,851$3,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,882.63 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Under | 50c | 8,033$4,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,016.25 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25e0…2f07backed Under | 50c | 7,539$3,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,769.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 7c | 6,769$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.68 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked Under | 50c | 6,725$3,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,362.25 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -7.1wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Over | 52c | 6,044$3,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,143 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9b…897ebacked Under | 51c | 5,586$2,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,737 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 42c | 5,253$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210.3 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…31e2backed Under | 50c | 4,531$2,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,265.64 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Under | 43c | 4,493$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560.74 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Under | 38c | 4,002$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,481.24 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9e…de51backed Over | 54c | 3,966$2,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 50c | 3,947$1,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,973.5 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 51c | 3,332$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.16 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 43c | 3,294$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.34 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 49c | 3,266$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.64 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Over | 60c | 3,110$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853.73 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Under | 52c | 3,108$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.76 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Over | 52c | 3,108$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.08 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 46c | 2,941$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.6 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 51c | 2,715$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.22 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 2,500$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.44 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…dbe6backed Under | 59c | 2,428$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.49 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 51c | 2,407$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.52 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 56c | 2,302$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 2,160$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.17 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 47c | 2,015$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.86 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Under | 50c | 1,999$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.54 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 38c | 1,972$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.8 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7048…282dbacked Over | 52c | 1,950$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.58 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 1c | 1,940$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77e8…6854backed Under | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 38c | 1,932$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.05 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 52c | 1,845$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.73 | 272 | 46.7%127 W · 145 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 49c | 1,841$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.88 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Over | 4c | 1,729$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.84 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Over | 52c | 1,709$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.46 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Under | 33c | 1,641$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.53 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Over | 52c | 1,545$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.44 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 48c | 1,512$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.33 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 52c | 1,483$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.11 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 52c | 1,457$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.54 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Over | 24c | 1,419$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.46 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 54c | 1,350$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.97 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed Over | 7c | 1,349$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.42 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 46c | 1,331$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.32 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb23b…503fbacked Over | 52c | 1,139$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Under | 50c | 1,137$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.42 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…f3d0backed Over | 53c | 1,133$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.55 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Over | 52c | 1,121$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.72 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 52c | 1,092$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.93 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 50c | 1,090$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.06 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 1,030$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.93 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 47c | 1,009$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.05 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…2650backed Over | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Over | 71c | 982.6$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.65 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…2217backed Over | 51c | 970.59$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.81 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Under | 58c | 935.31$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.04 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 52c | 933.85$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.6 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Under | 48c | 898.16$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.04 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 52c | 896.59$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.22 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 49c | 887.54$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.03 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over | 50c | 776$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb7…d613backed Under | 49c | 760.6$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.91 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 48c | 750.15$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.08 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 52c | 747.08$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.48 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 47c | 714.45$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.61 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 46c | 711.46$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.42 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Over | 52c | 680.81$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.02 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…d31abacked Under | 69c | 665.64$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.19 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 51c | 650.58$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.97 | 348 | 50.9%177 W · 171 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5760…40aabacked Over | 51c | 630.92$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.11 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6048…2711backed Over | 28c | 616.5$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.22 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Over | 51c | 565.67$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.27 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…e77abacked Under | 50c | 561$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.5 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664f…d100backed Under | 44c | 532.54$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.42 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 49c | 530.99$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.11 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Over | 11c | 499.01$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.63 | 355 | 31.8%113 W · 242 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 10c | 492.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.06 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Over | 52c | 485.6$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x665c…e2b9backed Over | 5c | 471.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Over | 52c | 466.92$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.8 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 52c | 461.64$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.54 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Under | 44c | 429.08$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.29 | 249 | 49%122 W · 127 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Over | 49c | 421.39$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.48 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 40c | 412$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.2 | 272 | 45.6%124 W · 148 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…325bbacked Under | 48c | 404.27$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Lakers won
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Luke Kennard: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Luke Kennard: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Rockets vs. LakersLakers won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 100.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 101.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 205.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 206.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 207.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 209.5Under won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.