TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x664f…d100

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT4231%13 W · 29 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-35.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.27
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.98
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+140.5%+$196.68
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$27.5
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.28
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.37
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.18
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.76
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.47
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+97.8%+$284.64
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.12
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$48.5
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$88.19
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.14
Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.19
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-39.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66%+$13.2
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.12
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$22.19
All 10 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cardinals vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$125
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 21?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.