AI · resolved market
Grokipedia released by October 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1eecefb21081705cb8b89061558098593f07793a42bd0e055a9a613f5fd70ed6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,152,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,071,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,152,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 587 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked No | 0c | 65,030$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.93 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -65%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb71b…e131backed No | 0c | 45,740$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed No | 2c | 33,580$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.48 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1e…fc17backed No | 0c | 20,040$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fa…27c2backed No | 0c | 19,380$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 16c | 19,060$3,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,135.29 | 190 | 11.6%22 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 0c | 18,329$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.84 | 149 | 1.3%2 W · 147 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 6c | 17,132$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.37 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…e67ebacked No | 0c | 15,228$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ce…7f27backed No | 0c | 13,333$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2069…c7cfbacked No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd783…ec1ebacked No | 1c | 9,698$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…4ca0backed No | 3c | 9,232$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.55 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed No | 7c | 7,981$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.12 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68d…c60dbacked No | 0c | 7,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…58b0backed No | 0c | 7,374$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x998d…b62cbacked No | 1c | 7,089$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a4…996dbacked Yes | 52c | 6,871$3,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,311.09 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb473…fb6bbacked No | 0c | 6,769$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 8c | 6,532$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.93 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed No | 1c | 6,022$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f2c0backed No | 1c | 6,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed No | 1c | 5,869$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.12 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a0…8a19backed No | 2c | 5,473$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.48 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4181…de86backed No | 5c | 5,200$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 88 | 15.9%14 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d95…4eb0backed No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97c…55b2backed No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c7…be40backed No | 1c | 4,862$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed No | 8c | 4,710$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.14 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4081…cfb0backed No | 1c | 4,700$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 7c | 4,696$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.3 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 15c | 4,350$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.94 | 204 | 18.6%38 W · 166 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f90…9635backed No | 6c | 4,052$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked No | 16c | 3,946$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.11 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -88.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ee…df72backed No | 2c | 3,885$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.28 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked No | 69c | 3,870$2,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,668.05 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 63c | 3,848$2,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.95 | 257 | 31.5%81 W · 176 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b51…5868backed No | 26c | 3,822$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.35 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked No | 17c | 3,764$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.02 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…5f13backed Yes | 63c | 3,480$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac28…b1a5backed No | 2c | 3,437$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…9270backed No | 1c | 3,323$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9d…f9febacked No | 2c | 3,310$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc158…f3cabacked No | 30c | 3,000$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.37 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d83…0bb9backed No | 1c | 3,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd788…f375backed No | 7c | 2,978$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…658ebacked Yes | 71c | 2,973$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.81 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d1…1e37backed No | 23c | 2,778$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed No | 17c | 2,691$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.87 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +59%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed No | 5c | 2,654$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed No | 10c | 2,609$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.79 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4242…f42ebacked No | 2c | 2,600$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb5…7588backed No | 1c | 2,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…52f1backed Yes | 66c | 2,448$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef3…5fdabacked No | 5c | 2,297$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed No | 2c | 2,211$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +166.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 2c | 2,100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 39c | 2,089$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.15 | 126 | 36.5%46 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 2,074$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.66 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked No | 1c | 2,010$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc766…dababacked No | 2c | 2,005$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x543c…edabbacked No | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 6c | 2,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5af9…1f82backed No | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7799…ad20backed Yes | 75c | 1,985$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.46 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 69c | 1,955$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.31 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 10c | 1,949$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.32 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x030f…ffefbacked No | 46c | 1,912$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 54c | 1,875$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3d…d571backed No | 5c | 1,860$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1363…2838backed No | 1c | 1,848$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30b2…9e25backed No | 4c | 1,803$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed No | 5c | 1,800$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.7 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d05…39dbbacked No | 12c | 1,799$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed No | 8c | 1,773$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.99 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…3c4dbacked No | 5c | 1,729$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.15 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe638…ecdabacked No | 1c | 1,725$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked No | 1c | 1,722$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e7…89b4backed Yes | 60c | 1,702$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.27 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6573…ab02backed No | 1c | 1,700$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…addebacked No | 8c | 1,648$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b2…383dbacked No | 2c | 1,630$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab0…955fbacked No | 8c | 1,600$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +33%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b44…264ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,554$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.15 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +4.8wins | +0.32per pick | 28cpaid | +180.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x33c3…ef66backed No | 2c | 1,525$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed No | 17c | 1,508$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…1ab2backed No | 11c | 1,500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.39 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed No | 3c | 1,434$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1589…688bbacked No | 1c | 1,432$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed No | 12c | 1,420$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…b936backed No | 1c | 1,418$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked Yes | 76c | 1,397$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.04 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b78…2637backed No | 1c | 1,376$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 20cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa3…d443backed No | 2c | 1,375$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe17…dd5cbacked No | 13c | 1,350$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2321…268abacked No | 4c | 1,343$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 12c | 1,319$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.88 | 107 | 23.4%25 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2491…2509backed No | 1c | 1,315$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0b…3b3fbacked No | 11c | 1,300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grokipedia released by October 31?this page
- Grokipedia released by December 31?Yes won
- Grokipedia released by November 15?Yes won
- Grokipedia released by November 7?Yes won
- Grokipedia released by October 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.