AI · resolved market
Grokipedia released by December 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ebc8bda584084a30c2943c70e77d24674b130d7193776b32026d297056e8872
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $138,697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 3c | 11,555$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.92 | 190 | 11.6%22 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 1c | 5,500$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 1c | 5,200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 149 | 1.3%2 W · 147 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cef…af02backed No | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcff4…9a75backed No | 7c | 3,725$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 3c | 3,578$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.74 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4649…3c1bbacked No | 5c | 2,876$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 2,792$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.19 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 5c | 2,499$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.87 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00cd…e53ebacked No | 4c | 2,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 3c | 2,063$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.65 | 267 | 4.9%13 W · 254 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4181…de86backed No | 3c | 2,057$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.57 | 88 | 15.9%14 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 21c | 1,984$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.79 | 126 | 36.5%46 W · 80 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fc…1deabacked No | 6c | 1,880$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf311…fe1bbacked No | 1c | 1,860$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked No | 3c | 1,811$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.52 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 3c | 1,799$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd783…ec1ebacked No | 2c | 1,534$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…b63dbacked No | 7c | 1,364$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.36 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9829…ab3fbacked No | 10c | 1,350$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed No | 5c | 1,316$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.77 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a0…8a19backed No | 5c | 1,316$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Yes | 36c | 1,266$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.72 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked No | 3c | 1,122$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b51…5868backed No | 8c | 1,076$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e599backed No | 63c | 1,032$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed No | 15c | 1,004$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.53 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb7…ea3cbacked No | 26c | 908.07$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed No | 10c | 814.97$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.74 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +59%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…af02backed No | 10c | 730$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 5c | 728.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 211 | 0.9%2 W · 209 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Yes | 37c | 666$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 3c | 663$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 183 | 11.5%21 W · 162 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…8d85backed Yes | 68c | 606.28$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.29 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +286.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 15c | 527.64$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.42 | 207 | 31.9%66 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9357…81ddbacked No | 4c | 513.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3336…f823backed No | 15c | 511.42$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +91%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a2…929cbacked No | 4c | 501.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 19c | 481.68$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.25 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf3…d220backed No | 3c | 460.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc14…2e9bbacked No | 68c | 441.58$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…b2e3backed No | 68c | 429.99$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.5 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +85%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked No | 6c | 414.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 243 | 15.2%37 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked No | 3c | 403.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 150 | 2.7%4 W · 146 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29e0…d5b0backed No | 3c | 400.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0699…f15bbacked No | 4c | 400.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf01…a178backed No | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed No | 11c | 391.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4be…3b28backed Yes | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 12c | 375$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…5f13backed Yes | 26c | 319.44$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…7ef9backed No | 4c | 309.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa359…a882backed No | 5c | 308.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -72%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 30c | 299.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19c5…511dbacked No | 3c | 287.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c1…d49bbacked No | 11c | 258.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 36c | 250$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…a35dbacked No | 20c | 247.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe2…3d55backed No | 24c | 247.24$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 73c | 238.38$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.56 | 257 | 31.5%81 W · 176 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d2…2bc6backed No | 8c | 213.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…2835backed No | 10c | 211.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked No | 13c | 204.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c37…a55abacked No | 6c | 201.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b44…264ebacked Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +4.8wins | +0.32per pick | 28cpaid | +180.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…5790backed No | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +191%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed No | 7c | 171.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4c…ea0cbacked Yes | 31c | 151.43$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.1 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…f218backed No | 42c | 149.81$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.17 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca44…6d4ebacked Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc93a…8b69backed Yes | 39c | 126.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 12c | 120$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ff…5e00backed No | 17c | 119.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 20c | 109.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 211 | 25.6%54 W · 157 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked No | 62c | 104.43$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 62c | 101$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 80c | 98.75$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 322 | 28.9%93 W · 229 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab0…955fbacked No | 11c | 95.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +33%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 13c | 91.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 126 | 36.5%46 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed No | 19c | 83.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed No | 62c | 78.39$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb65…b090backed No | 13c | 78.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…c575backed Yes | 74c | 67.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd8…8c69backed Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95a1…7cc7backed No | 15c | 64.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -59%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 20c | 54.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 25c | 49.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57b…73ecbacked Yes | 26c | 42.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33fa…91d3backed Yes | 47c | 42.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x210c…2edabacked Yes | 76c | 38.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…5839backed No | 72c | 35.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a28…0972backed Yes | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…25f7backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94c5…765abacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd8…15c9backed Yes | 66c | 16.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab5…3198backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +75%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grokipedia released by December 31?this page
- Grokipedia released by November 15?Yes won
- Grokipedia released by November 7?Yes won
- Grokipedia released by October 24?No won
- Grokipedia released by October 31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.