TailMyPicks
Wallet0x06ecb7e739f5455922ce57e83284f132c7f0f845Check another

Wallet 0x06ec…f845

Rebuilt .

Summary

Where its weight is

Us Politics

219 of its 521 qualified picks

54out of 100

Above the line at +0.04 per pick.

Its best Category

Ukraine

its best of 23 Categories scored

58out of 100

Above the line at +0.07 per pick.

8 below 50 · 15 at or above · 23 Categories scored

Qualified picks
521
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 58 out of 100; worst NFL at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST21935.2%77 W · 142 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 219 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. collect more than $2t in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$52.54
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$664Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$664
Will the U.S. collect between $1t and $2t in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38.54
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$7,434Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$7,434.13
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$270
Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,252.59
Will Trump lower tariffs on Mexico by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70.38
Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$146.51
Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,468Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+58.4%+$1,442.02
Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,756Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37.2%+$1,771.13
Will None in 2025 occur?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+809.1%+$125.63
Ghislaine Maxwell accuses Trump of sexual misconduct?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$659.85
Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$64.08
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$715Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$714.69
Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$293.3
Trump removed via 25th Amendment in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,011Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,011.18
Will Trump resign in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.15
Will Trump cut taxes on high earners in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$257.23
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.92
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$562Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$561.66
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$312
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$262.03
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,165.89
Will Henry Kissinger be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.3%+$32.67
Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.2
Showing 25 of 219 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT6328.6%18 W · 45 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+59%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$419Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$418.52
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+168.7%+$159.4
X relaunches Vine in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$911Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+57%+$518.88
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,909Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,909.44
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$31.54
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,123Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+96%+$2,037.26
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$146.2
Will Pope Francis be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$480.06
Will Zohran Mamdani be the #2 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$5,311Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+28%+$1,488.97
Will Kanye West / Ye be the #2 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$18.65
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$3,330Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$3,329.84
Will Jimmy Kimmel be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$51.98
Will Diddy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$171.13
Will Sam Altman be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$95.02
Will Kanye West / Ye be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$121.89
Will Vladimir Putin be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$12.82
Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,027Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,026.59
Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$679Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$679.17
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$514Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$513.68
Will Kendrick Lamar rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,739Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$4,739.49
Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$427Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+82.4%+$351.35
Will d4vd rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$8,476Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$8,475.99
Will Elon Musk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$880
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23,320Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+80.2%+$18,698.89
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14,918Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+148.8%+$22,198.85
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST4443.2%19 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick32cpaid-7.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$4,991Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+356.2%+$17,778.86
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$7,114Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+160.4%+$11,408.29
Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$125.7
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$858Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$548.68
Russian strike on Poland by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$891Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$251.02
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,136.71
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14,493Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14,493.07
Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$170
Will Trump say "Patriot" or "Tomahawk" 3+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$32
Another NATO article 4 by October 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.89
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$880
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,392Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+54.8%+$1,858.76
Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+74.4%+$230.98
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$436Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$435.55
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$257.99
India agrees to reduce purchases Russian oil by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$305.54
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 6 and 8 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+28.9%+$74.64
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,261Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,261.15
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$253.36
Will Trump say "Hottest Country" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$142.06
Will Trump say "Marco" or "Rubio" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+100%+$17.45
Will Trump say "Putin" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$526Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+44.3%+$232.93
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" 3+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
Will Trump say "NATO" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.21
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+410.8%+$896.57
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT4429.5%13 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+1,160.6%+$146.38
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$224
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$7,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$7,300
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$205.73
Will FIFA ban or suspend Israel in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.31
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$69.68
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$313.29
Will Donald Trump say "Sanction" 2+ times during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+47.5%+$135.28
Will Donald Trump say "Syria / Syrian" 10+ times during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+43.8%+$13.02
Will Donald Trump say "Eight wars" during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+44.9%+$9.31
Will Donald Trump say "Abraham Accords" during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+60.5%+$190.63
Will Donald Trump say "Erdogan" during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+66.7%+$8
Will Trump praise al-Sharaa on Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$163.47
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$419Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+1,446.2%+$6,063.49
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$708Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+113.2%+$801.93
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$85
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,105Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,105.32
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+300%+$562.5
Israel strike on Iran on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$196.32
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,339.95
Israel strike on Iran on June 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+101.2%+$323.57
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.8
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$724Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$723.86
Israel strike on Iran on June 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+1,150%+$632.16
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST3616.7%6 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick10cpaid-45.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$5,301Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$5,301.43
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$6,793Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$6,793.25
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,491Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$1,491.26
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+566.7%+$483.85
Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+56.3%+$160.2
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,304Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+38.9%+$896
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,900Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+189.5%+$3,599.98
Will Fartcoin hit $1 today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.86
Will Gen Z Quant rug another coin by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.07
Will Kanye launch a coin in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$193.5
Will El Salvador/Bukele launch a memecoin before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will Kanye West launch his own blockchain before April? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$156.96
Will Kanye meet with Ansem by next Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+468.9%+$143.84
Will Kanye launch a coin by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$51.79
Will Portnoy launch $greed3 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$108.73
Will another country launch a memecoin in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$131.38
Will the market cap of $LIBRA (FDV) be between $500m and $1b on Feb 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$26.5
Will the market cap of $LIBRA (FDV) be less than $500m on Feb 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Will the market cap of $LIBRA (FDV) be between $3b and $3.5b on Feb 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$23.13
Will the market cap of $LIBRA (FDV) be between $4.5b and $5b on Feb 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$28.66
Will the market cap of $LIBRA (FDV) be more than $5b on Feb 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$24.69
Will the market cap of $LIBRA (FDV) be between $2b and $2.5b on Feb 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$16.48
Will the market cap of $LIBRA (FDV) be between $4b and $4.5b on Feb 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$23.97
Will the market cap of $LIBRA (FDV) be between $3.5b and $4b on Feb 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30.09
Will the market cap of $LIBRA (FDV) be between $2.5b and $3b on Feb 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10.99
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST3026.7%8 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick18cpaid+42.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$9,485Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+132.3%+$12,553.11
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$3,038Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,038.43
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$44.05
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$383.96
Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,976Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+35.1%+$1,394.7
Will no one dissent October Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$953Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$952.95
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,386Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,385.71
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$187.86
Will Lisa Cook vote at the next FOMC meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$368.53
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15,670Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+58.3%+$9,135.35
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$143.79
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,844Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,844.25
Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+1,982.7%+$2,379.36
No Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.79
Will Trump try and fire Powell before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,067Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,066.6
Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during the May meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$363.05
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$3,382Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,381.83
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,685Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,684.56
Will Jerome Powell say "good afternoon" during the May meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.3
Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$614Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$614.07
Will Jerome Powell say "Deport" or "Deportation" during the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.14
Will Jerome Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,206Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+95.4%+$1,149.97
Will Jerome Powell say "Immigrant" or "Immigration" during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.4
Will Jerome Powell say "Good Afternoon" during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.8
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+49.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bolsonaro leave Brazil in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$86.49
Will Jair Bolsonaro be arrested in Brazil by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.52
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.48
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+423.6%+$788.35
Will Canada raise tariffs on the U.S. before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$107.5
Will Trump call Carney a "Governor" before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$576Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+159.2%+$917.27
Will Trump say "Trudeau" during Carney visit on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+82.7%+$172
Will Trump say "Percent" 5+ times during Carney visit on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.78
Will Trump say "Ship" during Carney visit on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.12
Will Trump increase tariffs on Canada before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+880.5%+$2,553.85
Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$746Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$746.4
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$93
Will Trump congratulate Canada election winner by Tuesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+48.4%+$16.3
Will South Korean President lift martial law today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$110.34
All 14 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick8cpaid+222.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Speed Chess QF: Lazavik vs Niemannbacked Niemann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$75.55
Will another person win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will Hans Niemann win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$30.3
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 14 of the World Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+3,446.5%+$2,964
Will Ding Liren win Game 14 of the World Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$208.37
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 13 of the World Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$28.27
Will Ding Liren win Game 13 of the World Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$16.1
Will Ding Liren win Game 7 of the World Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$18
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 7 of the World Chess Championshipbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$28.2
World Chess Championship - Game 3backed Ding · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST-100%-$60.33
All 11 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-54.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump x Xi talk before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.11
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 50% on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$505Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+401.7%+$2,026.89
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.91
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.01
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 50% and 75% on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.16
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 75% and 100% on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.46
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 20% on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$145.89
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 20% and 50% on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.71
Will Trump increase tariffs on China by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$307.46
Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$155.17
DeepSeek confirmed to have used banned Nvidia chips?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$140
All 11 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick22cpaid-38%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be less than 1.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$56.39
Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$583Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$582.72
Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$172.35
Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$49.79
Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.89
Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.1%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$313.95
Will the US add between 0 and 25k jobs in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$724Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+63.2%+$457.6
Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,068Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+200.3%+$4,140.59
Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+56.9%+$25.46
All 10 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick27cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$550
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$52.41
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$523Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$522.93
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 December 1-7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$5,765Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+61.5%+$3,547.31
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 December 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+244.8%+$1,420
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$8,142Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+106.8%+$8,697.18
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$295.02
Bitcoin all time high before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,523Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+226.4%+$5,713
Bitcoin all time high by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$558Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$558.27
All 9 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick23cpaid+67.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+79%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Space — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-68%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$2,002.33
Maduro out in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$767Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$242.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-34.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2024, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bilibili Gaming win LoL Worlds 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,175Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$3,174.85
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT+83.6%+$467.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+76.2%+$64.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fannie Mae IPO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$59.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Obama endorse Mamdani?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$22.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.