World Politics · resolved market
Will South Korean President lift martial law today?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb94baf3415f7b0c3108f62090c7c982f6c9c21eff24e3299ebf2d3bfaf30b0a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $496,208
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $411,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $496,208 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeb21…8145backed No | 3c | 36,291$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.26 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…35c0backed No | 1c | 30,849$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed No | 1c | 28,808$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.26 | 110 | 13.6%15 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4f…28b6backed No | 0c | 23,229$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.51 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 4c | 19,989$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43a…cafcbacked No | 1c | 19,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.75 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked No | 3c | 17,637$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.15 | 78 | 0%0 W · 78 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf328…5933backed No | 1c | 17,289$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec2e…95ecbacked No | 1c | 10,616$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc970…b063backed No | 1c | 10,194$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…d649backed No | 0c | 10,179$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 12c | 9,627$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.32 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b6…42e7backed Yes | 38c | 7,621$2,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,691.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…561cbacked No | 2c | 6,599$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed No | 2c | 6,586$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.34 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…954bbacked No | 2c | 5,500$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…ab0ebacked Yes | 72c | 3,815$2,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked No | 1c | 3,488$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.64 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4543…3687backed No | 2c | 3,348$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…a6c2backed No | 0c | 3,029$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…7c32backed No | 17c | 2,781$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed No | 1c | 2,547$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 31cpaid | +90%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…81c4backed No | 66c | 2,252$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.38 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed No | 33c | 2,171$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa715…15e2backed Yes | 39c | 2,124$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +157.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa390…ba6cbacked No | 11c | 2,103$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…d918backed No | 1c | 2,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked No | 1c | 1,991$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3825…760abacked No | 1c | 1,760$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e67…c256backed No | 2c | 1,663$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a37…c66fbacked No | 1c | 1,500$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40c…8192backed No | 8c | 1,403$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.73 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…a0a4backed Yes | 21c | 1,399$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +366.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a58…956fbacked Yes | 71c | 1,345$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.47 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc930…9ed4backed No | 1c | 1,328$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -93.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee99…7758backed Yes | 19c | 1,216$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +66%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9738…9818backed No | 76c | 1,212$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 55c | 1,200$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +194.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1923…3b76backed No | 13c | 1,181$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5908…2f11backed No | 5c | 1,070$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 28c | 1,027$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.91 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x178c…cc33backed No | 47c | 1,025$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07d…23dcbacked No | 3c | 1,017$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…a389backed No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed No | 3c | 965.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe642…9440backed Yes | 58c | 918.51$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb33…1fe7backed No | 6c | 903.69$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.44 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd39b…9343backed No | 10c | 884.03$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14f…d46dbacked No | 13c | 874.91$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a52…3390backed Yes | 51c | 864.07$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked Yes | 50c | 854.93$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.65 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Yes | 59c | 854.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e2…a960backed No | 57c | 846.2$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.82 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed52…d049backed No | 1c | 830.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed No | 78c | 827.4$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…3335backed No | 2c | 800$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197a…4932backed No | 57c | 793.44$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.53 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…7265backed Yes | 67c | 696.8$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 34c | 694.02$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.19 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3391…ed51backed No | 52c | 666.04$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked No | 2c | 663.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc942…8e4cbacked No | 78c | 637.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee9…466dbacked Yes | 55c | 632.43$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…d249backed No | 24c | 591.8$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…8d76backed No | 15c | 576.29$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.44 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…ee59backed No | 13c | 557.53$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 22c | 549.99$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.99 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88dd…5767backed No | 50c | 545.6$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c91…1971backed No | 75c | 529.72$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acf…f67bbacked No | 67c | 515.18$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0efc…8e2fbacked No | 73c | 509.59$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…74fdbacked No | 9c | 502.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff5…ce78backed Yes | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e8…5b74backed No | 40c | 486.47$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.53 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1a…b404backed No | 9c | 455.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked No | 63c | 438.77$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.26 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6264…9937backed Yes | 70c | 435.02$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.56 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b4…5aabbacked Yes | 64c | 421.61$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 5c | 413.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 232 | 25%58 W · 174 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd26b…97c0backed No | 5c | 408.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed Yes | 46c | 403.79$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.4 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…91c2backed No | 9c | 399.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe97c…2a99backed No | 40c | 374.65$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fa…aee1backed No | 4c | 334.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7d…3bb1backed No | 65c | 321.33$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 54c | 308.73$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.91 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked No | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -58%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba6…c060backed Yes | 68c | 300$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4327…f14bbacked No | 66c | 280.19$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 27c | 270$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.1 | 81 | 23.5%19 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe54…5ff2backed No | 18c | 266.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe96…972cbacked No | 60c | 250.19$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x495c…512bbacked No | 75c | 231.58$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e5…a482backed No | 15c | 228.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…5535backed Yes | 13c | 225.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…5c6bbacked No | 65c | 223.72$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5838…3636backed No | 60c | 222.11$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.33 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb250…15e2backed No | 44c | 219.48$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e6…1d2bbacked No | 30c | 203.77$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 20c | 203.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.34 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.