Token Launches · resolved market
Will Kanye launch a coin in March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8f788b8dbe8561c1398b58f24a392a0f2e5bc921a30a05745271ba6edf92368
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $948,365
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $944,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $948,365 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 455 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x642c…cd5dbacked No | 46c | 120,012$55,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,806.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x074b…268bbacked Yes | 54c | 119,992$64,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,795.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes | 14c | 37,260$5,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,198.59 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 24c | 30,465$7,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,328.52 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c86…7dcebacked Yes | 28c | 28,342$7,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,946.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ff…d6d2backed No | 66c | 20,473$13,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,928.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b8…13a2backed No | 76c | 19,642$14,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,665.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3593…7314backed Yes | 7c | 19,026$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a5…9e9ebacked Yes | 11c | 17,236$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5724…73e5backed No | 67c | 16,213$10,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,324.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9b…aef8backed No | 79c | 13,900$10,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,919 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…f322backed No | 77c | 13,419$10,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,097.15 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 23c | 13,219$3,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,097.12 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb09c…05babacked Yes | 29c | 13,160$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…6cfdbacked Yes | 32c | 12,848$4,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,154.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99b7…359cbacked Yes | 36c | 12,783$4,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,650 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3447…2e6abacked Yes | 39c | 11,282$4,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,414 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1b…55bfbacked Yes | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bf…8763backed Yes | 32c | 9,163$2,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,894.98 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 2c | 9,000$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.5 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3be9…54cebacked Yes | 31c | 8,547$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed Yes | 5c | 7,929$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a86…a0d7backed Yes | 29c | 6,969$2,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked Yes | 4c | 6,681$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.23 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 22c | 6,340$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.31 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…4d33backed Yes | 2c | 6,187$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 28c | 6,025$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.59 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…d8aebacked No | 67c | 5,960$4,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5f…0848backed Yes | 17c | 5,625$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes | 5c | 5,347$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7177…1252backed No | 70c | 4,731$3,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec6…33f2backed No | 69c | 4,666$3,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 71c | 4,606$3,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd11…e918backed Yes | 33c | 4,470$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0403…f445backed Yes | 36c | 4,359$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ee…5a28backed Yes | 28c | 3,895$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…0a85backed Yes | 35c | 3,763$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd859…144bbacked Yes | 4c | 3,736$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d91…ab35backed Yes | 37c | 3,695$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 3,411$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.51 | 57 | 3.5%2 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 30c | 3,400$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed Yes | 30c | 3,332$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.74 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…692abacked Yes | 18c | 3,180$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285c…3583backed No | 73c | 3,166$2,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed No | 79c | 3,000$2,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked No | 62c | 3,000$1,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.76 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked No | 76c | 2,843$2,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1f…9221backed No | 70c | 2,839$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ad…ca52backed Yes | 32c | 2,753$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44e…4d45backed No | 76c | 2,693$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 38c | 2,580$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.2 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 2c | 2,518$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +50%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a4…621abacked No | 73c | 2,500$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9e…f300backed Yes | 21c | 2,354$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8452…9056backed No | 71c | 2,350$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed Yes | 4c | 2,333$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076a…2cdbbacked Yes | 28c | 2,287$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 30c | 2,198$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.72 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cf…75d1backed No | 74c | 2,148$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe341…273bbacked Yes | 33c | 2,085$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d6…95e6backed Yes | 34c | 2,081$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c87…f49ebacked No | 69c | 2,078$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…a5b6backed No | 74c | 2,071$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Yes | 42c | 2,024$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +7.7wins | +0.27per pick | 26cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xde3b…6e42backed Yes | 35c | 2,001$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…e33fbacked No | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked Yes | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…d826backed No | 69c | 1,992$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 17c | 1,925$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.94 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | -14.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 30c | 1,812$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.92 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked No | 71c | 1,756$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…41a7backed No | 71c | 1,688$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 80c | 1,685$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355a…98a6backed Yes | 9c | 1,650$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b1…a2e9backed Yes | 16c | 1,617$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfb…b118backed No | 80c | 1,514$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc073…ab63backed Yes | 43c | 1,466$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.02 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 34c | 1,442$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.2 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f31…0bfdbacked Yes | 24c | 1,439$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb4…ae30backed Yes | 35c | 1,438$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f29…8df0backed No | 68c | 1,437$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 36c | 1,400$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2783…8321backed No | 73c | 1,363$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…f6b5backed Yes | 20c | 1,322$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 67c | 1,307$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 22c | 1,297$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.56 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce5…86e1backed Yes | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 35c | 1,211$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 15c | 1,206$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.96 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +470.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 28c | 1,136$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked Yes | 18c | 1,100$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x867d…3f3bbacked Yes | 36c | 1,078$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4b…4554backed No | 21c | 1,064$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +371.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 26c | 1,057$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.67 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe065…d25fbacked Yes | 22c | 1,036$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…a2c4backed No | 68c | 1,000$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…07aabacked Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa57a…66d6backed No | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…64e6backed Yes | 24c | 999.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0651…be62backed Yes | 31c | 967.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.