TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x355a…98a6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
269
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Middle East, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 59 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT18839.9%75 W · 113 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 188 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+196.1%+$78.45
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.69
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencicbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.75
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+76.2%+$15.25
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$81.58
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jongbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+112%+$56
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+189.7%+$56.92
Roland Garros ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+111.6%+$33.47
Roland Garros ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+91.4%+$18.28
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouamebacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Roland Garros ATP: Facundo Acosta vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+215.9%+$64.76
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 188 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2552%13 W · 12 L+4.1wins+0.17per pick35cpaid+282.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$451
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.94
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+266.1%+$266.12
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+4,098.7%+$3,014.09
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+120.5%+$433.66
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+173.5%+$173.51
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+1,011.1%+$2,022.22
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+1,150%+$2,300
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$25
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Israel strikes Iran before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Israel strikes Yemen by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Israel strike on Iran on June 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+1,011.1%+$364
US strike on Iran on June  24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Israel strike on Iran on June 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
US strike on Iran on June  23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
US military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+114.1%+$146.1
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT+72.9%+$304.69
Israel withdraws from Lebanon before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$59.41
All 25 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-60.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$132.56
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$290
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$152.26
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$183.73
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 18 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick6cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$664.29
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Hao-Tong Li win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Saquon Barkley win Super Bowl LIX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+112.8%+$112.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$787Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+39.8%+$313.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye launch a coin in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$151.65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.