TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Jazz

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jazzof Lakers, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$519,613
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$527,455

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $519,613 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 284 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc745…9499backed Lakers0c50,836$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016440.9%67 W · 97 L-11.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Jazz20c42,744$8,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,054.7733931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Lakers43c28,124$12,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,144.4443653.2%232 W · 204 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x641b…6116backed Lakers80c19,073$15,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,258.667349.3%36 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf11c…1290backed Lakers47c14,900$6,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,984.072326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Jazz35c13,682$4,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,902.5447656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Lakers1c12,576$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.9233638.1%128 W · 208 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Jazz54c11,933$6,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,451.343,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Lakers14c10,741$1,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,483.9934532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd87…f55ebacked Lakers79c10,356$8,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,181.17757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick71cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x575a…bba6backed Lakers5c9,116$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012529.6%37 W · 88 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Lakers8c7,795$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.0424554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef5c…ae33backed Lakers33c7,507$2,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,454.145628.6%16 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+104.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Jazz23c6,600$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,087.9246131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Jazz24c6,502$1,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,916.5177745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f79…1db4backed Lakers77c5,635$4,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,322.6716838.7%65 W · 103 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Lakers0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Lakers1c4,950$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.58783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Jazz21c4,764$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,765.4496447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Jazz21c4,624$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,663.051,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Lakers6c4,594$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.8131935.1%112 W · 207 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Jazz24c4,513$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,431.1436247.2%171 W · 191 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x178e…76f7backed Jazz20c4,092$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,273.67666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+101.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Jazz25c4,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,999.991,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Lakers70c3,409$2,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,389.091,19846.8%561 W · 637 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Lakers0c3,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.34573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6153…0e04backed Lakers79c2,969$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3406347.6%30 W · 33 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Jazz63c2,948$1,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.6629652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x896f…9cd4backed Lakers65c2,884$1,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,884.563033.3%10 W · 20 L-5.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-36.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Lakers80c2,600$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,08070153.5%375 W · 326 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce7…fd4abacked Lakers80c2,535$2,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,022.4714057.9%81 W · 59 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jazz34c2,521$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,668.945,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Lakers1c2,431$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.247502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf482…d3c3backed Lakers19c2,300$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4469534.7%33 W · 62 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc3bb…ad38backed Lakers56c2,179$1,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.39862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-4.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Lakers11c2,060$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.161,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a93…ecf9backed Lakers80c2,053$1,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,642.4811250.9%57 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Jazz21c2,052$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,622.7661345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Jazz32c1,932$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,313.1750245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Lakers52c1,910$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.459849%48 W · 50 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1c4…1f56backed Lakers21c1,738$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3602948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Jazz23c1,723$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.9833752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91fe…cfd7backed Lakers74c1,636$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,204250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Jazz23c1,628$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.530440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d22…ec35backed Lakers26c1,599$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.575145.1%23 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa33…8dbcbacked Lakers20c1,554$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.2329450.3%148 W · 146 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Lakers3c1,522$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5237011.4%42 W · 328 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Jazz22c1,477$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.3873051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Lakers9c1,476$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.8119152.4%100 W · 91 L+16.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+23%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x43b7…0260backed Lakers78c1,312$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.7620%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Lakers1c1,279$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.015502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ab…5eb9backed Lakers79c1,268$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006873.5%50 W · 18 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x645e…d120backed Lakers76c1,250$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95015341.8%64 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Jazz21c1,247$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.7387647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Lakers16c1,200$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19336434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Lakers77c1,174$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.0176249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…0ee5backed Lakers77c1,161$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.3228651.4%147 W · 139 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Jazz24c1,152$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.5223135.1%81 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b1…6f55backed Jazz23c1,112$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.1220238.6%78 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Jazz34c1,108$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.4270640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Jazz24c1,097$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.2132130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Jazz24c1,094$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.4419845.5%90 W · 108 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Jazz11c1,074$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.851,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c87…5eb4backed Lakers77c1,073$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.3310347.6%49 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9997…af3bbacked Lakers78c1,025$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.528259.8%49 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Lakers4c1,000$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4368642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Jazz24c1,000$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76035046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x721c…9bfcbacked Lakers51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006347.6%30 W · 33 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Jazz29c923.08$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.1447229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x25f2…edf8backed Jazz24c873.55$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.910643.4%46 W · 60 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Jazz24c833.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.3326124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f63…ea2dbacked Lakers76c800$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-55.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Jazz17c795.34$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.5385347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ac…08d5backed Lakers52c782.69$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4079946.5%46 W · 53 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+1.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x03ec…f502backed Lakers77c782.52$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.542433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-31.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd377…a0a5backed Lakers79c778.16$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.784250%21 W · 21 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd983…d92dbacked Lakers28c777.79$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22029844%131 W · 167 L-1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3158…199fbacked Lakers77c777.02$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.31250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Lakers80c750$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60016261.7%100 W · 62 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc84…3e67backed Lakers56c714.29$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x938a…a941backed Lakers46c712.04$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.541963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf9…755dbacked Lakers79c708.69$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.873476.5%26 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick69cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Lakers79c702.56$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.31,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa826…f823backed Lakers53c700$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3721741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Jazz45c700$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38519147.6%91 W · 100 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Jazz21c666.74$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.7423539.1%92 W · 143 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcad…0dacbacked Lakers78c659.71$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.477754.5%42 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Lakers75c650$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4891,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac56…5b67backed Lakers77c649.35$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008252.4%43 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce37…6c46backed Lakers56c648.29$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.0430%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6dd…bf2bbacked Jazz30c607.99$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.574628.3%13 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…7ff3backed Lakers78c607.19$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.6428651.4%147 W · 139 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Jazz59c607.13$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.1326934.9%94 W · 175 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Jazz29c600$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.1485542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7742…03e9backed Lakers77c600$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46219939.2%78 W · 121 L-17.7wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbf40…1bd2backed Lakers55c599.97$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.9912232%39 W · 83 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x795f…6063backed Lakers56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Lakers54c517.85$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Jazz35c500$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32551037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc20c…fa4bbacked Lakers77c500$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3856358.7%37 W · 26 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.