TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4d22…ec35

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
214
Categories scored
31
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: F1, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category F1 at 55 out of 100; worst Olympics at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT5145.1%23 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$594Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$594
Lakers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.56
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$140
Timberwolves vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+496.5%+$462.36
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$146.32
Trail Blazers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$496.89
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+26.6%+$91.04
Kings vs. Nuggetsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+156.4%+$110.49
Wizards vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+81.8%+$163.64
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$73.21
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$589Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+29.9%+$176
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,939Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$1,938.88
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,574Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$2,574.37
Suns vs. Clippersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+96.9%+$775.25
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$262.86
Lakers vs. Hawksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$52.08
Mavericks vs. Wizardsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+47.1%+$114.28
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$151.73
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$176.68
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.8
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT+169.8%+$309.24
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$85
Trail Blazers vs. Cavaliersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$56.18
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT3212.5%4 W · 28 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-76%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tweets — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.99
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13.3
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$13.55
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11.82
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+28.2%+$59.81
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$58.89
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$91.73
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$29.1
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$217.59
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.38
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times May 2–9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.52
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times March 28 - April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.13
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+165%+$772.24
Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$194.6
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$500.68
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times March 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$948Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$947.83
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$393.06
Will Elon tweet less than 300 times March 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$207.26
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$120.19
Will Elon tweet less than 400 times March 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.51
Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 28 - March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$32.13
Will Elon tweet 650-699 times Feb 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$341.59
Will Elon Musk tweet 700-749 times February 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$47.16
Will Elon Musk tweet 650-699 times February 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$588Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$408.81
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$691Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$565.31
Will Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$21.33
Will Preston North End FC vs. Watford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+48.4%+$147.37
Will Aston Villa vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.49
Will Arsenal vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$64
Will Bournemouth vs. Wolves end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$101.36
Will Everton vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+233.3%+$71.02
Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$418.14
Will Fulham win on 2025-01-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+78.6%+$175.98
Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+63.9%+$11.7
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$26.9
Will Wolves win on 2024-12-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$22.29
Will Fulham win on 2024-12-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+69.5%+$13.34
All 15 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
F1 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.86
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+346.2%+$131.68
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+163.2%+$117.1
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$111
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$181.68
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+171.7%+$243.32
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$947Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+44.8%+$424.3
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$157.71
Will Red Bull have the highest Constructor score at the Japanese GP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.85
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 China Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$166.37
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 China Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+115.9%+$255.82
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 China Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$180
Will Lando Norris win the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+75.4%+$8.31
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 6, 2025, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-39.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,490Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,489.91
Lions vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Buccaneers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$230.88
Will Donald Trump say "Biden" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Will Donald Trump say "Eagles" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Will Saquon Barkley win Super Bowl LIX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$21.33
Will Jalen Hurts win Super Bowl LIX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$557Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+58.5%+$325.58
Will Devonta Smith win Super Bowl LIX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$18.25
Will Patrick Mahomes win Super Bowl LIX MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+75.4%+$17.2
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+70%+$251.73
Saints vs. Buccaneersbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$21.19
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Texans vs. Titansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+60.9%+$227
All 13 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Movsar Evloev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,116Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$501.49
UFC Fight Night: Nathaniel Wood vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Losene Keita · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100.04
UFC Fight Night: Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady vs. Shem Rock (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Shem Rock · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$452.25
Brown vs. Bonfimbacked Bonfim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+66.7%+$35.2
Bonfim vs. Padillabacked Padilla · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,519Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+100%+$1,519.36
Rakic vs. Murzakanovbacked Rakic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$164.98
Dern vs. Jandirobabacked Jandiroba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$77
Volkov vs. Almeidabacked Almeida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.43
Sabatini vs. Britobacked Sabatini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$25.54
Belbita vs. Barbosabacked Belbita · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.78
Henry vs. Falcaobacked Falcao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$123.95
Weili vs. Suarezbacked Suarez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$56.63
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$181.08
Jets vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+82.9%+$80.15
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT+50.7%+$63.35
Bruins vs. Penguinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+69.5%+$10
Avalanche vs. Oilersbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST+62.6%+$200.39
Oilers vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$12.85
Red Wings vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$25.26
Devils vs. Sharksbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$247.45
Sharks vs. Oilersbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick50cpaid-81%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Olympics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17.57
Women's Knockout - Switzerland vs. Swedenbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$36.11
Men's Quarterfinals - Finland vs. Switzerlandbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$5,517Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$5,516.56
Men's Quarterfinals - Canada vs. Czechiabacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,246Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+33.2%+$1,411.51
Will Mikaela Shiffrin (USA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Alpine - Women's Slalom at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$876Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$875.96
Will Camille Rast (SUI) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Alpine - Women's Slalom at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$24.32
Will Lucas Pinheiro Braathen (BRA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Alpine - Men's Slalom at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,085Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$2,085.13
All 7 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-79.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-52.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 6, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 6, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baylor vs. SMUbacked SMU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$295.99
Illinois vs. Dukebacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+63.1%+$108.3
Notre Dame vs. Georgiabacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST+92.3%+$52.35
Texas vs. Arizona Statebacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+56.3%+$36
Pittsburgh vs. Toledobacked Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$11.4
All 5 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+71.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Chess — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-49%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+328.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,408Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$603.82
Will Girona FC win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+614.3%+$290.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
White Sox vs. Twinsbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$885Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+51%+$451.11
Blue Jays vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$953Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$408.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 2, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+44.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sparks vs. Stormbacked Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+189.9%+$60.46
Dream vs. Sunbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+24.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.56
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+148.1%+$25.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-37.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$21
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$132.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.34
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$983Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$982.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+354.5%+$620.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$24.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Uruguay beat Argentina?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$60.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+56.3%+$54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,329Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+27.9%+$370.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Oct 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $126k in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$326.72
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.