NFL · resolved market
Will Jalen Hurts win Super Bowl LIX MVP?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x532f801372651f77de25d42f0e5642cf3dc7e983b41fc441630f11ac50119ead
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $239,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $248,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $239,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3a7…e661backed Yes | 22c | 32,434$7,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,298.45 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked No | 79c | 21,811$17,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,287.52 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a3…cc69backed Yes | 57c | 19,172$10,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,308.1 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 9c | 13,562$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Yes | 63c | 9,857$6,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,672.64 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000f…fa77backed Yes | 27c | 9,725$2,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,077.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Yes | 24c | 8,343$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,342.94 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 78c | 8,286$6,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,463.1 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 10c | 7,489$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.27 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x624a…901fbacked Yes | 55c | 7,321$4,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,294.49 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e3…ad70backed Yes | 21c | 7,143$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,642.86 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +6.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 6c | 6,624$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.09 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…3ef8backed No | 77c | 6,364$4,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,891.54 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x890f…19cbbacked Yes | 24c | 6,303$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.04 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 6c | 6,288$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.13 | 150 | 8%12 W · 138 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked No | 78c | 5,118$3,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,977.85 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 20c | 5,039$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,029.66 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…c043backed Yes | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b68…6d02backed Yes | 21c | 4,762$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,761.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +136.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Yes | 20c | 4,694$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,754.8 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13b…b562backed No | 80c | 3,933$3,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,146.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed No | 20c | 3,090$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 23c | 3,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +145.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf0…0540backed Yes | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Yes | 21c | 2,500$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,975 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 12c | 2,393$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.42 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Yes | 22c | 2,270$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 60c | 1,999$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.6 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d09…3dcebacked Yes | 23c | 1,847$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…1e5dbacked No | 77c | 1,847$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4c…b823backed No | 77c | 1,835$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8f39backed Yes | 23c | 1,835$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.73per pick | 28cpaid | +273.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked No | 78c | 1,799$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.08 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.27per pick | 46cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…2984backed No | 13c | 1,670$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…2cc4backed Yes | 24c | 1,042$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.67 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20c…c7a5backed No | 3c | 987.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc178…35b3backed Yes | 21c | 952$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1a…6dc0backed No | 22c | 936.73$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.65 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc66…47a9backed Yes | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.09 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Yes | 49c | 900$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | -14.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…ec35backed Yes | 63c | 882.16$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.58 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 62c | 720.11$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.11 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…a3eebacked Yes | 22c | 684.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +111%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Yes | 22c | 681.82$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.82 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 21c | 596.55$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.61 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…df9bbacked Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 21c | 455$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.45 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7c…f1a6backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x022a…df5ebacked Yes | 23c | 449.57$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.17 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7e…f489backed Yes | 23c | 430.43$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…d4b6backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…7defbacked Yes | 22c | 400$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed No | 4c | 369.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a39…5077backed Yes | 20c | 366.33$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.06 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed No | 79c | 350$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.5 | 283 | 37.8%107 W · 176 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2f…07d3backed Yes | 23c | 347.83$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 24cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd79c…a0e7backed Yes | 23c | 304.35$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.35 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 161 | 39.1%63 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be6…436ebacked Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…1652backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d07…31a0backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…b18cbacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…d9a9backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd3…2a3cbacked No | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 50 | 14%7 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…a659backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +167.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2325…ae85backed Yes | 52c | 192.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f94…35d2backed Yes | 23c | 184.35$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.65 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeef…e421backed Yes | 27c | 176.66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.76 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c33…c968backed Yes | 22c | 174.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.49 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 21c | 166.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.67 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed No | 76c | 149.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2020…70c5backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe408…232bbacked No | 13c | 119.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b0…9dd8backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +191.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8599…bb74backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff2…27adbacked Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +219.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeee…ccb7backed No | 21c | 104.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 278 | 35.3%98 W · 180 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba95…908fbacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cab…6817backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a05…e4b8backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa049…0558backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.28per pick | 27cpaid | +171%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9488…6802backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d01…b284backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x980f…5b55backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd7…7575backed Yes | 52c | 96.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9292…2cd1backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…89acbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +107.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5202…6065backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf0…03dbbacked Yes | 23c | 82.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Yes | 54c | 79.81$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.71 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…6134backed No | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c13…2096backed Yes | 40c | 70.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdf…aabdbacked Yes | 24c | 70.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…2353backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jalen Hurts win Super Bowl LIX MVP?this page
- Will AJ Brown win Super Bowl LIX MVP?No won
- Will Devonta Smith win Super Bowl LIX MVP?No won
- Will Jayden Daniels win Super Bowl LIX MVP?No won
- Will Patrick Mahomes win Super Bowl LIX MVP?No won
- Will Saquon Barkley win Super Bowl LIX MVP?No won
- Will Travis Kelce win Super Bowl LIX MVP?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.