NFL · resolved market
Will Saquon Barkley win Super Bowl LIX MVP?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d8821183636eb50838d5fb9bd7ee7b5a5d7c37a43eca8402a09d3a248a73717
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $786,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $736,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $786,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58ff…73a4backed Yes | 27c | 452,937$122,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122,450.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed No | 73c | 172,144$125,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,764.16 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked No | 74c | 168,368$125,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,254 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 73c | 60,417$43,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,486.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…f77bbacked Yes | 25c | 47,210$11,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,685.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a7…e661backed Yes | 26c | 36,126$9,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,252.29 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…2e85backed Yes | 25c | 32,037$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 74c | 28,308$20,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,336.26 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked No | 75c | 23,665$17,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,958.05 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 25c | 20,729$5,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,180.5 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed No | 76c | 20,464$15,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,911.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…a9f2backed Yes | 25c | 16,587$4,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,151.7 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…3ef8backed No | 76c | 15,175$11,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,621.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1a…6dc0backed Yes | 18c | 13,271$2,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,438.74 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf0…0540backed Yes | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 24c | 10,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000f…fa77backed Yes | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 24c | 10,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed No | 74c | 9,788$7,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,496.66 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 74c | 8,417$6,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,165.91 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 24c | 8,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.27per pick | 46cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 74c | 7,865$5,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.05 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a3…cc69backed Yes | 25c | 7,317$1,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.78 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 0c | 6,229$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…de17backed Yes | 27c | 5,960$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 30c | 5,000$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.57 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 26c | 4,902$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.94 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked No | 77c | 4,200$3,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 7c | 3,817$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.62 | 150 | 8%12 W · 138 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 26c | 3,773$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.88 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 25c | 3,750$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.09 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55db…7ce1backed Yes | 15c | 2,668$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.58 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Yes | 24c | 1,784$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.95 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df0…48f0backed Yes | 26c | 1,341$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbf…4a3bbacked No | 71c | 1,300$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…f12bbacked Yes | 25c | 1,252$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.01 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c70…e76dbacked Yes | 26c | 1,200$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 1c | 1,132$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 26c | 1,066$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.3 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed No | 75c | 1,012$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…f9a6backed Yes | 25c | 920.12$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 67c | 897.64$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.22 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…7f80backed No | 76c | 800$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc66…47a9backed Yes | 25c | 784.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…f641backed No | 76c | 724$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…b2a6backed Yes | 25c | 659.25$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.77 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x352e…3c42backed Yes | 26c | 585.77$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f53…1081backed Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed No | 75c | 500$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 161 | 39.1%63 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1290…5269backed Yes | 25c | 499.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Yes | 26c | 480.77$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +48%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb71a…6fc9backed Yes | 27c | 476$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.52 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.28per pick | 34cpaid | -86.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefc3…1c9cbacked No | 76c | 430.73$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c91…fd02backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f6…050bbacked Yes | 25c | 401.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…d4b6backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b07…5de1backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a4…83cebacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b94…66c4backed Yes | 28c | 382.14$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7090…0414backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355a…98a6backed Yes | 27c | 369.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd695…850ebacked Yes | 26c | 341.15$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.7 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 75c | 320$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e3…ad70backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +6.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…f55ebacked No | 76c | 270.5$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8200…f63dbacked Yes | 24c | 270.5$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…ed6abacked Yes | 26c | 265.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa728…5a45backed Yes | 26c | 251.35$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.35 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…16fbbacked No | 76c | 250$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9171…a0c6backed Yes | 25c | 235.2$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd3…2a3cbacked Yes | 5c | 204.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 14%7 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe067…b980backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +912.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a61…2f2cbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71bd…50d2backed Yes | 25c | 198.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd79c…a0e7backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb826…8d67backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…b18cbacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd7…7575backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 18c | 160$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 196 | 9.2%18 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…42c1backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x254f…7b31backed Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2fdbbacked Yes | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed No | 75c | 149.93$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8397…cd27backed Yes | 25c | 124$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f0…bdd3backed Yes | 25c | 112.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…fd19backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…dd4cbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ed…e60abacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0c…6565backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d9…00edbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x905c…35ccbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc19…0b8abacked Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Saquon Barkley win Super Bowl LIX MVP?this page
- Will AJ Brown win Super Bowl LIX MVP?No won
- Will Devonta Smith win Super Bowl LIX MVP?No won
- Will Jalen Hurts win Super Bowl LIX MVP?Yes won
- Will Jayden Daniels win Super Bowl LIX MVP?No won
- Will Patrick Mahomes win Super Bowl LIX MVP?No won
- Will Travis Kelce win Super Bowl LIX MVP?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.