TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x079a…3ef8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
107
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Golf, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Golf at 60 out of 100; worst Commodities at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 260 to 289 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.44
Will Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+80%+$86.77
Will Seattle have between 3.5 and 4 inches of precipitation in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.39
Will Seattle have between 3 and 3.5 inches of precipitation in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.26
Will Seattle have less than 2.5 inches of precipitation in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.06
Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$534Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$160.93
Will there be at least 1775 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$132.5
Will fewer than 70 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$21.2
Will Seattle have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+57.4%+$204.81
Will Seattle have between 6 and 7 inches of precipitation in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.69
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$473.44
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$841Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+77.1%+$648.61
Will there be at least 1650 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$696Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$695.88
Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,054Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,053.84
Will there be at least 1700 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$263.37
Will there be at least 1575 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$46.5
Will there be at least 1550 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$728Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$271.96
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+118.1%+$255.07
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.29
Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+390.5%+$167.18
All 20 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiabacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.26
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,078Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+91.7%+$1,906.08
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titansbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$843Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,029.78
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$156.14
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,056Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,056.22
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kingsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$372.47
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.96
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.2
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,230Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,229.98
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,940Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,939.7
T20 Series South Africa vs. India, Women: South Africa vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.18
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$152
India vs. Australia – 5th Cricket Test Matchbacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+61.2%+$96.88
All 13 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+210.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Golf — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+82.5%+$16.52
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Cadillac Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,017Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$321.29
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Cadillac Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$593Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$592.92
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,207Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,206.84
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$23.44
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,057Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+63.6%+$672.85
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$412Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+167.9%+$692.06
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Valspar Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+1,900%+$294.5
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+112.4%+$333.04
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.47
Will Nicolas Echavarria win the 2026 Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+525%+$184.8
Will Jacob Bridgeman win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$511Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$510.52
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick30cpaid-9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+143.1%+$412.06
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.55
Will Labour win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$68.37
Will Luisa González win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+55.3%+$25.66
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$603Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$603.38
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$809Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$809.26
Will Mary Lou McDonald be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$172.98
Will Simon Harris be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$260.88
Will Fine Gael win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$925Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+41.5%+$383.66
Will Sinn Féin win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$60.79
Will Fianna Fáil win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,966Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+39.1%+$769.69
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Saquon Barkley win Super Bowl LIX MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11,553Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+31.3%+$3,621.8
Will Jalen Hurts win Super Bowl LIX MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,892Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$4,891.54
Will Patrick Mahomes win Super Bowl LIX MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,382Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+77.2%+$3,382.23
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$5,652Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+107.6%+$6,084.12
Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$115.9
Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$11.59
Packers vs. Eaglesbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$310
Will the Bills beat the Broncos by 9 or more points?backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$188.89
Chargers vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+150%+$600
Texans vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$3,136.05
Will the Texans beat the Titans by 2 or more points?backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+108.3%+$172.38
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+98.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$612Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$153.23
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignonbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$759Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+217.5%+$1,650.9
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.6
Madrid Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Kordabacked Sebastian Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$880
Miami Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Antonia Ruzicbacked Gabriela Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,766Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+76.6%+$2,884.5
Will Jannik Sinner win the Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$829Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$828.6
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$6,075Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+36.8%+$2,233.95
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-62.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-58%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-43.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the fight go the distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$254.32
Will Fury beat Usyk?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+69.8%+$327.98
Will Usyk beat Fury?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$9,363Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$9,363.18
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Jack Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Hill vs. Souzabacked Souza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$500
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.