Tennis · resolved market
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the Australian Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd16cd33d8bc91982a0f248f994ddb81b8fa8e2f13da21dfca018c1ea89f602ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x079a…3ef8backed No | 73c | 8,309$6,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,233.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc940…4d39backed Yes | 70c | 7,118$4,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,970.12 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd1cb…3accbacked Yes | 22c | 5,426$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.37 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 23c | 4,500$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked No | 77c | 4,427$3,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 75c | 4,193$3,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.32 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4f…00d8backed Yes | 37c | 4,054$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked No | 62c | 2,990$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed No | 17c | 2,531$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.98 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +4.9wins | +0.35per pick | 37cpaid | +178.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 75c | 2,318$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.17 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked No | 18c | 2,200$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc933…6efbbacked Yes | 4c | 1,876$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffda…1e18backed Yes | 24c | 1,734$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.81 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 23c | 1,694$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.44 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f35…d2eabacked Yes | 38c | 1,459$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Yes | 26c | 1,277$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.42 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288c…a41dbacked Yes | 26c | 1,176$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Yes | 30c | 1,167$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.23 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,074$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.89 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5804…dc41backed Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes | 24c | 941.74$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 21c | 935.62$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 27c | 924.64$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.69 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 74c | 865.63$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.17 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed No | 76c | 783.13$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.28 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 26c | 779.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 75c | 738.47$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.23 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ceb…0c87backed Yes | 20c | 710.3$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…f427backed Yes | 24c | 702.08$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fd3cbacked Yes | 19c | 655.2$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.72 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…f641backed No | 69c | 630.55$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.77 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93d0…0c2ebacked Yes | 33c | 569.92$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.07 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 36c | 555$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.2 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 5c | 547.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc0…dcd8backed Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf81b…89b1backed Yes | 22c | 463.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Yes | 27c | 450$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57fa…fd79backed Yes | 29c | 432.86$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e71…a236backed Yes | 21c | 420$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11bb…3a09backed Yes | 31c | 382.47$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce2…060bbacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 66c | 326$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed01…9bb9backed Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…154bbacked Yes | 23c | 260.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 20c | 210$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ef…3d1ebacked Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1555…7d82backed Yes | 29c | 170.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f06…6203backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa263…6cf0backed Yes | 21c | 165.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…94d6backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed No | 74c | 145.38$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed No | 79c | 143.81$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 27c | 143.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked No | 73c | 136.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ff…ee8abacked Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcac2…1793backed Yes | 20c | 112$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d2…c66bbacked Yes | 27c | 103.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -48%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…601fbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3258…9e52backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…1116backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7941…c675backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdae5…9f53backed Yes | 26c | 96.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94dc…009cbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6255…a005backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bb…0f5cbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x082f…731cbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f8…ae3abacked Yes | 55c | 90.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…ad47backed Yes | 27c | 90$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf947…55d0backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Yes | 22c | 85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3399…e5fbbacked Yes | 20c | 82.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 37cpaid | +127.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x687f…cefebacked Yes | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…af0dbacked Yes | 20c | 73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5669…1de1backed Yes | 16c | 63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc84a…9099backed No | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5e…1740backed Yes | 22c | 59.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4425…919ebacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fae…ce9fbacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d83…0bb9backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a6…941ebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3589…e4fabacked No | 77c | 46.61$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01f5…a638backed Yes | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb582…c3b6backed Yes | 26c | 44.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…c844backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be9…91febacked Yes | 30c | 38.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9efd…431fbacked Yes | 28c | 36.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 64c | 25.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4740…ab96backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the Australian Open?this page
- Will Alex De Minaur win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Alexander Zverev win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Ben Shelton win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Casper Ruud win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Daniil Medvedev win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Frances Tiafoe win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Grigor Dimitrov win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Holger Rune win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Jack Draper win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Jakub Menšík win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Jannik Sinner win the Australian Open?Yes won
- Will Joao Fonseca win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Nick Kyrgios win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Taylor Fritz win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Tommy Paul win the Australian Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.