Tennis · resolved market
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1338010e8c98a642d73d509781b7455a830a55ea67b43a46f99cb697a52c8fb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $209,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $194,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 0c | 110,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +4.9wins | +0.35per pick | 37cpaid | +178.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…f360backed Yes | 13c | 12,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdf…3252backed Yes | 25c | 9,942$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 14c | 7,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeee…ccb7backed Yes | 14c | 4,952$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.7 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1cb…3accbacked Yes | 13c | 4,824$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.12 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Yes | 13c | 2,819$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.52 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc933…6efbbacked No | 79c | 2,250$1,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 27c | 2,000$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.76 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 74c | 1,755$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.41 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb864…8765backed Yes | 14c | 1,645$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Yes | 12c | 1,630$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.6 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05ac…7c30backed Yes | 13c | 1,494$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…9657backed Yes | 12c | 1,343$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…eb69backed Yes | 13c | 1,230$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 24c | 1,051$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.95 | 87 | 21.8%19 W · 68 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f35…d2eabacked Yes | 29c | 1,040$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 11c | 955$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.45 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 11c | 930.33$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.34 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ef…f8dfbacked Yes | 16c | 928$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed Yes | 14c | 923.79$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.68 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f8…3ef8backed Yes | 13c | 918.7$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 11c | 873.58$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.83 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed Yes | 22c | 812.01$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.62 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…f4e9backed Yes | 15c | 787.96$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…2f6ebacked Yes | 9c | 760$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.4 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…601fbacked Yes | 29c | 690.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…a390backed Yes | 14c | 645$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x537e…41b7backed Yes | 12c | 587.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed01…9bb9backed Yes | 13c | 540$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…5a22backed Yes | 14c | 535.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1290…5269backed Yes | 22c | 500$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…7bd8backed Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3d…14f2backed Yes | 21c | 486.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c6…e3c1backed Yes | 15c | 475.84$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…65d2backed Yes | 23c | 443.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 77c | 433.57$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.9 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…1a38backed Yes | 13c | 429.62$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf22e…9a18backed No | 76c | 417.57$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb24e…a2e5backed Yes | 24c | 416.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57fa…fd79backed Yes | 28c | 416.54$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ac…5fbfbacked Yes | 15c | 406.06$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 57c | 388.03$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Yes | 23c | 378.71$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.56 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe705…b338backed Yes | 3c | 346.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc93b…ae97backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…d47cbacked Yes | 11c | 305.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 71c | 300$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +7.3wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 12c | 270.8$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce2…060bbacked Yes | 14c | 265.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…1f3cbacked Yes | 12c | 263.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f0…0446backed Yes | 24c | 252.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…94d6backed Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca3…ec90backed Yes | 14c | 226.07$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ece…cff3backed Yes | 19c | 210.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Yes | 27c | 207.13$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…5788backed Yes | 12c | 205$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…d181backed Yes | 12c | 201.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8c…028abacked Yes | 22c | 200$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…806ebacked No | 79c | 200$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 136 | 58.8%80 W · 56 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f9…4441backed Yes | 30c | 200$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d0…4afdbacked Yes | 27c | 185.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ef…f0f7backed Yes | 27c | 183.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 11c | 180$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8d…2921backed Yes | 22c | 179.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0007…434ebacked Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ac…f39abacked Yes | 29c | 176.4$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2cb…cbf6backed Yes | 15c | 175$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a66…9bc0backed Yes | 15c | 172.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Yes | 24c | 167.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c4…ff35backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fae…ce9fbacked Yes | 12c | 152.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…c503backed No | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6561…5fbebacked Yes | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a03…0fcabacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…42debacked Yes | 13c | 149.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Yes | 21c | 135.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…78c1backed Yes | 23c | 135.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7895…a111backed Yes | 22c | 135.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc169…acb2backed Yes | 13c | 116.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Yes | 25c | 112$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3399…e5fbbacked Yes | 14c | 111$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 37cpaid | +127.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea06…d81fbacked Yes | 26c | 109.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…393bbacked Yes | 28c | 108.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 17c | 108$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb73…a4bebacked Yes | 22c | 108$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32c7…4b79backed Yes | 14c | 106.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac56…5b67backed Yes | 25c | 101.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5a…917ebacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4425…919ebacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…4194backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2577…b72dbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7941…c675backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ce…94aabacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c2…c90dbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b95…3c92backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe515…9458backed Yes | 12c | 99.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43eb…49febacked Yes | 26c | 96.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9efd…431fbacked Yes | 11c | 91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?this page
- Will Alex De Minaur win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Alexander Zverev win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Ben Shelton win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Casper Ruud win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Daniil Medvedev win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Frances Tiafoe win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Grigor Dimitrov win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Holger Rune win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Jack Draper win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Jakub Menšík win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Jannik Sinner win the Australian Open?Yes won
- Will Joao Fonseca win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Nick Kyrgios win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Taylor Fritz win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Tommy Paul win the Australian Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.