Tennis · resolved market
Will Alexander Zverev win the Australian Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5f0c941d36a811cad77ecf6e3b0ccdceaa42457530a7ed73128c89b9e616ae3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,642
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,178
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,642 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Yes | 10c | 31,499$3,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,279.75 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed No | 71c | 13,414$9,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,823.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8933…1495backed Yes | 28c | 7,123$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…8a64backed Yes | 15c | 5,479$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1cb…3accbacked Yes | 10c | 5,380$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.4 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9fe…0675backed Yes | 4c | 4,062$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Yes | 30c | 3,410$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.98 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Yes | 30c | 3,346$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 14c | 3,271$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Yes | 20c | 2,509$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffda…1e18backed Yes | 14c | 2,486$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.83 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 28c | 2,424$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.6 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 77c | 2,262$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.96 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Yes | 16c | 2,210$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 8c | 1,666$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.69 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 23c | 1,544$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.57 | 191 | 31.4%60 W · 131 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…2f6ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,473$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.62 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 28c | 1,397$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.14 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…a644backed Yes | 29c | 1,334$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 32c | 1,245$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.4 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked No | 71c | 1,053$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.35 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa66e…3430backed Yes | 18c | 1,001$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.98 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Yes | 29c | 931.03$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 13c | 917.23$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.74 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed Yes | 28c | 861.61$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.25 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 72c | 800.47$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.33 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f91…dd16backed Yes | 23c | 791.69$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Yes | 30c | 773.79$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…eb69backed Yes | 28c | 762.51$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Yes | 29c | 757.24$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.6 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…25adbacked Yes | 18c | 700.31$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Yes | 29c | 679.31$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 206 | 64.1%132 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Yes | 21c | 660$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4425…919ebacked Yes | 29c | 655.51$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb864…8765backed Yes | 16c | 614.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d1…dee6backed Yes | 16c | 589.79$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ca…6f9fbacked Yes | 11c | 545.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…c503backed Yes | 13c | 535.76$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb7…1132backed Yes | 10c | 520$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Yes | 12c | 503.95$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce7…27e7backed Yes | 12c | 499.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…601fbacked Yes | 21c | 470.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa90a…e16bbacked Yes | 11c | 442.54$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15dd…8b3fbacked Yes | 15c | 437.27$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf767…b532backed Yes | 12c | 420.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Yes | 11c | 418$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf433…2178backed Yes | 16c | 405.83$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 8c | 405$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…65d2backed Yes | 12c | 404.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd78…94f3backed Yes | 25c | 401.88$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…55bcbacked Yes | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4e…2aeebacked Yes | 27c | 399.97$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x612e…fdebbacked Yes | 28c | 381.69$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d66…89c4backed No | 71c | 355.26$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…d47cbacked Yes | 10c | 354.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 9c | 354$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x010f…2170backed No | 79c | 346.18$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa263…6cf0backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397f…c0edbacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +49%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7426…9e9fbacked Yes | 29c | 318.66$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6150…13f7backed Yes | 30c | 315.7$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.71 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.5wins | -0.50per pick | 64cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc03…b3d0backed Yes | 30c | 312.6$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…ee2ebacked Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8382…fc5ebacked Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 7c | 290$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +84%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f5…dcb9backed Yes | 29c | 279.31$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad98…8733backed Yes | 29c | 275.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54b2…531dbacked Yes | 29c | 266.24$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Yes | 13c | 256.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1276…6d30backed Yes | 29c | 241.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 61c | 240$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 20c | 220.11$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc84a…9099backed No | 77c | 212.33$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb582…c3b6backed Yes | 16c | 210.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x358e…b0ccbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 281 | 41.6%117 W · 164 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +7.3wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 29c | 193.07$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11bb…3a09backed Yes | 11c | 184.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c4…ff35backed Yes | 16c | 182.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 8c | 180$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Yes | 28c | 177.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9eb…928bbacked Yes | 29c | 176.62$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd8…583fbacked Yes | 29c | 174.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5a…917ebacked Yes | 10c | 173.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 29c | 173$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a90…fcb8backed Yes | 29c | 172.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1308…be4bbacked Yes | 29c | 170$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 17c | 167.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 20c | 162.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9325…a85abacked Yes | 11c | 156.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b32…b81fbacked Yes | 30c | 154.89$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Yes | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad85…78fcbacked Yes | 24c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x369b…5129backed Yes | 12c | 145$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…6ba8backed Yes | 14c | 145$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9833…7844backed Yes | 29c | 141.31$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf3…7b4cbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alexander Zverev win the Australian Open?this page
- Will Alex De Minaur win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Ben Shelton win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Casper Ruud win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Daniil Medvedev win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Frances Tiafoe win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Grigor Dimitrov win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Holger Rune win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Jack Draper win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Jakub Menšík win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Jannik Sinner win the Australian Open?Yes won
- Will Joao Fonseca win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Nick Kyrgios win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Taylor Fritz win the Australian Open?No won
- Will Tommy Paul win the Australian Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.