TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x358e…b0cc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
141
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: World Politics, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 53 out of 100; worst Champions League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT3324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$66
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+207.5%+$199.95
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.77
Will Taylor Fritz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.67
Will Ben Shelton win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.13
Will Lorenzo Musetti win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.59
Will Holger Rune win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.52
Will Daniil Medvedev win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$104.63
Will Jack Draper win the 2025 HSBC Championships?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.83
Will Reilly Opelka win the 2025 HSBC Championships?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.9
Terra Wortmann: Rublev vs. Etcheverrybacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$312.5
Terra Wortmann: Auger-Aliassime vs. Khachanovbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$139
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2025 HSBC Championships?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.14
HSBC Championships: Thompson vs. Munarbacked Thompson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$219.24
Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2025 Terra Wortmann Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Boss Open: Struff vs. Leheckabacked Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$83.58
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$530
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.85
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.4
Will Jack Draper win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.91
Will Alexander Zverev reach the quarterfinals of the French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$857Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+27.4%+$234.56
Will Lorenzo Musetti reach the quarterfinals of the French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$82
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Alex de Minaur win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.7
Will Casper Ruud win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$104.12
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2025, EDT2540%10 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BLAST.tv Austin Major: paiN vs. The MongolZbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will MOUZ win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.68
BLAST.tv Austin Major: MOUZ vs. Vitalitybacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.1
BLAST.tv Austin Major: FaZe vs. The MongolZbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$129.1
Will Natus Vincere win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.49
BLAST.tv Austin Major: FURIA vs. paiNbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.2
Will Spirit win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Spirit vs. MOUZbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$229.98
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Virtus.pro vs. paiNbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$146.79
BLAST.tv Austin Major: The MongolZ vs. G2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Legacy vs. MOUZbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$534Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+99.2%+$530
BLAST.tv Austin Major: NAVI vs. G2backed NAVI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+39.8%+$56.9
BLAST.tv Austin Major: MOUZ vs. Liquidbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$8.96
BLAST.tv Austin Major: paiN vs. Nemigabacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Spirit vs. NAVIbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$41.48
BLAST.tv Austin Major: The MongolZ vs. Lynn Visionbacked The MongolZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$33.6
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Legacy vs. FaZebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+161.8%+$76.85
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Aurora vs. FURIAbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$53.46
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Spirit vs. paiN Gamingbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$547Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+26.2%+$143.4
Will Falcons win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$114.98
BLAST.tv Austin Major stage 2: Falcons vs. B8backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$229.6
Will FlyQuest qualify for Stage 2 of the BLAST.tv Austin Major?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
PGL Bucharest: Complexity vs. G2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$78
Will Vitality win the BLAST Open Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$42
Will Spirit win the BLAST Open Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$72
All 25 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1827.8%5 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claudiu Târziu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$94.92
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.81
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$333.72
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+719.7%+$87.8
Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$140
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$105
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$699Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+81.6%+$570.23
Will George Simion win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+351.9%+$183
Will George Simion advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+139.1%+$430.93
Georgescu banned from Romania election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.03
Will the AfD win less than 20% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.21
Will the AfD win between 22% and 24% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Dragan Primorac be the next President of Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$47.78
South Korean President impeached in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,197Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$1,197.06
South Korean President impeached by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$498.29
Will PSD win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+66.4%+$251.01
Will AUR win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$87.49
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2025, EST1827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 900-924 times Feb 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$22.56
Will Elon Musk tweet 750-799 times February 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$21.6
Will Elon tweet 450 or more times Jan 31 - Feb 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST+58.7%+$75.44
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Jan 17-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$16.5
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Jan 17-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST+880.4%+$89.8
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Jan 17-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$61.46
Will Elon tweet 550-599 times Jan 10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$29.9
Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Jan 10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon tweet 500-549 times Jan 10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon tweet less than 400 times Jan 10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$479.5
Will Elon tweet 650-674 times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST+164.1%+$270.25
Will Elon tweet 700-724 times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will Elon tweet 500 or more times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST+367.4%+$247.97
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST-100%-$13.5
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Dec 20-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+53.8%+$34.99
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2025, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolverhampton be relegated?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$143.36
Will Tottenham win on 2025-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST+122.2%+$48.89
Will Arsenal win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST+33.3%+$50
Will Chelsea win on 2025-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+46.8%+$44.6
Will Chelsea win on 2025-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Will Fulham win on 2025-01-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+143.9%+$28.78
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+143.9%+$29.5
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+32.7%+$37
Will Chelsea vs. Fulham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$18.2
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$28.09
Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$228.41
Will Leicester win on 2024-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+27.1%+$114.92
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2025, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-10.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Benfica vs. Bayern Munich: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.3
Will Chelsea win Group D at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$268
Will Real Madrid beat Al Hilal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.96
Will Chelsea beat LAFC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$12
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+40.8%+$43.5
Will Club Brugge win on 2025-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$50.4
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+525%+$67.2
Will Paris Saint-Germain beat Manchester City?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$207.18
Will RB Leipzig beat Sporting CP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will the match between Benfica and Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Stuttgart beat Young Boys?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Will Juventus beat Manchester City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+63.9%+$23.12
All 12 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-34.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Pistons vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$140.6
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+66.7%+$40
Pacers vs. Pistonsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+81.8%+$45
All 4 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$96.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paper Rex win the 2025 VALORANT Masters Toronto Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+59.1%+$15.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon respond to OpenAI today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+58.7%+$12.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.