TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,610,317
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,773,307

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,610,317 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 596 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1c5f…5eb7backed No80c314,000$249,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,0721100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes0c183,103$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.41333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes1c131,613$1,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,969.6119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick8cpaid-75.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3869…2d67backed Yes0c125,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes3c117,780$3,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,291.09185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-87.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4344…caefbacked Yes0c95,678$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6830%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x811f…1743backed Yes18c73,387$13,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,28310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6aeb…905fbacked Yes23c65,000$14,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,82010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1408…c3aabacked No77c65,000$50,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,8201100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x753c…b367backed No79c63,000$49,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,2301100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c25…1aa1backed Yes21c63,000$13,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,23010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc2…05d5backed Yes19c62,000$11,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,90410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x272f…326ebacked Yes20c62,000$12,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,09010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f97…a89bbacked Yes19c62,000$12,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,02810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ab6…0594backed Yes19c61,000$11,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,711.910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2929…d0d5backed Yes16c60,396$9,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,482.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dec…30c1backed Yes16c59,000$9,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,14510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad2e…7cc9backed Yes12c56,500$6,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,78010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes2c55,218$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,177.432714.8%4 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-42.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0041…7dccbacked Yes4c36,209$1,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,555.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3adc…f6c6backed Yes5c25,815$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.78425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-60.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes11c24,635$2,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,659.5520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes4c24,098$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.2616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-69.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f10…cb96backed Yes7c22,924$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56dc…f02bbacked Yes5c21,493$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.92425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick14cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5372…d2f9backed Yes5c20,173$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.85333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-35%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf29…6242backed Yes12c18,544$2,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,172.77425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+123.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc441…92eabacked Yes13c17,752$2,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,320.05450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39a1…af66backed Yes16c17,485$2,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,770.721225%3 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-45.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes5c13,994$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes7c13,518$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.9110843.5%47 W · 61 L-7.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked Yes10c12,839$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,332.79333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e1e…1f0bbacked Yes11c12,582$1,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,421.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa93a…0f5cbacked Yes7c11,926$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick23cpaid+119%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed Yes3c11,800$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39150%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f8c…efd3backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes2c9,584$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2064334.9%15 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea0d…821cbacked Yes23c8,889$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff21…f489backed Yes5c7,846$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca74…3b40backed Yes20c7,581$1,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.9120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes3c7,522$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.44100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed Yes19c7,489$1,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,389.48333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid-39.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb29…625bbacked Yes18c7,321$1,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,326.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbc7…dc23backed Yes18c7,286$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Yes9c7,183$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.03633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-50.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9977…3020backed Yes10c6,700$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.911338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Yes7c6,248$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.85143.1%22 W · 29 L+15.1wins+0.30per pick14cpaid+663.6%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x6e4b…3c6dbacked Yes15c6,030$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes9c5,982$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.961957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+23.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes20c5,212$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.814244.4%63 W · 79 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6be…e346backed Yes7c5,162$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.46333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-39.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes4c5,105$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.88326.3%2 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-84%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab64…d070backed Yes2c4,284$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec76…01c4backed Yes7c4,205$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70d7…8e0dbacked Yes0c4,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick8cpaid+48.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa346…baefbacked Yes2c4,000$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Yes3c3,983$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.0414645.2%66 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f5…af66backed Yes13c3,852$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes3c3,822$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.14333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdda0…a58abacked Yes2c3,797$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.54333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick14cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd2b…2e45backed Yes2c3,783$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.6620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes13c3,744$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.73520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid+47.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87fb…9ad0backed Yes3c3,726$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1430%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed No75c3,668$2,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.98475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x401b…3107backed Yes3c3,525$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed1…f3a5backed Yes3c3,506$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53d2…0c3fbacked Yes18c3,492$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad9e…6472backed No80c3,443$2,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6921100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c94…5b86backed Yes2c3,437$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbfd…0029backed Yes20c3,428$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb3d…024ebacked Yes2c3,400$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66a5…729bbacked Yes4c3,257$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+48.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe10b…5fe3backed Yes4c3,245$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.65633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+34.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12f2…79d0backed Yes18c3,117$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.13333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-37.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Yes16c3,049$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.83345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes9c2,981$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.9120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1d…fa35backed Yes20c2,936$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81e6…beb9backed Yes17c2,931$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf562…4099backed Yes2c2,853$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5630%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6236…15f1backed Yes17c2,828$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.5230%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x726c…2956backed Yes4c2,759$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49b6…170cbacked Yes11c2,699$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.651040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b61…c9eebacked Yes20c2,664$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes6c2,610$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes12c2,544$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.95040%20 W · 30 L-7.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-31.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes3c2,400$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68de…ea31backed No80c2,388$1,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d03…835abacked Yes20c2,388$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f48…6a49backed Yes21c2,293$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6663…885dbacked Yes5c2,143$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf87…69b2backed Yes13c2,065$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.37425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-34.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc89d…859abacked Yes2c2,062$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick11cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef7d…5e3fbacked Yes4c2,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcaca…2cc4backed Yes12c2,000$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes8c1,975$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.616127.9%17 W · 44 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-41.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd86…0f8abacked Yes23c1,933$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+31.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08fa…a865backed Yes6c1,801$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x122a…add9backed No80c1,800$1,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa7e…8318backed Yes20c1,800$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes2c1,726$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.860%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.