TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Athletic Bilbao win La Liga?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,460,274
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,888,926

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,460,274 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 331 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xccf2…41b7backed Yes0c546,601$1,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,837.1240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4f2…7862backed Yes0c499,946$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.79140%0 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c475,248$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.24326.3%2 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-84%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x549f…c945backed Yes1c289,286$1,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,446.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes0c256,874$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.9590%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes0c200,662$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.99273.7%1 W · 26 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-94.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes0c197,907$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.8180%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes0c109,000$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick8cpaid-75.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7bc…7a68backed Yes0c93,024$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf87b…5399backed Yes0c89,148$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c84,745$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.23100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aae…8613backed Yes0c81,396$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6cf…4aa2backed Yes0c77,520$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4b8…d1abbacked Yes0c75,582$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cdf…b351backed Yes0c72,540$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.6230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55b3…a7e1backed Yes0c71,706$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c1a…18a7backed Yes0c71,706$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f09…b550backed Yes0c71,706$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ea4…6920backed Yes0c71,518$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.5520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1e7…359ebacked Yes0c71,418$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.2520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f5c…74babacked Yes0c70,299$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.960%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4356…2b60backed Yes0c69,430$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.2920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa753…e973backed Yes0c69,330$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.9920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e9…9a01backed Yes0c69,230$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.6920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aaf…190fbacked Yes0c67,830$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe022…c81fbacked Yes0c67,492$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.4820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x508d…6809backed Yes0c67,342$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.0320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes0c66,666$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.446127.9%17 W · 44 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-41.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa63e…1a16backed Yes0c65,892$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31d4…fdd8backed Yes0c65,892$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b00…cee3backed Yes0c65,892$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c65,872$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.46120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd82…bb44backed Yes0c65,204$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1857…c0cebacked Yes0c64,884$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.0990%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf084…11cdbacked Yes0c63,450$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.3530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca83…a460backed Yes0c62,016$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5846…9f68backed Yes0c61,328$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.9820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x297d…13b3backed Yes0c58,140$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0aa5…83f8backed Yes0c57,452$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.3620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa351…d799backed Yes0c57,452$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.3620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1b…5c50backed Yes0c57,402$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.2120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc16…cdd6backed Yes0c56,202$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf97d…15f5backed Yes0c56,202$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x321c…bbb7backed Yes0c56,202$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x124f…2642backed Yes0c55,464$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.3920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf2e…52f9backed Yes0c55,414$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.2420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x663c…9267backed Yes0c55,364$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.0920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8765…8d3fbacked Yes0c52,326$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbabe…3086backed Yes0c51,588$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.7620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0120…57b2backed Yes0c51,000$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x815e…442cbacked Yes0c50,889$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.6740%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65cf…c8d1backed Yes0c50,388$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c46,729$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.0790%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5ad…f654backed Yes0c46,512$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c76…1106backed Yes0c45,524$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.5720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes0c45,250$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x394a…bf9ebacked Yes0c39,660$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.9820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa232…30cdbacked Yes0c39,330$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.9920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b8e…cff8backed Yes0c38,854$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.5650%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7829…f04abacked Yes0c36,668$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.0150%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bee…9051backed Yes0c36,416$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.2570%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cc0…8934backed Yes0c35,836$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.5140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1384…0a3bbacked Yes0c35,634$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9a3…fa76backed Yes0c34,900$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf467…a572backed Yes0c34,300$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdd1…a6aebacked Yes0c33,926$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7850%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e4e…ce69backed Yes0c29,700$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde33…75cbbacked Yes0c28,864$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a95…f2ddbacked Yes0c28,000$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5fd…208dbacked Yes0c28,000$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1941…7f02backed Yes0c27,022$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0740%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf74…0fcabacked Yes0c26,811$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8901…21d0backed Yes0c25,940$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4aa…4c49backed Yes0c25,807$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4250%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4a9…81cabacked Yes0c25,754$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec2…5694backed Yes1c24,600$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b99…9982backed Yes1c24,400$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfa1…704fbacked Yes0c23,273$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54c3…14aabacked Yes1c22,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0f0…a458backed Yes1c22,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a77…140abacked Yes1c21,400$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc59c…fc8dbacked Yes1c21,000$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76ff…6670backed Yes1c20,800$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd3…91f2backed Yes0c20,342$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9b1…476abacked Yes1c20,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x733f…d51fbacked Yes1c20,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa923…5604backed Yes0c19,231$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbafc…705bbacked Yes0c18,355$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0650%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7297…2587backed Yes0c18,345$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0370%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes1c18,280$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbab…1927backed Yes0c17,849$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9f1…b17bbacked Yes1c17,598$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.950%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb6…45f5backed Yes0c17,140$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4270%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43ce…afa3backed Yes0c16,933$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68a9…e830backed Yes0c16,875$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x714f…e8aebacked Yes0c16,705$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x941d…9e09backed Yes0c16,701$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.150%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeeb9…a974backed Yes0c16,221$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6640%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea2…f2f2backed Yes0c15,610$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8370%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cfb…9d58backed Yes0c15,488$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4770%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.