TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Sociedad win La Liga?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,436,538
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,095,184

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,436,538 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 391 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb4f2…7862backed Yes0c2,125,427$7,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,295.97140%0 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf2…41b7backed Yes0c1,549,529$5,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,037.6840%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c803,231$1,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,569.6326.3%2 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-84%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb41a…3a25backed Yes0c790,656$1,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460.5650%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes0c391,050$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.0790%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes0c273,797$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.296127.9%17 W · 44 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-41.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes0c217,471$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.59119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick8cpaid-75.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes0c202,833$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.6780%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bba…9b86backed Yes0c200,006$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.0250%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83de…fe62backed Yes0c195,000$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x980e…7e06backed Yes0c100,098$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.2825%2 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-47.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c1b…c036backed Yes0c95,775$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.3370%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c88,082$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.31120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c87,996$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.99100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1857…c0cebacked Yes0c87,467$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.1390%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x858f…5cd1backed Yes0c76,916$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.7550%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes0c73,943$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.83273.7%1 W · 26 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-94.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes1c73,720$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.3280%0 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc3…4659backed Yes0c65,307$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.9250%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x232e…1d44backed Yes0c63,910$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.7350%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes1c61,120$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f5c…74babacked Yes0c53,949$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.8560%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bee…9051backed Yes0c47,386$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.1670%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e16…d9b8backed Yes0c46,024$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.0750%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c8e…30fdbacked Yes0c45,838$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.5150%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe9a…af99backed Yes0c44,001$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13250%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfba4…c6cbbacked Yes0c39,597$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.7950%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x354b…9a92backed Yes0c39,248$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.7450%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe05f…1355backed Yes0c39,200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2657…a7eabacked Yes0c36,750$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e9…e298backed Yes0c35,337$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.0150%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b38…a8eabacked Yes0c35,117$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.3570%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b86…bdf6backed Yes0c35,013$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0450%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc258…bc1bbacked Yes0c35,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes1c34,187$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.2310843.5%47 W · 61 L-7.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a4d…4cb0backed Yes0c33,792$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.3850%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8619…d569backed Yes0c33,737$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2150%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d2f…a9febacked Yes0c33,293$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8850%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeee0…95a3backed Yes0c33,251$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7550%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb828…2ad7backed Yes0c33,250$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f9a…4962backed Yes0c32,955$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8760%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfee3…e262backed Yes0c32,712$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.1450%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc129…86dcbacked Yes0c32,097$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2970%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedc6…1c6bbacked Yes0c31,925$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7750%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc4…9d93backed Yes0c30,293$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.8870%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56a6…31adbacked Yes0c30,250$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d15…247cbacked Yes0c30,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c78…a6bdbacked Yes0c29,651$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9550%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf28…4110backed Yes0c28,750$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6016…904fbacked Yes0c28,083$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb61…b6dabacked Yes0c28,010$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0350%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…0521backed Yes0c27,945$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.8450%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8047…cfe5backed Yes0c27,750$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba44…97f9backed Yes0c27,500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea52…4eb4backed Yes0c27,500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bd0…76bebacked Yes0c27,448$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3450%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f9c…6661backed Yes0c27,387$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1650%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cfb…9d58backed Yes0c26,908$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.7270%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4aa…4c49backed Yes0c25,853$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5650%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7411…5e13backed Yes0c25,721$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.1650%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95ef…4247backed Yes0c25,594$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7850%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4543…9fc7backed Yes0c25,480$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70ed…f834backed Yes0c25,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f52…b0e0backed Yes0c24,602$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8150%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08c9…a3c5backed Yes0c23,714$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1470%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52bd…e647backed Yes0c22,794$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3850%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes0c22,527$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.23185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-87.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x982f…934cbacked Yes0c22,408$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2260%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabca…6cf8backed Yes0c22,298$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8950%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x782e…a5e6backed Yes0c21,809$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4370%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8b…f613backed Yes0c21,515$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5450%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f2…7d7abacked Yes0c21,141$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4270%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37fc…2138backed Yes0c21,057$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.47250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…68ffbacked Yes0c20,840$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5250%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e83…db16backed Yes0c20,558$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6870%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd947…863ebacked Yes0c20,536$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6160%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18bf…557cbacked Yes0c20,515$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5460%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x906f…ff37backed Yes0c20,231$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6950%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3667…fc51backed Yes0c19,881$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6470%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6961…c1ebbacked Yes0c19,878$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6460%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa587…d91abacked Yes0c19,855$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5660%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdd1…a6aebacked Yes0c19,512$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5450%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb72…80dfbacked Yes0c19,478$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4370%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd117…2c70backed Yes0c19,382$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1550%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38fd…5bbcbacked Yes0c19,210$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6350%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57eb…f175backed Yes0c18,770$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3160%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1941…7f02backed Yes0c18,556$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6740%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x815e…442cbacked Yes0c18,518$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5540%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8568…92adbacked Yes0c18,371$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1150%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed12…2946backed Yes0c18,357$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0770%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbafc…705bbacked Yes0c18,355$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0650%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfba7…c2b6backed Yes0c18,350$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0550%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41cb…88e1backed Yes0c18,123$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89ca…b2babacked Yes0c18,097$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2970%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd541…4cb4backed Yes0c18,072$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2250%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7861…4d82backed Yes0c18,067$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.270%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeeb9…a974backed Yes0c17,987$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9640%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea2…f2f2backed Yes0c17,947$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8470%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90c7…0779backed Yes0c17,931$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7950%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x093e…302fbacked Yes0c17,610$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8360%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.