TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x980e…7e06

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
185
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst World Politics at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT535.7%3 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick5cpaid-56.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$3,793Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,670.2%+$63,343.5
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.72
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$142,577Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$142,577.4
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,531Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,530.96
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.58
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.79
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.29
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.89
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$3,007Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,007.24
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23,570Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23,569.97
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$498.85
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$511Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$511.05
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.09
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$652Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$652.02
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.17
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.45
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.39
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$727Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$726.75
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$278.29
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,324Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,324.37
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.51
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,514Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,513.5
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$785Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$784.83
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$931Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$930.98
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT484.2%2 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+54.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$454Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$454.03
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+744.7%+$3,429.49
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.6
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.84
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.77
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.56
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.27
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.56
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.6
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$262
Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$23.61
Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$27.8
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$42.67
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+6,461.2%+$709.62
Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,044Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,044.06
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,983Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,983.46
Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$817Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$816.85
Will Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$3,070Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,070.08
Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.43
Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.6
Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.14
Will Club Brugge win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$847Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$847.29
Will PSV Eindhoven win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.02
Will Lille win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$2,983Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,983.21
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST454.4%2 W · 43 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+74%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$25.37
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$412Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+7,594.4%+$31,296.72
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$93.2
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$73.94
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$4,929Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$4,929.37
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$434.06
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$3,764Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$3,764.45
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$395.96
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$2,233Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$2,232.68
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$18.43
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$2,876Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$2,876.07
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$768Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$768.46
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$902Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$902.37
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$105.53
Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$2,802Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$2,801.94
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$185.9
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,453Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,452.97
Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$96.83
Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$4,197Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$4,197
Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$4,032Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$4,032.16
Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$828Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$827.77
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,725Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,725.15
Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$4,691Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$4,691.08
Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$6,849Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$6,849.42
Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$548Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$548.12
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT234.3%1 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-83.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$629.5
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,556Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+280.6%+$7,173.48
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,828Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,827.68
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.73
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,486Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,485.93
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$53.21
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$43.38
Newcastle United wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,568Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,568.4
Nottingham Forest wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,956Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,955.95
Aston Villa wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$2,663Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,663.38
Brighton & Hove Albion wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,531Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,530.99
Bournemouth wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,100.35
Fulham wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$894Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$893.66
Brentford wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$891Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$890.63
Crystal Palace wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$1,399.98
Tottenham Hotspur wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,004Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$1,003.58
Manchester United wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,208Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$1,207.64
Everton wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$3,480Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$3,480.27
West Ham United wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$1,139.97
Wolverhampton Wanderers win the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$2,327Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$2,326.71
Ipswich Town wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$3,620Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$3,620.09
Leicester City wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$4,261Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$4,261.38
Southampton wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$849.78
All 23 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-47.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick10cpaid+152.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+233.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+567.3%+$603.6
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,746Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,746.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.54
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.