NFL · resolved market
Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ffe8ecfc2c7729f380663ca4f50f3985bb7e7f9c65da35fefc4889d81918a73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,351,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,109,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,351,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 288 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 711,769$2,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,173.54 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…99febacked Yes | 1c | 643,585$4,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,021.51 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x600b…42dcbacked Yes | 0c | 558,799$2,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176.78 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +160.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 367,654$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.42 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…188cbacked Yes | 1c | 344,044$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Yes | 1c | 329,826$1,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.31 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes | 0c | 306,500$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.5 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…92bebacked Yes | 1c | 249,881$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.41 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…d697backed Yes | 1c | 229,399$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.78 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed Yes | 0c | 199,999$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c09…4a10backed Yes | 1c | 199,763$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aed…e7bbbacked Yes | 0c | 160,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 156,399$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.5 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a13…4593backed Yes | 0c | 150,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 1c | 145,800$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.17 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…23a3backed Yes | 1c | 143,907$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x778c…f3afbacked Yes | 0c | 130,333$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.56 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 1c | 123,485$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.34 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09f8…e156backed Yes | 1c | 123,456$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.74 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes | 0c | 122,827$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.84 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81d6…bec9backed Yes | 1c | 121,680$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.08 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff47…d81fbacked Yes | 1c | 114,263$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 1c | 98,570$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.63 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bc…45c3backed Yes | 1c | 95,000$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89e2…bb8dbacked Yes | 1c | 86,912$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.32 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 2cpaid | +640.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…e5e7backed Yes | 0c | 75,311$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.55 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x741b…0468backed Yes | 1c | 74,928$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.42 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +156.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006f…b3efbacked Yes | 1c | 70,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…d65fbacked Yes | 0c | 69,325$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 1c | 67,913$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.98 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f3…baa8backed Yes | 0c | 60,230$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.46 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ee…9ababacked Yes | 0c | 60,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -87%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f2…39f2backed Yes | 0c | 60,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Yes | 0c | 52,384$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.77 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b36…fd74backed Yes | 1c | 50,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d5…6240backed Yes | 1c | 50,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ceb…0f9ebacked Yes | 1c | 50,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 1c | 49,999$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453 | 73 | 4.1%3 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22fb…d7d6backed Yes | 1c | 48,000$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40d…c72dbacked Yes | 0c | 43,537$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.15 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…6bfcbacked Yes | 1c | 43,405$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8182…3732backed Yes | 1c | 43,392$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.53 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked Yes | 1c | 41,348$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.83 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…df4cbacked Yes | 1c | 40,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228c…d770backed Yes | 1c | 40,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed83…a91fbacked Yes | 1c | 39,000$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…5bc1backed Yes | 1c | 38,571$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee1f…9cedbacked Yes | 1c | 37,027$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.78 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc76d…2c25backed Yes | 1c | 36,931$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.45 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…6c95backed Yes | 1c | 36,175$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.23 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Yes | 0c | 35,779$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.12 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 1c | 33,434$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.08 | 88 | 18.2%16 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…db89backed Yes | 1c | 31,664$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb194…40e1backed Yes | 1c | 30,106$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.31 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb8…3acbbacked Yes | 1c | 30,023$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.16 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd936…9af9backed Yes | 1c | 30,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…3681backed Yes | 1c | 30,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5488…4a9ebacked Yes | 1c | 30,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8c…ad4bbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5a…fa77backed Yes | 2c | 27,948$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.65 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…5051backed Yes | 1c | 27,858$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.58 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +208.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8652…3ce4backed Yes | 1c | 27,148$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.18 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 1c | 27,025$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.2 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7d…3e9cbacked Yes | 1c | 25,000$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a5…6112backed Yes | 1c | 24,409$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.05 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1949…515ebacked Yes | 3c | 22,222$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf81f…4372backed Yes | 0c | 20,739$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e79…6a45backed Yes | 1c | 20,653$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d2…034bbacked Yes | 1c | 20,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd817…ac33backed Yes | 1c | 20,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8c…d699backed Yes | 1c | 20,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbea…51bbbacked Yes | 1c | 20,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…b308backed Yes | 1c | 20,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…08b6backed Yes | 1c | 20,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa86c…6ec8backed Yes | 1c | 17,263$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.83 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3c…0915backed Yes | 1c | 16,024$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf041…034abacked Yes | 1c | 15,702$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.32 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Yes | 2c | 15,261$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.21 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b8…ba77backed Yes | 1c | 15,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 1c | 14,800$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 35 | 5.7%2 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +148.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…f2cbbacked Yes | 1c | 12,928$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.28 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeabe…43dcbacked Yes | 1c | 12,290$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.25 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…7f80backed Yes | 1c | 11,218$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.45 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 3c | 10,312$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.21 | 132 | 17.4%23 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7471…a6dabacked Yes | 1c | 10,127$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.02 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71b3…a5d6backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6084…b21bbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7749…5c5bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf31f…e63dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2f…d7fbbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Yes | 3c | 10,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +52%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9809…108fbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 3c | 8,917$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.21 | 205 | 42%86 W · 119 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 2c | 8,324$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.09 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7b…f474backed Yes | 1c | 8,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbf…f580backed Yes | 1c | 7,987$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.7 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +229.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6d…6b4ebacked Yes | 3c | 7,969$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.23 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd503…1851backed Yes | 1c | 7,875$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 1c | 7,778$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 183 | 36.1%66 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…35dcbacked Yes | 1c | 7,692$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?this page
- Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes won
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.