TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x006f…b3ef

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
39
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST1758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+108.3%+$41.6
Kings vs. Sharksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Canadiens vs. Krakenbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Rangers vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Utah vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Devils vs. Avalanchebacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Senators vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Capitals vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Jets vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Red Wings vs. Bluesbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Lightning vs. Predatorsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Ducks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Islanders vs. Bruinsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Blue Jackets vs. Sabresbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+100%+$20
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Bruins vs. Senatorsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Blues vs. Penguinsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-56.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$322
Trail Blazers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Suns vs. Jazzbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Mavericksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$119.48
Raptors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$47.57
Hawks vs. Bullsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+896.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Paris Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Cameron Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+1,764.4%+$2,292.03
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Flavio Cobollibacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$22
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$350
Spread: Chiefs (-10.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fresno State vs. Colorado Statebacked Fresno State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$226.78
Spread: Fresno State (-6.5)backed Fresno State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Columbus Crew win on 2025-10-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+33.1%+$6.96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.