TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Red Wings vs. Blues

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Red Wingsof Red Wings, Blues
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$158,303
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$160,956

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,303 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x057a…3bacbacked Blues1c21,192$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.0127143.5%118 W · 153 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90f1…4d2ebacked Blues50c15,388$7,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,694333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00ff…d309backed Red Wings50c15,388$7,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,694366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+77.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c87…fa75backed Red Wings35c12,000$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,8001100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86b0…c3b4backed Blues65c12,000$7,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,80010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Blues0c11,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Red Wings51c5,003$2,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,451.6225446.5%118 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Blues49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,45024945.4%113 W · 136 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Red Wings50c4,624$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,314.711,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Blues49c3,536$1,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,732.5930551.5%157 W · 148 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf90e…0b56backed Red Wings50c3,261$1,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,630.2613449.3%66 W · 68 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Blues1c2,351$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.242504.8%12 W · 238 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+159.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Blues1c2,332$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.662,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed88…f3c4backed Blues49c2,264$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.499340.9%38 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Blues49c2,045$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.0583652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Red Wings51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98043743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed Red Wings50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0006543.1%28 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Red Wings49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02097651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3909…335fbacked Red Wings51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9802962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+27.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7780…f218backed Blues49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.951822.2%4 W · 14 L-4.6wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-53.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Red Wings51c1,944$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.758841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa074…65a0backed Blues50c1,900$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9e3…cb7abacked Red Wings51c1,863$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.753100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfe4…5c4fbacked Blues49c1,793$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.574949%24 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Red Wings50c1,625$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.6187447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Blues49c1,553$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.151045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe662…3546backed Red Wings51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7351190.9%10 W · 1 L+4.1wins+0.38per pick53cpaid+67.3%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x25e0…04cfbacked Blues49c1,500$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.121546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Blues50c1,499$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.2541246.4%191 W · 221 L-24.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed Blues52c1,250$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.522852.6%120 W · 108 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Blues50c1,157$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.0262249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Red Wings60c1,150$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.171,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Red Wings48c1,145$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.7163249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Blues50c1,091$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.510352.4%54 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Red Wings50c1,077$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.9223047.4%109 W · 121 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Blues49c1,072$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.287659.2%45 W · 31 L+7.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+29.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Blues49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.81,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ff…e7f5backed Blues52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5201931.6%6 W · 13 L-4.3wins-0.22per pick54cpaid-37.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xff5b…c583backed Red Wings51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4903240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Red Wings51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+30.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc23b…24f9backed Blues51c999.97$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.993154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d2…9c77backed Red Wings49c996.44$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.441947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9794…1d5fbacked Red Wings51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.391668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Red Wings53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.423047.4%109 W · 121 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef25…dc22backed Blues49c915.31$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed Blues51c899.99$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4599250%46 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Blues47c832.4$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.231,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Blues31c832.06$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.411,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Blues49c711$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.3915448.1%74 W · 80 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Red Wings51c709$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.411,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Blues7c695.2$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0289636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Blues12c681.36$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6582043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Red Wings24c619.15$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.5540550.9%206 W · 199 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Blues19c604$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.7614451.4%74 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Blues30c585$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.4895049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Red Wings51c510$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.91,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Blues51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.7620137.8%76 W · 125 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Blues50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25089249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed Red Wings51c490.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.25945.8%27 W · 32 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Blues49c484.99$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.6475155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Blues12c465$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7861848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f84…7650backed Red Wings51c450.98$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.983850%19 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Red Wings49c428.57$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.571,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Blues3c423$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6933848.8%165 W · 173 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f79…7ed4backed Blues49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1969645.8%44 W · 52 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74bc…98c9backed Red Wings72c343.85$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.4312070.8%85 W · 35 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Blues33c299.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003644.4%16 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6643…0109backed Blues49c298.27$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.1548748.3%235 W · 252 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Red Wings69c265$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.1526344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8a2…87fcbacked Red Wings51c217.65$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.652268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+39.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0cb4…3e29backed Red Wings51c213$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.37250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7bf…b567backed Red Wings69c212.12$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.761921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.20per pick41cpaid-55.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed Blues49c207$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.437152.1%37 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb92a…607bbacked Blues50c204$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-37.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Red Wings51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9838445.8%176 W · 208 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Blues16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8752…abe4backed Blues50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5be…46cebacked Blues6c199$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.96319.7%3 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-49.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Red Wings51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1b8…7666backed Red Wings51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Red Wings51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0845447.8%217 W · 237 L-17.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Blues52c182.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1523545.1%106 W · 129 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Blues50c175$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.523741.4%98 W · 139 L-14.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Red Wings49c149$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.5830848.4%149 W · 159 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8f0…37ebbacked Red Wings51c135$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.15450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Blues50c128.4$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.239757.2%227 W · 170 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10fc…6b0fbacked Blues50c125$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-64.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Blues48c120.81$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9919942.7%85 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Blues50c119.7$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.851,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Blues50c112.55$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4537847.4%179 W · 199 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1114…d59abacked Red Wings51c107.84$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8422949.3%113 W · 116 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Red Wings71c104.62$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.551,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa26…f446backed Blues30c101.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e0e…3311backed Blues50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Blues49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491,22046.1%562 W · 658 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce12…0e76backed Red Wings52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb590…15d3backed Blues50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5048161.3%295 W · 186 L+21.3wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c61…9875backed Blues51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x96ba…68bebacked Red Wings50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Blues49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.