TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe7ff…e7f5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NFL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 57 out of 100; worst NHL at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST2657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+56.3%+$180
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$316
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$204
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$429
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+143.9%+$324.5
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+85.2%+$460
Warriors vs. Heatbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$224
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+150%+$600
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$364
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$570
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$440
Pacers vs. Jazzbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$560
Bulls vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+63.9%+$390
Raptors vs. Hawksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+108.3%+$520
Nets vs. Pacersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+233.3%+$700
Jazz vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+26.6%+$210
76ers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+81.8%+$450
Bucks vs. Raptorsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Lakers vs. Grizzliesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$550
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$430
Pacers vs. Mavericksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$290
Rockets vs. Raptorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$310
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$390
Heat vs. Grizzliesbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$590
Wizards vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+25%+$100
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST2060%12 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+41.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Texans vs. Coltsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+156.4%+$305
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$480
Panthers vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+29.9%+$115
Patriots vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$230
Bills vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+244.8%+$710
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+56.3%+$252
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$440
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+100%+$500
Jaguars vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$490
Browns vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+117.4%+$540
Vikings vs. Lionsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+400%+$800
Packers vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$410
Bears vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$420
Rams vs. Jaguarsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$380
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$700
Bills vs. Falconsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$660
Patriots vs. Saintsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$360
Cowboys vs. Panthersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$610
Broncos vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$230
All 20 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST1931.6%6 W · 13 L-4.3wins-0.22per pick54cpaid-37.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
NHL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Blackhawksbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$399
Golden Knights vs. Islandersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$280
Oilers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Flyers vs. Predatorsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+108.3%+$520
Blues vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$560
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$510
Stars vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$420
Jets vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Red Wings vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$520
Oilers vs. Canucksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
Penguins vs. Panthersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$640
Blackhawks vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$740
Oilers vs. Senatorsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$430
Devils vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$530
Kraken vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$450
Wild vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$570
Predators vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$400
Rangers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$430
Senators vs. Sabresbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$540
All 19 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clemson vs. South Carolinabacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+122.2%+$550
Missouri vs. Oklahomabacked Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$248
Indiana vs. Penn Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Miami vs. SMU Mustangsbacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$780
West Virginia vs. Houstonbacked West Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+455.6%+$820
UL Monroe vs. Southern Missbacked UL Monroe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$180
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Northwesternbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$410
Arizona vs. Houstonbacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$520
Arkansas State vs. South Alabamabacked South Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$730
Oklahoma vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$294
UCF vs. Cincinnatibacked UCF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
UCLA vs. Michigan Statebacked UCLA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$730
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jiangxi Open: Hanyu Guo vs Alina Korneevabacked Guo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$630
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$540
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO1)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$420
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$265
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.