NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e9a95e7c058f2e2da805208212b6d8ea6fbfb630c7dd06a232d96c86c4b095f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Penguins, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $599,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $601,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $599,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 914 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Panthers | 64c | 103,631$66,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,323.99 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Penguins | 38c | 78,076$29,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,181.65 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…1176backed Penguins | 36c | 59,019$21,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,772.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Penguins | 36c | 58,977$21,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,640.83 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Panthers | 64c | 40,934$26,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,197.94 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Penguins | 36c | 40,000$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,600 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Panthers | 64c | 21,921$14,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,029.44 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Penguins | 36c | 20,651$7,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,251.81 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Penguins | 36c | 19,107$6,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,230.23 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Panthers | 15c | 16,216$2,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,429.25 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Panthers | 64c | 13,673$8,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,750.71 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Panthers | 63c | 11,111$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999.91 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Panthers | 23c | 10,963$2,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,542.74 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Penguins | 37c | 10,270$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,470.27 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Penguins | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,400 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Panthers | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,400 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Panthers | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,300 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Panthers | 64c | 8,995$5,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,756.78 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9170…a3b7backed Panthers | 64c | 8,110$5,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,190.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…94febacked Penguins | 37c | 8,108$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,108.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Panthers | 65c | 7,385$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…bf4dbacked Penguins | 36c | 6,622$2,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,237.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Penguins | 35c | 6,409$2,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,165.61 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Penguins | 36c | 5,778$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,697.75 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Panthers | 64c | 5,571$3,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,565.66 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked Penguins | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +123.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Penguins | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…f402backed Panthers | 64c | 4,899$3,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,135.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf53f…174bbacked Panthers | 64c | 4,559$2,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,917.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…8c39backed Panthers | 64c | 4,017$2,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,570.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Panthers | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Penguins | 35c | 3,780$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,457.18 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Panthers | 25c | 3,659$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.66 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…48a9backed Panthers | 64c | 3,592$2,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,298.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Panthers | 27c | 3,548$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.82 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…a49fbacked Panthers | 64c | 3,345$2,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Penguins | 37c | 3,243$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.24 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +66%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Panthers | 63c | 3,175$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.25 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Panthers | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.98 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7016…9c7ebacked Panthers | 64c | 2,948$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…a273backed Panthers | 64c | 2,944$1,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Panthers | 65c | 2,877$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Panthers | 65c | 2,722$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,768.07 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Penguins | 36c | 2,632$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.48 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Panthers | 29c | 2,603$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.63 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcb…b4babacked Panthers | 64c | 2,592$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Penguins | 36c | 2,480$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.21 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…3a78backed Panthers | 64c | 2,234$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb32…3c6cbacked Panthers | 64c | 2,221$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Penguins | 76c | 2,131$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.76 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Panthers | 65c | 2,081$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.47 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecf…06f9backed Panthers | 64c | 2,030$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Panthers | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a3…801cbacked Penguins | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.99 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c58…dc05backed Panthers | 64c | 1,999$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb61…9488backed Panthers | 64c | 1,989$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Panthers | 64c | 1,989$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.66 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed Panthers | 63c | 1,843$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.52 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked Penguins | 36c | 1,843$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.51 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…7d29backed Panthers | 64c | 1,825$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a3…09a7backed Panthers | 64c | 1,794$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Panthers | 30c | 1,775$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f5…5b16backed Panthers | 64c | 1,700$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Panthers | 30c | 1,597$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.17 | 201 | 37.8%76 W · 125 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f1…ef5dbacked Panthers | 64c | 1,553$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7331…2923backed Panthers | 64c | 1,531$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0df…65a5backed Panthers | 64c | 1,518$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Penguins | 76c | 1,509$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.69 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ba…077abacked Penguins | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +63%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6c…2f0bbacked Panthers | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x618d…aadcbacked Panthers | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Panthers | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5911…332abacked Penguins | 36c | 1,492$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d99…91afbacked Panthers | 65c | 1,492$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…99febacked Panthers | 64c | 1,484$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ff…1e37backed Panthers | 65c | 1,472$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98d…fe62backed Penguins | 36c | 1,471$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Panthers | 63c | 1,468$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.84 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Panthers | 9c | 1,431$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.24 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked Panthers | 64c | 1,414$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.96 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…0f55backed Panthers | 65c | 1,400$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaae6…a85cbacked Penguins | 37c | 1,380$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36be…e8a7backed Panthers | 64c | 1,345$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Panthers | 63c | 1,335$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.32 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Panthers | 65c | 1,334$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.45 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Panthers | 6c | 1,333$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd50…9109backed Panthers | 64c | 1,320$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Penguins | 36c | 1,303$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.87 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Penguins | 37c | 1,243$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.24 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd438…b80abacked Penguins | 36c | 1,234$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…9b0ebacked Panthers | 64c | 1,221$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e99…543dbacked Panthers | 64c | 1,184$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b2…914ebacked Penguins | 37c | 1,164$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Penguins | 36c | 1,092$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.88 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Panthers | 65c | 1,055$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.75 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a7…ef6bbacked Panthers | 65c | 1,012$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.61 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Penguins | 36c | 1,010$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.62 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc341…6298backed Panthers | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730d…6cfabacked Panthers | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…e7f5backed Penguins | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penguins vs. Panthersthis page
- Penguins vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Penguins vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.