TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Spread: Panthers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Penguinsof Panthers, Penguins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$426,864
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$426,885

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $426,864 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2cc0…d2d0backed Penguins58c92,098$53,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,681.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f59…1176backed Panthers42c43,141$18,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,119.22250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec3…3cdcbacked Penguins58c33,869$19,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,224.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d9…e50fbacked Panthers42c13,587$5,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,706.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd4d…aea0backed Panthers42c10,356$4,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,349.52540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424f…99d6backed Panthers42c9,954$4,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,180.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc04…01f1backed Panthers42c9,161$3,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,847.6230%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a64…69d5backed Panthers42c7,904$3,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,319.6820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61c4…d114backed Panthers42c7,662$3,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,218.0440%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x06b2…391abacked Panthers42c7,476$3,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,139.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd90c…acf0backed Panthers42c6,976$2,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,929.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bf1…b321backed Panthers42c6,886$2,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,892.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70aa…15f8backed Penguins58c6,803$3,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,857.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd92c…2e48backed Penguins58c6,646$3,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,791.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97ff…e1dbbacked Panthers42c6,348$2,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,666.16425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef0c…2524backed Penguins58c6,321$3,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,654.824100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+107.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe608…749cbacked Penguins58c6,308$3,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,649.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2d0…fa41backed Penguins58c6,295$3,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,643.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72c7…472fbacked Panthers42c6,223$2,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,613.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e43…e366backed Panthers42c5,997$2,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,518.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57c1…6c36backed Panthers42c5,816$2,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,442.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64b4…56c6backed Panthers42c5,723$2,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,403.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x341b…e11dbacked Panthers42c5,595$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,349.930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67ad…c966backed Penguins58c5,503$3,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,311.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b18…afacbacked Penguins58c5,489$3,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,305.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9460…71edbacked Penguins58c5,464$3,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,294.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81c0…517ebacked Panthers42c5,343$2,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,244.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9c4…530dbacked Panthers42c5,255$2,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,207.110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d7d…7765backed Penguins58c4,977$2,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,090.34475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a78…bd69backed Penguins58c4,963$2,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,084.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c45…92adbacked Penguins58c4,945$2,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,076.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick61cpaid+65.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0cd…155cbacked Panthers42c4,874$2,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,047.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca81…91c7backed Penguins58c4,822$2,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,025.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcde8…8b09backed Penguins58c4,803$2,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,017.262100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89ce…e647backed Panthers42c4,763$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2d8…5a80backed Penguins58c4,719$2,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,981.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…431ebacked Panthers42c4,647$1,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,951.74250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x868a…add6backed Panthers42c4,641$1,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,949.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d61…75e9backed Panthers42c4,534$1,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,904.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5057…531abacked Panthers42c4,147$1,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,741.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1d1…d5b0backed Penguins58c4,106$2,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,724.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b2e…1980backed Penguins58c4,057$2,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf168…35fcbacked Panthers42c4,016$1,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,686.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5af…7683backed Penguins58c3,918$2,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,645.562100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fdf…cc39backed Panthers42c3,886$1,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,632.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e43…0f60backed Panthers42c3,796$1,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,594.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72e2…80c8backed Penguins58c3,796$2,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,594.32450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c72…b1e8backed Panthers42c3,506$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,472.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x113a…1251backed Penguins58c3,463$2,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,454.463100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+109.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29b1…da56backed Penguins58c3,435$1,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,442.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8139…9ee6backed Penguins58c3,401$1,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,428.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f60…e360backed Panthers42c3,344$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,404.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda0c…af73backed Penguins58c3,314$1,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47e8…18c6backed Penguins58c3,273$1,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,374.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde29…2cd6backed Penguins58c3,238$1,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3b…d6c1backed Penguins58c3,141$1,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74de…db8abacked Panthers42c3,066$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.7230%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf34…d146backed Penguins58c2,982$1,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.443100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x00b6…904bbacked Panthers42c2,972$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,248.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x925e…fdf3backed Panthers42c2,947$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f4d…6982backed Penguins58c2,813$1,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec53…e599backed Panthers42c2,786$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1253…9868backed Panthers42c2,780$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x402d…2a64backed Panthers42c2,718$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.56425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82ac…a6cabacked Panthers42c2,700$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,13410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25b2…6703backed Panthers42c2,689$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb21…8062backed Panthers42c2,577$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c40…9c3abacked Panthers42c2,568$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.56425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x807b…ea2fbacked Panthers42c2,538$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x296b…7a1fbacked Penguins58c2,428$1,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10d3…14a7backed Panthers42c2,419$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3eb…0e8abacked Panthers42c2,384$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfb7…5f51backed Panthers42c2,308$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.3630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed30…f3b3backed Panthers42c2,297$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcca3…a61ebacked Panthers42c2,282$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2384…d3dcbacked Panthers42c2,281$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b4…62edbacked Panthers42c2,172$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ca1…a834backed Panthers42c2,150$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7878…d30bbacked Penguins58c2,119$1,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b7a…a385backed Penguins58c2,092$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x094b…c415backed Penguins58c1,923$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc943…7626backed Penguins58c1,912$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f1…6fa7backed Panthers42c1,908$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb004…c887backed Panthers42c1,865$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b55…3141backed Penguins58c1,816$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27d6…cfe7backed Panthers42c1,812$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae67…15a6backed Penguins58c1,755$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b0…5146backed Penguins58c1,733$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd09c…8f1bbacked Panthers42c1,692$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8844…5adbbacked Panthers42c1,672$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.24450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3991…012ebacked Panthers42c1,630$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.6475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick55cpaid+29.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35f0…bc6bbacked Panthers42c1,623$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.66450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd47…44b9backed Penguins58c1,621$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cf7…3ff1backed Penguins58c1,597$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6dc…83b9backed Panthers42c1,593$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45dc…92afbacked Penguins58c1,557$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.94250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x678c…c278backed Panthers42c1,543$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a34…b717backed Penguins58c1,463$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6af7…a0a3backed Panthers42c1,458$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe87…6b3cbacked Penguins58c1,457$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.