TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1e33…bf4d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
390
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: Venezuela, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Venezuela at 55 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT11054.5%60 W · 50 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 110 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.76
LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.49
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.07
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.47
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$14.42
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.9
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.76
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.32
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$27.39
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.6
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$10.32
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.13
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+81.7%+$197.1
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.38
LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.88
LoL: SK Gaming vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$404.18
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$162.12
LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Group Stagebacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+61.1%+$56.44
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$33.75
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$152.15
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+106.6%+$193.18
Showing 25 of 110 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT10015%15 W · 85 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-32.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 100 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.46
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.38
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$93.12
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.37
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+397.7%+$615.29
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.1
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$44.38
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$91
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$67.81
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.55
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$723Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$722.79
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$799Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+203.6%+$1,628.06
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 100 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT3748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$208
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.63
Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$83.4
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.19
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.16
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$173
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+130.9%+$106.89
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.76
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$59.23
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.55
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$28.33
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+140%+$431.7
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+102.8%+$318.57
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$76.88
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$109.84
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$97.5
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+186.3%+$325.35
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.86
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.47
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$54.17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$385
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.9
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.23
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+62.1%+$211.69
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$101.82
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$163.31
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$20.37
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$578Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+26%+$150.39
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$5,223Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,222.87
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.9
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$27.71
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.7
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$211.83
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$24.5
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+394.5%+$215.39
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$109.13
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$83.79
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$189.5
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+673.7%+$92.3
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$12.49
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$51.76
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.93
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$90.56
Warriors vs. Heatbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$528.12
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$382.79
Thunder vs. Trail Blazersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$431
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+81.3%+$185.04
Pistons vs. Grizzliesbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$544Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+52.5%+$285.52
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-54%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+62.7%+$110.26
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.98
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.96
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$30.49
All 12 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-50.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Opinion FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+34.4%+$80.86
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$689Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+93.4%+$644.07
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+120.3%+$392.45
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$352.82
Will Paradex launch a token on March 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.18
Will Infinex launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$277.02
Meteora FDV above $750M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
All 11 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-53.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$108.38
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.37
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.4
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.72
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44.73
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$16.73
All 10 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on June 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on June 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$25.8
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.72
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$57.2
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$59.45
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.92
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 57°F or below on February 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+30.8%+$6.78
All 9 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana reach $100 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$685Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$685.44
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$85
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,817Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,816.58
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$903Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$903.32
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$49.2
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$40.5
Will Ethereum reach $3,700 November 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$126.94
Will Bitcoin dip to $105,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$32
All 9 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-49.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will "Hottest" be said at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.48
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will "Marty Supreme" win no awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$137
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.58
Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 17m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$49.27
All 8 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-59.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+133.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Kings (-1.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Penguins vs. Panthersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,384Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$4,237.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$21.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$435
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburg European Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alex de Minaurbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.