Tennis · resolved market
Hamburg European Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alex de Minaur
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4eb230c173a4bd83760768b68750f46b7f1cf18fdd2a4dcf3017b266ee270418
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alex de Minaurof Francisco Cerundolo, Alex de Minaur
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $526,441
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $618,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $526,441 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 309 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b52…568ebacked Francisco Cerundolo | 54c | 55,066$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 204 | 59.3%121 W · 83 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Alex de Minaur | 60c | 21,929$13,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,850.95 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 42c | 20,597$8,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,550.16 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 21c | 17,825$3,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,714.56 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Francisco Cerundolo | 42c | 17,326$7,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,336.81 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…8950backed Alex de Minaur | 21c | 13,918$2,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,969.87 | 392 | 43.4%170 W · 222 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Francisco Cerundolo | 19c | 13,100$2,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,462.48 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Alex de Minaur | 61c | 11,898$7,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,621.95 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 61c | 11,645$7,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,119.77 | 647 | 55.2%357 W · 290 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Alex de Minaur | 45c | 11,336$5,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,243.18 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Francisco Cerundolo | 56c | 8,007$4,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,496.62 | 661 | 39.3%260 W · 401 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alex de Minaur | 46c | 7,901$3,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,244.39 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Alex de Minaur | 68c | 5,278$3,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.79 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4538…7d5cbacked Alex de Minaur | 49c | 4,711$2,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420.12 | 177 | 38.4%68 W · 109 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Alex de Minaur | 43c | 3,779$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.86 | 173 | 59.5%103 W · 70 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…61e5backed Alex de Minaur | 31c | 3,242$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,245.8 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Francisco Cerundolo | 29c | 3,047$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e1…0458backed Alex de Minaur | 56c | 2,712$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.8 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Francisco Cerundolo | 52c | 2,655$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 412 | 51%210 W · 202 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10c…0645backed Alex de Minaur | 33c | 2,466$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.46 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | -9.4wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed Alex de Minaur | 40c | 2,448$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.29 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Alex de Minaur | 37c | 2,341$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.54 | 488 | 55.9%273 W · 215 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alex de Minaur | 59c | 2,315$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.14 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Francisco Cerundolo | 8c | 2,285$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.93 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Francisco Cerundolo | 12c | 2,092$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288c…3641backed Alex de Minaur | 35c | 2,080$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.23 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…b0eabacked Alex de Minaur | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 394 | 38.1%150 W · 244 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…4463backed Alex de Minaur | 17c | 1,868$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.07 | 274 | 31.8%87 W · 187 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked Alex de Minaur | 29c | 1,866$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.21 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…1db6backed Alex de Minaur | 52c | 1,735$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.9 | 285 | 62.8%179 W · 106 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Alex de Minaur | 67c | 1,715$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.37 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 22c | 1,712$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.3 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Francisco Cerundolo | 73c | 1,561$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.05 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Francisco Cerundolo | 59c | 1,532$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.48 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0574…3ee0backed Francisco Cerundolo | 7c | 1,432$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Francisco Cerundolo | 52c | 1,401$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.04 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20c1…df04backed Alex de Minaur | 33c | 1,368$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.58 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Francisco Cerundolo | 67c | 1,341$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.59 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Alex de Minaur | 39c | 1,292$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.82 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Francisco Cerundolo | 2c | 1,254$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Alex de Minaur | 74c | 1,175$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.68 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f2…b0f3backed Alex de Minaur | 35c | 1,158$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.77 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…9666backed Alex de Minaur | 43c | 1,151$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.93 | 484 | 40.3%195 W · 289 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Alex de Minaur | 49c | 1,113$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.15 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Alex de Minaur | 30c | 1,080$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.79 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Alex de Minaur | 38c | 1,014$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.67 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Alex de Minaur | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c3…55a3backed Alex de Minaur | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 61c | 958.86$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.41 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Alex de Minaur | 34c | 939.33$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.55 | 149 | 33.6%50 W · 99 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 46c | 894.95$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.9 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca4…348fbacked Alex de Minaur | 29c | 863.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.96 | 294 | 43.5%128 W · 166 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…90cbbacked Alex de Minaur | 38c | 854.33$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.33 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alex de Minaur | 58c | 850.37$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.31 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Francisco Cerundolo | 79c | 810.39$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.61 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Francisco Cerundolo | 65c | 800$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.86 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Alex de Minaur | 37c | 799.98$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.99 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Francisco Cerundolo | 77c | 795.37$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.34 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…7f10backed Francisco Cerundolo | 63c | 768.25$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe6…8192backed Alex de Minaur | 38c | 750$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Alex de Minaur | 21c | 738.26$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.04 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Francisco Cerundolo | 21c | 714.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 873 | 37.1%324 W · 549 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…d5d3backed Francisco Cerundolo | 64c | 712.5$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.99 | 601 | 58.6%352 W · 249 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Francisco Cerundolo | 59c | 700$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 489 | 41.1%201 W · 288 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Francisco Cerundolo | 62c | 692.8$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.54 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Francisco Cerundolo | 49c | 669.9$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.3 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Alex de Minaur | 75c | 669$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.59 | 351 | 87.7%308 W · 43 L | +66.4wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Francisco Cerundolo | 65c | 651.62$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.09 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Francisco Cerundolo | 18c | 649.22$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.66 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e4fcbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 63c | 647.98$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Alex de Minaur | 29c | 637.93$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.93 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bd…0ce0backed Alex de Minaur | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.24 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Alex de Minaur | 33c | 580.31$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.31 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Alex de Minaur | 60c | 565.62$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.62 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…f5bdbacked Alex de Minaur | 33c | 556.94$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.36 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Alex de Minaur | 34c | 555.66$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.66 | 357 | 55.5%198 W · 159 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…78f8backed Francisco Cerundolo | 64c | 541.41$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.5 | 436 | 47.2%206 W · 230 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Alex de Minaur | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 512 | 43%220 W · 292 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Alex de Minaur | 41c | 540.05$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.05 | 196 | 26%51 W · 145 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9082…afc3backed Alex de Minaur | 20c | 538.2$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.56 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed Francisco Cerundolo | 10c | 523.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 38c | 510.93$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.61 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Alex de Minaur | 18c | 506.04$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.56 | 160 | 18.1%29 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Francisco Cerundolo | 63c | 505.54$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.51 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56b…ac88backed Francisco Cerundolo | 20c | 500.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Francisco Cerundolo | 62c | 499.1$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Alex de Minaur | 30c | 497.54$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.54 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Alex de Minaur | 62c | 483.94$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.53 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Alex de Minaur | 30c | 469.16$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.16 | 672 | 39.1%263 W · 409 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97a6…2190backed Alex de Minaur | 14c | 457.14$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.14 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x898a…499abacked Francisco Cerundolo | 68c | 440.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.76 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 60c | 438$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.8 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a3…cc1bbacked Alex de Minaur | 40c | 423.73$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.24 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 8c | 400$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 152 | 25%38 W · 114 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf88…3ed6backed Alex de Minaur | 64c | 399.99$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…a75cbacked Alex de Minaur | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.74 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…b855backed Francisco Cerundolo | 47c | 369.71$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.26 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Alex de Minaur | 36c | 368.07$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.56 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Alex de Minaur | 69c | 356.1$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.39 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hamburg European Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alex de Minaurthis page
- Francisco Cerundolo vs. Alex de Minaur: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Cerundolo vs MinaurCerundolo won
- Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-1.5) vs Minaur (+1.5)Minaur won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.