TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc1f2…b0f3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
32
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: MLB, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT2524%6 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Granby: Nicolas Arseneault vs Andres Martinbacked Andres Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$315
Bogota: Valerio Aboian vs Luis Carlos Alvarezbacked Valerio Aboian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.93
Centurion 2: Sasikumar Mukund vs Giles Husseybacked Sasikumar Mukund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.67
Roland Garros WTA: Caty McNally vs Belinda Bencicbacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$463Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$463.02
Vicenza: Pietro Fellin vs Pol Martin Tiffonbacked Pietro Fellin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.05
Hamburg European Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.42
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Jaime Faria vs Lukas Neumayerbacked Lukas Neumayer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Emma Navarrobacked Shuai Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.91
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Ugo Humbertbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.31
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Marco Cecchinato vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Marco Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$820Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$820.2
Istanbul: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Yannick Alexandrescoubacked Yannick Alexandrescou · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$546Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$545.8
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Alexandra Eala vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,136.71
Hamburg European Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+186.4%+$753.77
Valencia: Dusan Lajovic vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Zagreb: Yannick Alexandrescou vs August Holmgrenbacked August Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$440.59
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+139.7%+$231.24
BNP Paribas Open: Zizou Bergs vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$570.64
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Darwin Blanch vs Dino Prizmicbacked Darwin Blanch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$802Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$802.33
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Nicolas Jarry vs Francesco Maestrellibacked Nicolas Jarry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$498.78
Chile Open: Mariano Navone vs Luciano Darderibacked Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$312.66
Dallas Open: Tommy Paul vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+733.3%+$2,031.33
Rotterdam Open: Karen Khachanov vs Jaume Munarbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$353.73
Set 1 Winner: Fritz vs Nakashimabacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+69.1%+$144.49
Australian Open Women's: Elina Svitolina vs Mirra Andreevabacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+138.1%+$125.13
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Tomas Machacbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+132.6%+$152.44
All 25 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Santos FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.11
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$381Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+104.1%+$396.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.21
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$214.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$370.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$719.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Allen vs. Silva (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$288.94
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.