Tennis · resolved market
Chile Open: Mariano Navone vs Luciano Darderi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4940857f4b857f5b971b8268767b9ccf2ef5d6bc801b097ecc9da797c97a44bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Darderiof Navone, Darderi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $193,834
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $212,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,834 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Navone | 30c | 11,525$3,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,426.42 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Darderi | 60c | 8,814$5,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,556.37 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Darderi | 68c | 7,627$5,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,435.99 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Navone | 18c | 5,088$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.48 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…e7f0backed Darderi | 75c | 5,065$3,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.47 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Darderi | 73c | 4,995$3,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.32 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Darderi | 57c | 4,769$2,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.75 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Darderi | 74c | 4,727$3,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.35 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Navone | 31c | 4,489$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.61 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Navone | 37c | 4,177$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedb…25debacked Darderi | 74c | 4,100$3,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Navone | 17c | 4,062$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.1 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfb…9c40backed Darderi | 67c | 3,996$2,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.52 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Darderi | 64c | 3,922$2,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.76 | 600 | 55.7%334 W · 266 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Darderi | 69c | 3,422$2,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.83 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd5…d06bbacked Navone | 31c | 3,226$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade0…e568backed Navone | 31c | 2,619$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Darderi | 63c | 2,514$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.54 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f2…b0f3backed Navone | 13c | 2,498$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.66 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…eca3backed Navone | 28c | 2,366$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.04 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Navone | 75c | 2,354$1,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.66 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Navone | 34c | 2,344$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Darderi | 48c | 2,321$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.94 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Navone | 32c | 2,068$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.39 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Darderi | 71c | 1,827$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.94 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Darderi | 69c | 1,800$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558 | 706 | 52.7%372 W · 334 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1e…b911backed Darderi | 69c | 1,733$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.07 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Navone | 32c | 1,656$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.92 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Navone | 33c | 1,631$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.94 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Navone | 31c | 1,525$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.54 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Darderi | 67c | 1,514$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.63 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Navone | 29c | 1,495$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.74 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Navone | 23c | 1,326$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Darderi | 41c | 1,195$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.12 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Navone | 29c | 1,001$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.48 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Darderi | 68c | 999.91$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.97 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…aef2backed Darderi | 69c | 933$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.23 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 63cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Navone | 32c | 930$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.6 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Darderi | 66c | 897.66$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.52 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Navone | 34c | 890.21$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.99 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Navone | 30c | 863$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.53 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…b08bbacked Navone | 33c | 850.93$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.81 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…d5d0backed Navone | 57c | 760.98$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.81 | 247 | 62.3%154 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Darderi | 67c | 700.1$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.48 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Navone | 35c | 571$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.85 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Navone | 32c | 516.76$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.73 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Navone | 31c | 514.29$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Darderi | 69c | 507.25$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.25 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Darderi | 68c | 492.51$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.6 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Navone | 26c | 484.61$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…8d9bbacked Navone | 33c | 472.2$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 319 | 41.4%132 W · 187 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Navone | 32c | 461$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.52 | 552 | 41.3%228 W · 324 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Navone | 26c | 449.86$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.96 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Darderi | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 207 | 48.3%100 W · 107 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Navone | 31c | 406.29$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.01 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5f…6cecbacked Darderi | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 277 | 49.8%138 W · 139 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Navone | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Navone | 31c | 399.69$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.48 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Navone | 32c | 369$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.08 | 432 | 42.4%183 W · 249 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfded…312cbacked Darderi | 69c | 349$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.19 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Darderi | 75c | 333.59$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.59 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Darderi | 68c | 330.76$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.84 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Navone | 34c | 311.52$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.92 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…20a3backed Navone | 21c | 300$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Darderi | 66c | 294.11$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Darderi | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6d…fa35backed Darderi | 66c | 287.88$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.88 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Navone | 32c | 275.72$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.23 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Navone | 34c | 269.88$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.81 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Navone | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0439…3f80backed Darderi | 62c | 239.47$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Darderi | 68c | 231.17$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 270 | 63.7%172 W · 98 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Darderi | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Navone | 21c | 210.52$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Navone | 22c | 208.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 442 | 29.6%131 W · 311 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…05dfbacked Navone | 41c | 207.35$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.01 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Darderi | 70c | 204.7$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.74 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Navone | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Navone | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd33f…159cbacked Darderi | 79c | 194$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.01 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Darderi | 65c | 192.31$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.31 | 245 | 60%147 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Navone | 48c | 184$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.32 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3be6…05b1backed Darderi | 69c | 173.91$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Darderi | 44c | 164.31$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.33 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b64…a351backed Darderi | 69c | 159.42$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.42 | 352 | 68.2%240 W · 112 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Darderi | 67c | 159.08$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.33 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…56ecbacked Darderi | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Navone | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Darderi | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Navone | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Darderi | 37c | 135.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.13 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Darderi | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Navone | 32c | 128.03$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…80bbbacked Navone | 26c | 125.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Navone | 29c | 119.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 111 | 23.4%26 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c77…bde7backed Darderi | 70c | 116.66$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Darderi | 56c | 111.63$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.69 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc42…01b2backed Darderi | 76c | 110.64$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Darderi | 68c | 110.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Navone | 40c | 107.25$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chile Open: Mariano Navone vs Luciano Darderithis page
- Set 1 Winner: Navone vs DarderiDarderi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.