TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x97a0…da35

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
499
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: World Politics, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 52 out of 100; worst Commodities at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT47946.3%222 W · 257 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 479 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Credit One Charleston Open: Sara Bejlek vs Akasha Urhobobacked Akasha Urhobo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.87
Credit One Charleston Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.5
Credit One Charleston Open: Bianca Andreescu vs Dalma Galfibacked Bianca Andreescu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$44.1
Bucharest Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Filip Jianubacked Filip Jianu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.86
Bucharest Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Titouan Droguetbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$40.42
Bucharest Open: Gabi Boitan vs Elmer Moellerbacked Gabi Boitan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.93
Miyazaki: Rio Noguchi vs Tung-Lin Wubacked Rio Noguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Credit One Charleston Open: Alycia Parks vs Mary Stoianabacked Mary Stoiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.18
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Alex Bolt vs Yibing Wubacked Alex Bolt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$48.36
Sao Leopoldo: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Valerio Aboianbacked Valerio Aboian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.5
Credit One Charleston Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Anna Bondarbacked Darja Vidmanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.24
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Adolfo Vallejo vs Zachary Svajdabacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.87
Credit One Charleston Open: Elvina Kalieva vs McCartney Kesslerbacked Elvina Kalieva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.39
Credit One Charleston Open: Solana Sierra vs Akasha Urhobobacked Akasha Urhobo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+90.1%+$128.63
Credit One Charleston Open: Eva Lys vs Katie Volynetsbacked Katie Volynets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+90%+$106.37
Credit One Charleston Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Dayana Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$52.59
Barletta: Duje Ajdukovic vs Lukas Neumayerbacked Lukas Neumayer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$76.23
Grand Prix Hassan II, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Rei Sakamotobacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.11
Grand Prix Hassan II, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$25.12
Grand Prix Hassan II, Qualification: Timofey Skatov vs Moez Echarguibacked Timofey Skatov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$37.81
Copa Colsanitas, Qualification: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Anastasia Tikhonovabacked Marina Bassols Ribera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Copa Colsanitas, Qualification: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Elina Avanesyanbacked Elina Avanesyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Alex Bolt vs Andres Andradebacked Andres Andrade · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Copa Colsanitas, Qualification: Carol Zhao vs Lia Karatanchevabacked Carol Zhao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Credit One Charleston Open, Qualification: Yue Yuan vs Kajsa Rinaldo Perssonbacked Kajsa Rinaldo Persson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 479 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-47%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+429.6%+$859.11
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$110
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$520
All 10 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+223.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.