Middle East · resolved market
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3781472356e548fd9d7760119b34f93089b732774619046ac1fb98fd58c44757
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,122,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,129,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,122,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 908 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 78c | 40,935$32,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,922.55 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -42%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 35c | 34,701$12,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,390.84 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc023…ccf8backed No | 29c | 26,450$7,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,676.26 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…12b2backed No | 49c | 26,437$12,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,977.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed No | 70c | 26,305$18,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,295.91 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 74c | 20,369$14,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,369.62 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x238a…1574backed No | 33c | 19,046$6,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,348 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…9bd4backed Yes | 41c | 17,640$7,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,482.82 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce3…6275backed No | 72c | 17,611$12,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,701.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…19dabacked Yes | 74c | 16,439$12,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,208.94 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes | 75c | 15,973$12,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,949.46 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…9558backed Yes | 49c | 15,833$7,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,087.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 67c | 15,707$10,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,249.96 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed No | 2c | 15,000$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.55 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 36c | 14,855$5,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,512.21 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed No | 48c | 14,571$7,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,048.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2844…10f7backed No | 43c | 13,095$5,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,589.93 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…00c7backed Yes | 21c | 10,988$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,712.19 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed No | 29c | 10,593$3,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,118.89 | 65 | 16.9%11 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c07…48d9backed No | 37c | 10,550$3,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,895.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…d29ebacked No | 4c | 10,163$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.92 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…fbeabacked No | 74c | 10,013$7,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,379.26 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked No | 65c | 9,848$6,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,411 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6497…e879backed Yes | 20c | 9,555$1,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,631.52 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed Yes | 68c | 9,538$6,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,014.25 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed No | 32c | 9,404$3,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,028.05 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed Yes | 31c | 8,101$2,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,593 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…9e88backed No | 23c | 8,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.98 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40b7…b1d3backed No | 37c | 7,884$2,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,892.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed Yes | 64c | 7,775$5,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,764.72 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 47c | 7,250$3,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,828.29 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…a350backed Yes | 60c | 7,078$4,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,812.59 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 17c | 7,059$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36fd…c834backed Yes | 72c | 6,735$4,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.47 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…d6c3backed Yes | 21c | 6,290$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,945.32 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 35cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8834…d285backed No | 71c | 6,240$4,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,432.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe97c…2a99backed No | 80c | 6,200$4,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,960 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0692…10fbbacked Yes | 78c | 6,030$4,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.28 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 30c | 5,763$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734.76 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa16f…6df1backed No | 49c | 5,647$2,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,751 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…c51cbacked No | 4c | 5,622$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa52…156bbacked No | 55c | 5,553$3,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,052.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 13c | 5,533$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.83 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fc…cd7abacked No | 43c | 5,531$2,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,361.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…0a0fbacked Yes | 26c | 5,503$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,056.52 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc81e…4ecdbacked No | 23c | 5,416$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2783…8321backed No | 57c | 5,289$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed No | 19c | 5,169$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.74 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x625b…bb21backed No | 76c | 5,135$3,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,917.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed No | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8977…22ffbacked No | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed Yes | 50c | 4,900$2,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,463.53 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 22c | 4,683$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,675.13 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x770e…7640backed No | 1c | 4,520$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 206 | 17%35 W · 171 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd063…5ccdbacked Yes | 75c | 4,516$3,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.64 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.2wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +137.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 21c | 4,484$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,528.02 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 29c | 4,473$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,164.99 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed No | 79c | 4,353$3,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,451.73 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…f295backed No | 35c | 4,247$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…5c8fbacked Yes | 23c | 4,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,079.96 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +7.5wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed No | 16c | 3,991$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.14 | 208 | 23.1%48 W · 160 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 28c | 3,784$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.17 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 62c | 3,772$2,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.22 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 21c | 3,659$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,888.78 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3e…8e7fbacked No | 28c | 3,575$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed No | 35c | 3,355$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.44 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Yes | 55c | 3,298$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.7 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4428…12adbacked No | 70c | 3,244$2,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,268.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5117…49b3backed No | 22c | 3,115$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 55c | 3,069$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.2 | 179 | 31.3%56 W · 123 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…509abacked No | 29c | 3,066$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.51 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1854…81eabacked Yes | 17c | 3,017$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,516.58 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +107%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3c…b218backed Yes | 34c | 2,896$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.61 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 35c | 2,866$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.18 | 126 | 34.9%44 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…3c32backed Yes | 15c | 2,590$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,193.07 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x249c…2783backed No | 64c | 2,577$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.49 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…5f1abacked No | 25c | 2,536$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe10…95cbbacked No | 19c | 2,536$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.63 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20e…d622backed No | 28c | 2,509$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff1…72ebbacked Yes | 36c | 2,507$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.85 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f51ebacked Yes | 40c | 2,500$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed Yes | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.99 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Yes | 79c | 2,500$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.99 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…a2c4backed Yes | 75c | 2,343$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8448…ba57backed Yes | 75c | 2,330$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c1…88e3backed No | 77c | 2,315$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.41 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 27c | 2,310$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.3 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4172…6436backed Yes | 13c | 2,306$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,011.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +685%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ac…e928backed No | 22c | 2,296$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.09 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb953…16ccbacked No | 70c | 2,199$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed Yes | 75c | 2,179$1,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.66 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked No | 57c | 2,148$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.1 | 266 | 19.2%51 W · 215 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed No | 42c | 2,141$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.78 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Yes | 78c | 2,105$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.45 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 56c | 2,084$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.02 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed No | 55c | 2,059$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.6 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ae…4b0abacked No | 29c | 2,044$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.75 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -94.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…b757backed Yes | 74c | 2,000$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.25 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…8145backed Yes | 68c | 2,000$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked Yes | 73c | 1,974$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.3 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.