TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeab6…509a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
100
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2025, EDT4143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Orioles vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.99
Astros vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+455.6%+$275.43
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.82
Athletics vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$409.42
Rockies vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Rays vs. Oriolesbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.09
Mets vs. Piratesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Athletics vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Nationals vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+122.8%+$24.57
Diamondbacks vs. White Soxbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Yankees vs. Redsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Astros vs. Athleticsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$20
Orioles vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Phillies vs. Marlinsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Padres vs. Dodgersbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
Guardians vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Red Sox vs. Marinersbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+150%+$15
Angels vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Padres vs. Diamondbacksbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Blue Jays vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Reds vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Giants vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Rays vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Yankees vs. Royalsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Pirates vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT3246.9%15 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-24.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.35
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$60.62
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$17.39
BLAST.tv Austin Major: FURIA vs. paiNbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Spirit vs. MOUZbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
BLAST.tv Austin Major: The MongolZ vs. G2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Legacy vs. MOUZbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Aurora vs. MOUZbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
BLAST.tv Austin Major: The MongolZ vs. FaZebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$20.71
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Legacy vs. Lynn Visionbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+86.8%+$60.75
BLAST.tv Austin Major: MOUZ vs. Liquidbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$7.47
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Spirit vs. NAVIbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
BLAST.tv Austin Major: The MongolZ vs. Lynn Visionbacked The MongolZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
BLAST.tv Austin Major: The MongolZ vs. Liquidbacked The MongolZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$12.31
BLAST.tv Austin Major: MOUZ vs. FaZebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$13.73
BLAST.tv Austin Major: 3DMAX vs. NAVIbacked NAVI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$29.7
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Virtus.pro vs. Legacybacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
BLAST.tv Austin Major: The MongolZ vs. FURIAbacked The MongolZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Aurora vs. FaZebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
BLAST.tv Austin Major stage 2: FaZe vs. 3DMAXbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$130
BLAST.tv Austin Major stage 2: FaZe vs. Legacybacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$181.82
BLAST.tv Austin Major stage 2: FaZe vs. HEROICbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
IEM Dallas: MOUZ vs. The MongolZbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$49.42
IEM Dallas: The MongolZ vs. Aurorabacked The MongolZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+82%+$54.64
IEM Dallas: 3DMAX vs. G2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$26.97
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST110%0 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$28.5
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will the US strike Syria next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$40.6
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$879.51
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.74
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weatherlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$7.36
Knicks vs Pacers: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Timberwolves vs Thunder: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+53.8%+$8.08
Will Borussia Dortmund beat Fluminense?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$11.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet less than 90 times July 4–11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.89
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.