CS2 · resolved market
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Spirit vs. NAVI
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21a9da881eaf034e1944bc42d634953e62b0dbcd96aa594ad53b4d5b6f3e1af2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Spirit, NAVI
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7600…4478backed NAVI | 28c | 5,641$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.4 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcb…3e9ebacked Spirit | 72c | 5,029$3,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.29 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Spirit | 73c | 2,995$2,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.7 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…831abacked NAVI | 27c | 1,851$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.77 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked NAVI | 25c | 1,800$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…d855backed Spirit | 72c | 1,665$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.47 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked NAVI | 33c | 1,506$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked Spirit | 78c | 1,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0394…3ef9backed NAVI | 10c | 1,400$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 74 | 18.9%14 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed NAVI | 7c | 923.74$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.21 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Spirit | 64c | 798.74$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.14 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed NAVI | 30c | 663.23$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.6 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed Spirit | 72c | 634.03$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.87 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Spirit | 70c | 567.27$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.18 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Spirit | 71c | 553.97$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.97 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed NAVI | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked NAVI | 28c | 499.98$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…0de7backed NAVI | 30c | 493.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…91f9backed NAVI | 44c | 367.73$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.8 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked NAVI | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked NAVI | 30c | 312.03$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.61 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked NAVI | 28c | 303.79$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.06 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x979e…25e0backed Spirit | 71c | 301.34$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked Spirit | 72c | 277.4$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.67 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed NAVI | 17c | 261.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063b…7d47backed Spirit | 71c | 256.39$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.39 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8334…4e9fbacked NAVI | 30c | 253.82$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.82 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…ffb8backed NAVI | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcadd…200bbacked NAVI | 36c | 186.15$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.79 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked NAVI | 27c | 172.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Spirit | 72c | 171.1$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed NAVI | 24c | 167.03$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed NAVI | 28c | 163.61$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked NAVI | 30c | 162.01$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x358e…b0ccbacked Spirit | 72c | 148.13$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.48 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Spirit | 68c | 137.65$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Spirit | 73c | 130.95$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb4…e810backed NAVI | 30c | 130$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5a…6509backed NAVI | 29c | 120.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Spirit | 69c | 117.2$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed NAVI | 30c | 107.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked Spirit | 73c | 102.74$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…3e05backed NAVI | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…8fa3backed Spirit | 72c | 84.17$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 217 | 62.7%136 W · 81 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26bb…6f44backed Spirit | 71c | 75.83$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed NAVI | 29c | 72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb192…9516backed NAVI | 45c | 71.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked NAVI | 17c | 71.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…509abacked Spirit | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26da…b8f4backed NAVI | 29c | 69.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaae…ee3cbacked Spirit | 73c | 63.9$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x853d…f8d4backed NAVI | 29c | 61.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d6…6fcbbacked NAVI | 35c | 61.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1702…24d6backed Spirit | 72c | 51.86$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…93aebacked NAVI | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa4…b3f0backed NAVI | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb678…5a9dbacked Spirit | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked NAVI | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4076…04acbacked Spirit | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…0ab0backed Spirit | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…d6e3backed Spirit | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.