TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x175b…93ae

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
197
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: F1, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category F1 at 54 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT14142.6%60 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 141 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 4 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 3 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$11.81
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+61%+$215.61
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.47
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$132.56
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$93
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+143.9%+$59
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+85.2%+$46
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+300%+$300
Showing 25 of 141 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-44.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$760
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$140
Will Phantom daily builder revenue hit $300k in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,128.29
Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$840
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16,794Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$16,793.95
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20,410Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20,410.07
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$9,192Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$9,192.42
Stable FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+25%+$400
Over $4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$270.05
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,319Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,319.32
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+37.2%+$77.02
Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,500
Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$16,559.81
Will BasedApp daily builder revenue hit $100k in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+183.5%+$280.22
Pump.fun >$5B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+29.5%+$28.36
All 15 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,275.43
Will Hyperliquid reach $50 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$619.55
Will Hyperliquid reach $60 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$275.41
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$7,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,250.13
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$36,467Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$36,467.06
Will Ethereum reach $4600 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$7,300Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+37%+$2,700
Will Bitcoin reach $114K in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$7,700Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$2,300
Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,994Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+33.1%+$1,652.62
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$433Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+61.7%+$267
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-36.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Sep 9, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+525%+$84
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+49.3%+$146.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$452Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+34.2%+$154.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win the 2024 Carabao Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.