Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Hyperliquid reach $60 in November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4e4600fcd3df92c1be47ce7c0b19037d6c2e83ccc7fae6f938cea5fcf7b50e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,098
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05f0…fc39backed Yes | 8c | 6,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 5,979$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.31 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea4…9d9abacked Yes | 7c | 2,993$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…93aebacked Yes | 12c | 2,349$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.41 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1398…a875backed Yes | 18c | 1,935$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b8…2c1fbacked Yes | 11c | 1,674$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.27 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0f…ee23backed Yes | 11c | 1,250$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a43…b7bdbacked Yes | 10c | 757.01$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e7…5769backed No | 77c | 697.28$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 13c | 586.7$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.28 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7918…f39fbacked Yes | 13c | 455.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9b…deddbacked Yes | 11c | 400$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +158.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…0b02backed Yes | 14c | 349.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a48…5515backed Yes | 10c | 308.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff3…d376backed Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…2453backed Yes | 8c | 275$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 9c | 263$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb439…7418backed Yes | 8c | 250$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b9…de55backed Yes | 12c | 250$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04c…9036backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -83%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6481…b1bfbacked Yes | 12c | 241.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…6dedbacked Yes | 10c | 230$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…504abacked Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…e7e6backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc80a…f768backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 6c | 170$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9092…9398backed Yes | 19c | 106.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79f2…15e0backed Yes | 18c | 99.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23af…7a37backed Yes | 15c | 81.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…b024backed No | 77c | 80.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x875c…d3e8backed Yes | 14c | 70.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf75…f10fbacked No | 76c | 62.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked No | 77c | 43.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8e…45aabacked No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 80c | 37.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 67cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd032…5136backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hyperliquid reach $60 in November?this page
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in November?No won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $30 in November?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $40 in November?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $50 in November?No won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $70 in November?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.