TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2575…e7e6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fed Rates, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fed Rates at 54 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST3834.2%13 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+566.7%+$169.98
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+233.3%+$70
Will Hyperliquid hit $30 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.36
Will Fartcoin hit $0.7 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$30
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28
BNB all time high by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Aster all time high by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$25
Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$637Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+151.2%+$962.99
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$333.8
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$469.44
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+36.4%+$80
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$33
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Solana dip to $120 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+203%+$67
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Hyperliquid reach $50 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+170.3%+$126
Will XRP dip to $1.80 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Will Hyperliquid reach $60 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1428.6%4 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Gold (GC) Up or Down on February 4?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15.88
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10.44
Will Gold (GC) settle at <$4,350 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$62.7
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed Gold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Silver (SI) Up or Down on January 22?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+122.2%+$54.99
Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on January 12?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+426.3%+$43
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$330
Will Gold close below $3200 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.1
Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$369
COMEX Gold Futures (GC=F) Up or Down on November 3?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$23.99
COMEX Silver Futures (SI=F) Up or Down on November 3?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$24
All 14 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Hyperlend FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Flying Tulip launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.71
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+44.9%+$31
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Will Hyperbeat launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+203%+$67
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+88.7%+$94
No airdrop in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$16.8
Kodiak FDV above $25M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$107.48
MarginFi airdrop by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT+88.7%+$28.08
All 13 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-78.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+49%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-49.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$48
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+66.7%+$80
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$154
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump announce TikTok deal by Thursday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$30.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.