Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x062412a5a1d7a1dfa40765c0f347382e67b93972c878d3563c55798e4843236f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $524,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $497,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $524,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf6f9…2ce1backed Yes | 6c | 23,533$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…6a92backed Yes | 12c | 22,280$2,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,598.23 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…876fbacked Yes | 10c | 19,381$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,885.64 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 8c | 14,735$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.98 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a3…6bd4backed Yes | 14c | 14,638$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.16 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…a44bbacked Yes | 17c | 13,086$2,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206.11 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f8…ade4backed Yes | 14c | 11,460$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…835ebacked Yes | 15c | 8,131$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 7,932$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.86 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9af5…da0abacked Yes | 17c | 7,625$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…6445backed Yes | 13c | 5,716$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.64 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +110%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…d56ebacked Yes | 8c | 4,958$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.53 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a6…409cbacked Yes | 9c | 4,900$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…e7e6backed Yes | 12c | 4,000$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.44 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cb…3f69backed Yes | 1c | 3,930$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.43 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…5261backed Yes | 8c | 3,800$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc3…edf0backed Yes | 8c | 3,735$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.24 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 12c | 3,720$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.13 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Yes | 11c | 3,267$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 15cpaid | +205.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Yes | 13c | 3,109$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x010b…81dcbacked Yes | 6c | 3,097$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.92 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Yes | 11c | 3,000$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb094…bf7fbacked Yes | 11c | 2,909$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bf…8763backed Yes | 15c | 2,845$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.31 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x231e…9297backed Yes | 12c | 2,711$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8033…4795backed Yes | 8c | 2,587$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 33cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc723…bf1ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,558$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c08…d3f0backed Yes | 21c | 2,382$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6735…f5b7backed Yes | 11c | 2,372$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Yes | 5c | 2,222$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 2,106$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Yes | 8c | 2,105$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.71 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -75%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9008…f3cebacked Yes | 12c | 2,008$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.36 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…ae93backed Yes | 9c | 2,000$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2e…13cbbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ff…7e02backed Yes | 12c | 1,990$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e0…a793backed Yes | 13c | 1,985$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…c974backed Yes | 11c | 1,842$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcedd…39f8backed Yes | 20c | 1,655$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8736…7ba8backed Yes | 8c | 1,623$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b6…fe02backed Yes | 13c | 1,569$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05fd…50c9backed Yes | 7c | 1,547$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 4c | 1,519$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.88 | 146 | 3.4%5 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,425$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 120 | 3.3%4 W · 116 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e45…313abacked Yes | 16c | 1,339$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,302$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.64 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0c…b2e6backed Yes | 9c | 1,283$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed No | 67c | 1,258$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.5 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 1,250$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aed…46fabacked Yes | 12c | 1,228$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.21 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 4c | 1,215$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 107 | 3.7%4 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e98…c5e8backed Yes | 8c | 1,202$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 5c | 1,200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 212 | 5.7%12 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 17c | 1,194$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04fc…0e31backed No | 74c | 1,140$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x181d…e81dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,133$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0670…2bf0backed Yes | 17c | 1,129$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -71%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad4…3d8cbacked Yes | 24c | 1,124$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.89 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa653…444ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,116$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…8eccbacked Yes | 7c | 1,050$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 38cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46c7…93a7backed Yes | 19c | 1,023$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6252…495dbacked Yes | 23c | 1,000$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae2…8c70backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a8…2045backed No | 79c | 1,000$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf2…111dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f71…2e46backed No | 79c | 999.99$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b66…f145backed Yes | 30c | 991.76$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ea…45e3backed Yes | 7c | 981.16$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…3817backed Yes | 10c | 950.01$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0226…7ca2backed Yes | 11c | 911.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ac…1af2backed Yes | 10c | 908.34$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes | 11c | 900$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.74 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…e2bebacked Yes | 15c | 855.18$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b5…090dbacked Yes | 8c | 825$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x625a…7bb3backed Yes | 19c | 788.14$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce03…5608backed No | 75c | 782.51$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.86 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e03…a361backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0061…548ebacked Yes | 20c | 764.37$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.91 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eec…c999backed Yes | 8c | 754.14$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…1df4backed Yes | 7c | 750$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fe…ab9abacked Yes | 8c | 737.29$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 7c | 734.26$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.74 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 17cpaid | -96.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 6c | 726.82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.21 | 143 | 1.4%2 W · 141 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…24fabacked Yes | 2c | 726.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8242…cb6ebacked Yes | 7c | 700$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda23…080ebacked Yes | 13c | 663.33$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked No | 70c | 624.73$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x285e…229bbacked Yes | 4c | 614.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd980…5be0backed Yes | 8c | 597.37$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 112 | 10.7%12 W · 100 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7d…63abbacked Yes | 13c | 591.07$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…06abbacked Yes | 8c | 578.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad96…da44backed Yes | 9c | 577$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x980f…778cbacked Yes | 11c | 573.57$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee5…27d8backed Yes | 8c | 561.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…99cbbacked Yes | 9c | 560$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 54 | 1.9%1 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…750bbacked Yes | 15c | 544.5$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d43…bec0backed Yes | 16c | 540$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed Yes | 8c | 538.86$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 78 | 1.3%1 W · 77 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 6cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026?this page
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $40 before 2026?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?No won
- Will Hyperliquid hit $55 in 2025?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.