TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe9a6…409c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
111
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 57 out of 100; worst Fed Rates at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST3773%27 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$93
Will Solana reach $150 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+39.5%+$170
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$46
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$98
Will Solana dip to $80 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 29-January 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 December 29-January 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$157.5
Will Solana dip to $110 in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$37
Will XRP reach $2.60 in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$66
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+46.5%+$206.3
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37%+$67.5
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$60
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+45.8%+$31.4
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$307.65
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$456
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$104
Will XRP dip to $1.70 December 15-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+49.3%+$49.5
Will Solana dip to $100 December 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$41.92
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 December 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Will Ethereum dip to $2,700 December 15-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+38.9%+$84
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 8-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+40.8%+$72.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 December 8-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+38.9%+$56
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 December 8-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+31.6%+$36
Will Solana reach $150 December 1-7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+59.2%+$74.4
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 December 1-7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+25%+$50
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18.62
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.99
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$58.8
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$875.98
Will Josh Giddey win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$8
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.5
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Nuggets vs. Cavaliersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Jazz vs. Clippersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$37.5
76ers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$58.75
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$759.99
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$122.99
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$64.4
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$132
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+29.9%+$92
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$188.55
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+53.8%+$35
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$62
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$32
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$64.99
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$69.99
All 11 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick70cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$134.99
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$360
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$111.55
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$295
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+28.2%+$88
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+26.4%+$104.4
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$319.99
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$258.47
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$66
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-43.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$234
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will three people dissent the December Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$77
Will the December 2025 FOMC decision result in a 25bp cut with >2 dissents?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$377.73
Will two people dissent the December Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+63.9%+$31.04
Will the December 2025 FOMC decision result in a 25bp cut with ≤2 dissents?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$31.5
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+104.1%+$204
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$695Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+43.9%+$305
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+40%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-39.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$116.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+53.8%+$175
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$98
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$485.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.