NBA · resolved market
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73f7620da1d4a2ec2283ad55d72f5ff4666e8732ec04458f88dff6773d6be2c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,514,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,347,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,514,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 846 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd600…b66ebacked Yes | 3c | 404,229$11,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,376.4 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +159.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Yes | 8c | 200,000$16,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,799.99 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 2c | 126,096$2,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,574.9 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 8c | 125,000$10,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,274.49 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d2…b69fbacked Yes | 4c | 106,233$3,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,742.31 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf1…3f2cbacked Yes | 2c | 104,268$2,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460.61 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 2cpaid | +392.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 6c | 85,185$5,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,362.22 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Yes | 6c | 80,000$4,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,795.77 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde48…30e7backed Yes | 3c | 72,032$2,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,018.97 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 3c | 67,581$2,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,128.75 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 1c | 64,659$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.59 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Yes | 4c | 54,804$2,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,082.53 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Yes | 2c | 47,521$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.68 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Yes | 18c | 47,318$8,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,571.94 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 44,745$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.76 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 40,722$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.42 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ea…ae12backed Yes | 6c | 40,447$2,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad9…7ad0backed Yes | 3c | 35,598$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.42 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +138.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 27,957$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.07 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde7c…c933backed Yes | 3c | 27,318$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.23 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 1c | 27,015$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.78 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Yes | 3c | 25,750$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.37 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 1c | 25,672$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.46 | 220 | 36.8%81 W · 139 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes | 13c | 20,000$2,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,629.99 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Yes | 2c | 19,114$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.33 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1653…0348backed Yes | 3c | 18,534$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…d7dcbacked Yes | 3c | 17,206$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.31 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ba…0a52backed Yes | 4c | 16,402$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.76 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d7…9addbacked Yes | 12c | 16,136$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.22 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x719b…c995backed Yes | 6c | 15,812$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…81d5backed Yes | 3c | 15,674$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.29 | 151 | 35.1%53 W · 98 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x115a…e4a6backed Yes | 6c | 15,580$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a27…5684backed Yes | 1c | 15,100$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 8c | 15,000$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.97 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9253…0baebacked Yes | 2c | 14,779$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 2c | 14,673$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.28 | 394 | 49.2%194 W · 200 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes | 3c | 14,489$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.32 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 7c | 13,733$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.68 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 3c | 13,349$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.71 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b24…c4bebacked Yes | 21c | 13,248$2,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,795.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0932…d831backed Yes | 4c | 13,214$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…c332backed Yes | 3c | 12,946$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.34 | 183 | 32.2%59 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…0667backed Yes | 1c | 12,301$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.42 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481a…8ee4backed Yes | 2c | 11,866$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.45 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…0dfdbacked Yes | 1c | 11,863$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.72 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2030…e89cbacked Yes | 1c | 10,998$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.48 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x050f…6b27backed Yes | 1c | 10,938$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.43 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed Yes | 2c | 10,836$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ad68backed Yes | 3c | 10,828$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…91dabacked Yes | 1c | 10,678$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.02 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…0e62backed Yes | 7c | 10,643$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 20c | 10,557$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,129.8 | 141 | 7.8%11 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…6a92backed Yes | 1c | 10,409$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes | 11c | 10,148$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.97 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 80c | 10,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 9,689$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.09 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…83aebacked Yes | 4c | 9,512$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +226.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed Yes | 16c | 9,264$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d0…3df9backed Yes | 8c | 8,990$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 4c | 8,900$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.73 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…a6aabacked Yes | 2c | 8,803$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1f…2d9fbacked Yes | 2c | 8,721$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…6a0abacked Yes | 8c | 8,716$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.13 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…8a09backed Yes | 2c | 8,647$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.85 | 219 | 23.7%52 W · 167 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…471dbacked Yes | 2c | 8,537$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9b…e40fbacked Yes | 1c | 8,531$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 15c | 8,522$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.54 | 64 | 6.3%4 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a81…6a21backed Yes | 2c | 8,493$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32c9…a2ebbacked Yes | 4c | 8,197$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.35 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 19c | 8,168$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.49 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbad…2771backed Yes | 4c | 8,148$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 8,020$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.19 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa1…1fa9backed Yes | 1c | 8,000$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.31 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 4c | 8,000$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.35 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1079…18bbbacked Yes | 3c | 7,952$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.74 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa297…ac56backed Yes | 2c | 7,920$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c7…62dabacked Yes | 3c | 7,859$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.1 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 7c | 7,827$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.79 | 88 | 23.9%21 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2534…41c9backed Yes | 3c | 7,817$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.5 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 4c | 7,671$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.84 | 92 | 20.7%19 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4277…ed2fbacked Yes | 17c | 7,659$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 38cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1da7…2365backed Yes | 1c | 7,635$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76f…73d5backed Yes | 1c | 7,635$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 4c | 7,624$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.16 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a7…0dfbbacked Yes | 5c | 7,502$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66d0…81b9backed Yes | 3c | 7,499$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…6faebacked Yes | 3c | 7,449$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x735f…c2d5backed Yes | 3c | 7,188$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba9…0516backed Yes | 9c | 7,110$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.44 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Yes | 6c | 7,070$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.88 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…e887backed Yes | 4c | 6,991$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.12 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 1c | 6,984$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.3 | 382 | 39.5%151 W · 231 L | +35.9wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1833…cc31backed Yes | 1c | 6,705$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…fa0fbacked Yes | 1c | 6,704$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c32…9af4backed Yes | 4c | 6,531$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…b148backed Yes | 0c | 6,396$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…c036backed Yes | 0c | 6,343$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 73 | 0%0 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Yes | 2c | 6,237$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.32 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 21c | 6,117$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.45 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…7af9backed Yes | 3c | 6,115$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.34 | 42 | 2.4%1 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?this page
- Will Anthony Davis win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Ja Morant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Jalen Brunson win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Joel Embiid win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Kevin Durant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will LeBron James win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Paolo Banchero win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes won
- Will Stephen Curry win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Trae Young win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.