NBA · resolved market
Will Trae Young win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12817d6a15f0fb839157bc5e61f8a3e5b4c1b78da852aceb490a04f70866b2d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,969,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,969,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Yes | 0c | 111,631$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.63 | 553 | 16.5%91 W · 462 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0f…3910backed Yes | 0c | 99,292$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb8…90c7backed Yes | 0c | 98,836$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.84 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9215…5debbacked Yes | 0c | 54,288$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…d3d8backed Yes | 0c | 53,888$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe8…85c8backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7d…ec3abacked Yes | 0c | 49,711$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.71 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73b6…cbc2backed Yes | 0c | 49,591$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…d430backed Yes | 0c | 49,510$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…eaafbacked Yes | 0c | 49,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf871…d408backed Yes | 0c | 49,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…7ff0backed Yes | 0c | 49,210$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958e…ecbfbacked Yes | 0c | 49,000$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdadd…a12dbacked Yes | 0c | 48,510$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x600b…153cbacked Yes | 0c | 48,120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc9…1b5fbacked Yes | 0c | 48,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3e…c6d8backed Yes | 0c | 47,040$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92d3…3667backed Yes | 0c | 46,222$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…fca8backed Yes | 0c | 43,220$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…1040backed Yes | 0c | 43,096$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…c209backed Yes | 0c | 42,120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4219…88f8backed Yes | 0c | 41,894$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2919…264dbacked Yes | 0c | 41,518$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a24…426ebacked Yes | 0c | 41,100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1f…4912backed Yes | 0c | 41,100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3286…c473backed Yes | 0c | 41,000$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20b8…e1f0backed Yes | 0c | 41,000$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf963…5930backed Yes | 0c | 40,900$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c1…19ecbacked Yes | 0c | 40,640$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…e061backed Yes | 0c | 40,110$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.11 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80c5…2c4bbacked Yes | 0c | 39,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…7ee3backed Yes | 0c | 38,073$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x515a…561fbacked Yes | 0c | 38,073$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb96…a410backed Yes | 0c | 38,073$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x880e…afe6backed Yes | 0c | 37,500$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1317…00e8backed Yes | 0c | 37,083$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15e…a640backed Yes | 0c | 37,073$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…2e89backed Yes | 0c | 37,073$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c8…c187backed Yes | 0c | 37,070$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…7560backed Yes | 0c | 35,112$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffd…2148backed Yes | 0c | 33,210$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7315…f9a0backed Yes | 0c | 33,200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27bb…79fabacked Yes | 0c | 32,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c51…8ca3backed Yes | 0c | 31,619$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…529fbacked Yes | 0c | 31,250$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…4d17backed Yes | 0c | 28,500$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…ffd2backed Yes | 0c | 28,452$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…4dfebacked Yes | 0c | 28,439$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461d…20b8backed Yes | 0c | 28,023$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cc…0d03backed Yes | 0c | 27,765$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf656…a48dbacked Yes | 0c | 27,706$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc736…3e9ebacked Yes | 0c | 25,375$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5b…e4babacked Yes | 0c | 25,367$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c00…339cbacked Yes | 0c | 25,100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4800…6c99backed Yes | 0c | 24,887$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…c853backed Yes | 0c | 24,378$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…6484backed Yes | 0c | 24,378$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d52…0e1bbacked Yes | 0c | 24,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2a…2171backed Yes | 0c | 21,838$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb5…aa82backed Yes | 0c | 20,861$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1a…44abbacked Yes | 0c | 20,371$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc3…968cbacked Yes | 0c | 19,016$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7325…d8cabacked Yes | 0c | 18,825$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99b5…8d41backed Yes | 0c | 18,181$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb827…b1e9backed Yes | 0c | 17,684$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…84e9backed Yes | 0c | 16,844$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 0c | 15,449$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…0162backed Yes | 0c | 13,620$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb622…9c0dbacked Yes | 0c | 13,500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7e…9ab1backed Yes | 0c | 12,980$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d8…a0acbacked Yes | 0c | 12,870$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x190e…c6e2backed Yes | 0c | 12,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a56…71c3backed Yes | 0c | 12,493$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0528…47f6backed Yes | 0c | 12,493$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc8…6fb3backed Yes | 0c | 12,493$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd7…63cebacked Yes | 0c | 12,493$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…7a9bbacked Yes | 0c | 12,258$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa193…8e8cbacked Yes | 0c | 12,258$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd78…6298backed Yes | 0c | 12,258$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4afe…1b28backed Yes | 0c | 12,258$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf490…3d99backed Yes | 0c | 12,258$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…562dbacked Yes | 0c | 12,258$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8b…abbebacked Yes | 0c | 12,258$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7adb…2ca0backed Yes | 0c | 12,258$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b26…628cbacked Yes | 0c | 12,258$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe6…f98ebacked Yes | 0c | 12,258$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc9…ea5abacked Yes | 0c | 12,258$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd732…1bf1backed Yes | 0c | 12,258$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…f1fdbacked Yes | 0c | 12,258$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…85cfbacked Yes | 0c | 12,258$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5260…7e62backed Yes | 0c | 12,258$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb59b…3e7cbacked Yes | 0c | 12,258$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd49c…4f34backed Yes | 0c | 12,258$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f7…464cbacked Yes | 0c | 12,258$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd9…d732backed Yes | 0c | 12,258$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dc…bf53backed Yes | 0c | 12,258$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3457…4fa2backed Yes | 0c | 12,258$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d8…5e8cbacked Yes | 0c | 12,258$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e01…cae5backed Yes | 0c | 12,258$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda40…7543backed Yes | 0c | 12,258$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trae Young win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?this page
- Will Anthony Davis win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Ja Morant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Jalen Brunson win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Joel Embiid win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Kevin Durant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will LeBron James win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Paolo Banchero win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes won
- Will Stephen Curry win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.