TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdadd…a12d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
91
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT7150.7%36 W · 35 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trae Young win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.51
Bulls vs. Lakersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Wizards vs. Magicbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$21.46
Suns vs. Bucksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+89%+$9.05
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+234.4%+$25.79
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$5.44
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Warriors vs. Thunderbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.3
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+246%+$24.85
Nets vs. Heatbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.3
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+100%+$10.32
Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$18.45
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+132.6%+$15.91
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$4.94
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Kings vs. Rocketsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.15
Hornets vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+81.8%+$8.26
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+112.8%+$12.4
Magic vs. Clippers: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+122.2%+$20.35
Magic vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+69.5%+$7.64
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+203%+$24.36
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+122.2%+$13.44
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+28.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Oilersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Jets vs. Blackhawksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10.6
Canucks vs. Rangersbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Flyers vs. Canadiensbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+112.8%+$12.4
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$10.22
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$5.18
Utah vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.4
Capitals vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$10.56
Rangers vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$12.42
Flyers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$4.71
Lightning vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$9.22
Lightning vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$14.66
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Northwestern Wildcatsbacked Northwestern Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+31.6%+$3.25
Marquette Golden Eagles vs. DePaul Blue Demonsbacked DePaul Blue Demons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Brewers vs. Padresbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$12.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lucknow Super Giants vs. Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$9.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+37%+$4.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$126
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.