TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Stars vs. Jets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jetsof Stars, Jets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$313,229
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$317,549

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $313,229 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 297 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x727b…d1a2backed Stars31c48,123$15,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,143.811441.2%47 W · 67 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Stars44c30,089$13,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,239.0416645.8%76 W · 90 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Jets58c28,109$16,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,911.2110343.7%45 W · 58 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Jets56c19,812$11,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,717.4110745.8%49 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa99c…3070backed Stars15c19,645$2,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,99029319.8%58 W · 235 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Jets76c17,237$13,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,193.4492848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Jets77c12,849$9,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,005.8617448.9%85 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ed…16f3backed Jets57c10,000$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,300666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Stars43c9,500$4,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0405164.7%33 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Stars43c9,444$4,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,060.881,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Stars20c8,087$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,620.281,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed Jets55c6,948$3,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,130.82339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Jets58c5,844$3,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,437.411,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Jets55c5,818$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,618.1831546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6ac…957dbacked Jets56c5,700$3,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,507.984650%23 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Jets49c5,374$2,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,736.887361.6%45 W · 28 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+25.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Stars47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,35021652.3%113 W · 103 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Stars46c4,482$2,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,066.166951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5248…aabbbacked Jets56c4,444$2,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,933.145147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Jets77c4,310$3,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9871,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Stars45c4,000$1,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,81048050.6%243 W · 237 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc84…3e67backed Stars19c3,807$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.564852.1%25 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jets79c3,065$2,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.243,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Stars42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26011354%61 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Stars10c3,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb608…ebdfbacked Stars5c2,913$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.545820.7%12 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Jets50c2,710$1,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,343.571,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce4d…a7fabacked Stars19c2,699$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.8625555.3%141 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Jets79c2,638$2,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.0158467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Jets58c2,588$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.214151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Stars43c2,500$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,07520751.2%106 W · 101 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Stars42c2,491$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.2539752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa78d…e8cbbacked Stars1c2,361$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.641216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick16cpaid+27.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Jets55c2,274$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.161,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccba…0ce8backed Stars11c2,266$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.284434.1%15 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6641…4a1abacked Stars46c2,171$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2758…66e1backed Stars44c2,150$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Jets60c2,005$1,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.0737738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc91a…c6b8backed Stars29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5801942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2198…d9d4backed Stars46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…2e0cbacked Stars44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Jets53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94097651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5237…89babacked Stars44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.37per pick41cpaid+123.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Jets55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.997352.1%38 W · 35 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8320…2114backed Stars48c1,950$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+28.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x024a…decbbacked Stars54c1,850$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9995752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fc1…9378backed Stars49c1,850$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.530%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Jets56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.7110739.3%42 W · 65 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1f84…560fbacked Stars45c1,667$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7504856.3%27 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Stars2c1,622$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.771458.3%12 W · 133 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+135.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a9e…f27abacked Jets54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6902669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+27.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8ed…5109backed Stars46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.9740%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf619…4efebacked Stars46c1,480$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.78540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Stars46c1,424$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.216850%34 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Stars43c1,409$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.7711145.9%51 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed Jets57c1,400$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6022751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Stars46c1,400$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.496850%34 W · 34 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0b8…0646backed Stars23c1,327$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008741.4%36 W · 51 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Jets51c1,196$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.9884051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05ce…7d8bbacked Jets54c1,020$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.19250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x338b…2c07backed Jets56c1,014$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Jets57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7976…653fbacked Stars47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Stars44c999.97$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.992661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x19e7…0ebcbacked Jets52c992$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf3c…29babacked Jets51c990$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2149…1e99backed Jets56c986$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x902b…92edbacked Jets54c980$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Stars41c976$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.1672847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2d2…c66abacked Jets52c969$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Stars46c862.87$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.9229748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Jets58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.077163.4%45 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb33…9d2fbacked Jets51c859$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.91250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Stars45c822.36$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.2920649.5%102 W · 104 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Stars20c800$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16019548.2%94 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x698a…e498backed Stars18c773.81$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1382650%13 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Jets56c744$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.3675155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Stars7c608.45$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4254418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Jets51c605.88$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.885653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Stars46c600.02$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.0151044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe0…2576backed Stars6c600$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.99119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick24cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Jets48c600$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31231753.9%171 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed Stars17c579.15$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.868425%21 W · 63 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Stars44c553.89$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.719543.2%41 W · 54 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Stars4c550.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.041895.3%10 W · 179 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Jets57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21535154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc79c…1266backed Jets54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2302100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabaf…4073backed Jets54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f69…23cbbacked Stars6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011127%30 W · 81 L+0.4wins0.00per pick27cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b2c…284cbacked Jets54c484.98$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.986848.5%33 W · 35 L-7.5wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Jets80c481.46$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.1819848.5%96 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b02…393ebacked Stars45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Stars44c442$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.4820147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Stars47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012556.8%71 W · 54 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa124…4891backed Stars5c402.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202035%7 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Jets57c401.75$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.757454.1%40 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Stars5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2037254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbd6…21a7backed Stars24c400$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Jets52c394.98$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.5986649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Jets78c376.98$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.4813043.8%57 W · 73 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.