TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6b02…393e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
255
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: College Football, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 60 out of 100; worst Premier League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST5448.1%26 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Broncos (-8.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$193.8
Cardinals vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+92.3%+$144
Seahawks vs. Commandersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+75.4%+$47.3
Spread: Lions (-8.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$204
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$265
Packers vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$129
49ers vs. Texansbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$240
Texans vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$69.8
Buccaneers vs. Lionsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Falcons vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$254.99
Spread: Patriots (-6.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$423
Lions vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$193.5
Patriots vs. Billsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$376.19
Spread: Bills (-6.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$137.5
Spread: Dolphins (-2.5)backed Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$188
Spread: Ravens (-2.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$312
Ravens vs. Chiefsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$290
Eagles vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$108
Spread: Chargers (-3.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$180
Chargers vs. Giantsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$156
Vikings vs. Steelersbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$168
Spread: BAL (-4.5)backed BAL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Lions vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: KC (-6.5)backed KC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$104
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST5341.5%22 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$367
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$299
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$338
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$151.54
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$245
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$205
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$281.99
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+123.9%+$497.99
Red Sox vs. Blue Jaysbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$176
Red Sox vs. Blue Jaysbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$204.44
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacksbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$365
Red Sox vs. Blue Jaysbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$414.29
Red Sox vs. Raysbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$179.99
Athletics vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$233.33
Rangers vs. Diamondbacksbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+141.4%+$204.99
Guardians vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+68.8%+$163
Padres vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$114.4
Twins vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Rays vs. Guardiansbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Red Sox vs. Oriolesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$144
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$123
Dodgers vs. Padresbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$116.6
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT3336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$216
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+125.4%+$612
Kings vs. Thunderbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$105
Celtics vs. Pelicansbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$246
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$220
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+284%+$232.04
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$132
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$104
Will Lebron James retire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
NBA Finals G5: Will Haliburton score 17+ points against the Thunder? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$115
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$122.58
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$113
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked T-Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$138.1
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+165.4%+$480.83
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Denver Nuggets win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$357.61
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Nuggets (To Advance)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$491.81
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.23
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$100.19
NBA Playoffs: Nuggets vs. Clippers (To Advance)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Will the Nuggets beat the Clippers 4-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$104.3
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST2846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Canucksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+132.6%+$114
Canucks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$380.71
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,826Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,826.16
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Will the Oilers beat the Panthers 4-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$160
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$604Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+112.6%+$680.61
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$139.83
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$131
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$108.62
Jets vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$270.55
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$379.09
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$98
Jets vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$90.91
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$132.56
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$192.16
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$312.18
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+70.3%+$208.72
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$177
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$220
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$110.99
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST2166.7%14 W · 7 L+4.3wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+56.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
College Football — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ohio State vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Ball Statebacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$120
USC vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$270
Washington vs. Michiganbacked Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$145
Duke vs. Californiabacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$205
BYU vs. Coloradobacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$123
Oregon vs. Penn Statebacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$90
Michigan vs. Nebraskabacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$304.62
Texas Tech vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$417
Iowa vs. Rutgersbacked Rutgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$188
Minnesota vs. Californiabacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+134.4%+$403.21
New Mexico vs. UCLAbacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+84.8%+$254.38
Michigan vs. Oklahomabacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Spread: USC (-27.5)backed USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$105.6
South Florida vs. Floridabacked South Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+733.3%+$440
TCU vs. North Carolinabacked North Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$172.01
Notre Dame vs. Miamibacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+122.1%+$373.79
Utah vs. UCLAbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$103.06
Alabama vs. Florida Statebacked Florida State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+77.5%+$131
Texas vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$230
Stanford vs. Hawaiibacked Hawai'i · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+83.6%+$236.58
All 21 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 6, 2025, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick43cpaid+64.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+53.2%+$197.87
Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2025 US Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+54.1%+$105.3
US Open: Felix Auger Aliassime vs Alex de Minaurbacked Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$102.6
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Taylor Fritzbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+57.6%+$203.25
ATP Cincinnati - Sinner vs. Alcaraz backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$236.61
Wimbledon Final – Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.67
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 French Open? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$924Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$924.23
French Open: Sabalenka vs. Qinwenbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$120
Will Ben Shelton win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
French Open: Paolini vs. Svitolinabacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+400%+$400
All 10 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-39.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-39.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-76.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
WNBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick32cpaid+47%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 24, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-09-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$135
Will Sevilla win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford backed Crawford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$610
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Sep 24, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+75.8%+$202.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$102
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$88.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gold Cup Final Winner: USA vs. Mexico backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.