College Football · resolved market
Michigan vs. Nebraska
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ee322293f4ed5459114fc50ea6a918b128e82e43c57fce563e12c802ef44a93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michiganof Michigan, Nebraska
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,037,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,272,671
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,037,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Michigan | 51c | 196,087$100,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,082.47 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Michigan | 51c | 119,360$60,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,787.51 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Nebraska | 49c | 95,137$46,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,617.1 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Michigan | 62c | 94,057$58,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,881.75 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Nebraska | 46c | 42,618$19,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,718.41 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Nebraska | 49c | 42,154$20,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,655.67 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Nebraska | 50c | 40,490$20,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,044.94 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Nebraska | 38c | 40,038$15,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,097.24 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Nebraska | 49c | 34,903$17,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,102.93 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Nebraska | 46c | 33,372$15,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,192.7 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Michigan | 61c | 32,681$20,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,618.11 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nebraska | 42c | 30,330$12,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,697.9 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nebraska | 51c | 30,131$15,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,296.89 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Michigan | 53c | 26,038$13,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,312.19 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Nebraska | 47c | 21,918$10,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,373.23 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Michigan | 47c | 21,331$9,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,357.05 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Nebraska | 49c | 20,477$10,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,066.77 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Nebraska | 49c | 19,450$9,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,530.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcc…441bbacked Nebraska | 38c | 11,906$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Nebraska | 27c | 9,678$2,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,607.67 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nebraska | 19c | 9,269$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796.62 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Nebraska | 41c | 7,941$3,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,267.89 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Michigan | 51c | 7,000$3,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,434.99 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Michigan | 58c | 5,778$3,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,402.74 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f0…60dabacked Michigan | 56c | 5,310$2,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,314.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Michigan | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc913…e51cbacked Nebraska | 46c | 4,745$2,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,181.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x448f…f063backed Michigan | 51c | 4,500$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Nebraska | 50c | 4,001$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f89…0d03backed Nebraska | 48c | 3,698$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.19 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Nebraska | 41c | 3,499$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.11 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Nebraska | 41c | 3,377$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Michigan | 52c | 3,240$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.38 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Nebraska | 52c | 3,238$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.25 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Nebraska | 46c | 3,237$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.89 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Michigan | 64c | 2,892$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.41 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2dc…5ac3backed Nebraska | 36c | 2,745$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Nebraska | 15c | 2,710$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.39 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9db7…7e1fbacked Michigan | 55c | 2,667$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +114.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nebraska | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Nebraska | 27c | 2,475$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.23 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…9e63backed Michigan | 53c | 2,359$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.58 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Michigan | 57c | 2,311$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.66 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Nebraska | 49c | 2,164$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.66 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Michigan | 54c | 1,958$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.13 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9830…df31backed Michigan | 51c | 1,906$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Nebraska | 45c | 1,785$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Michigan | 56c | 1,556$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.25 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Michigan | 53c | 1,200$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Michigan | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Nebraska | 54c | 1,098$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.44 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Nebraska | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Nebraska | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf208…314ebacked Nebraska | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Michigan | 56c | 962.8$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…392cbacked Nebraska | 43c | 943.12$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.87 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Michigan | 57c | 939.16$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.88 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Nebraska | 47c | 930$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.67 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Nebraska | 27c | 912$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.51 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Nebraska | 33c | 881.66$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.15 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Nebraska | 42c | 806.44$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.87 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Michigan | 53c | 759.68$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.25 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked Michigan | 52c | 752.94$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.09 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Nebraska | 48c | 751.96$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.94 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Nebraska | 48c | 700$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x602e…0717backed Nebraska | 37c | 667.3$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Nebraska | 45c | 667$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.15 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nebraska | 33c | 635.93$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.01 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Michigan | 52c | 634.62$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.62 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Nebraska | 45c | 630$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.5 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Michigan | 56c | 625.32$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.32 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cd…1863backed Michigan | 56c | 599.59$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Michigan | 52c | 590$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.2 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nebraska | 25c | 580.28$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.12 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Michigan | 51c | 541.05$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.28 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Nebraska | 29c | 524.34$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.06 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Nebraska | 45c | 507$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.15 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9e…46b5backed Nebraska | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +229.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Michigan | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Michigan | 53c | 459.99$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Nebraska | 50c | 449.19$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.6 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked Michigan | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b8…1235backed Nebraska | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Michigan | 51c | 390.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.98 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Nebraska | 3c | 366$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eff…8490backed Nebraska | 49c | 363.67$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…aba5backed Nebraska | 41c | 336.59$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Nebraska | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Nebraska | 28c | 306.4$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.98 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Michigan | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Michigan | 68c | 290.69$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.68 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Michigan | 64c | 283.24$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.93 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cae…f15ebacked Nebraska | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Nebraska | 29c | 269.07$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.03 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Michigan | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Michigan | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbba…d41ebacked Nebraska | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Nebraska | 49c | 237.84$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.54 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d61…fba4backed Michigan | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Michigan | 57c | 232.52$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.52 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Michigan vs. Nebraskathis page
- Michigan vs. Nebraska: O/U 47.5Over won
- Spread: Michigan (-1.5)Michigan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.