TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1a90…8218

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
663
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST24751%126 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 247 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,056Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,056.27
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$197
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$527Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$526.67
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+176.2%+$176.24
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$680
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,940Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+92.1%+$1,786.99
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,100
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$520
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$618Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$617.6
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$323.44
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$201
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+90.7%+$453.62
Brewers vs. Piratesbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$601Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$472.01
Phillies vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+100%+$50
Rangers vs. Diamondbacksbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.2
Rangers vs. Diamondbacksbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+161.9%+$120.54
Orioles vs. Padresbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$6.35
Phillies vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Guardians vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$45.26
Mets vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 247 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST11854.2%64 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 118 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+92.3%+$24
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+75.4%+$17.35
Spread: Hornets (-2.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+112.8%+$53
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$31.22
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$39.02
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$87
Spread: Nets (-4.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Wizards vs. Netsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+75.4%+$21.88
76ers vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+102%+$40.4
76ers vs. Lakersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$24.34
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+72.4%+$21
76ers vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+88.7%+$23.06
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$146
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+100%+$59
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+132.6%+$19.46
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+100%+$30
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
76ers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12.3
Showing 25 of 118 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST8557.6%49 W · 36 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$288.93
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$719Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+77.8%+$559.67
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Spread: 49ers (-5.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+108.3%+$54.3
49ers vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$23.03
1H Spread: 49ers (-2.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+85.2%+$28.19
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$537Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+138.8%+$745.59
Steelers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$112.35
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+170.3%+$151.54
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$410.59
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$95.37
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,112Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$1,112.24
Vikings vs. Cowboysbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+203%+$135.73
Lions vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,025Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+42.9%+$439.15
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+88.7%+$188
Spread: Buccaneers (-4.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Falcons vs. Buccaneers: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Texans vs. Chiefs: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+72.4%+$94.14
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+194.1%+$271.76
Spread: Chiefs (-4.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+100%+$100
LAR vs. Cardinalsbacked LAR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$926Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+25%+$231.48
Seahawks vs. Falconsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,151Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+35.3%+$406.16
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST6162.3%38 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Washington State vs. Utah Statebacked Utah State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$95.65
Miami vs. Texas A&Mbacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+116.3%+$411.6
Alabama vs. Oklahomabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+127.3%+$140
Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hensbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+108.3%+$216.67
Troy vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+100%+$117
Boise State vs. Washingtonbacked Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$775Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+33.3%+$258.31
Army vs. Navybacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+75.4%+$150.88
Duke vs. Virginiabacked Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$119
Ohio State vs. Indianabacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$539Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$539.15
Spread: Georgia (-2.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$106
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-12.5)backed BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$77
Spread: Western Michigan (-2.5)backed Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Miami (OH) vs. Western Michiganbacked Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+75.4%+$40.34
Spread: North Texas (-2.5)backed Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+85.2%+$63.88
North Texas vs. Tulanebacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+25%+$22.75
Alabama vs. Auburnbacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+53.8%+$185.77
LSU vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$588Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+93.2%+$548.25
Oregon vs. Washingtonbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,023Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+37%+$378.44
Missouri vs. Arkansasbacked Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+99.6%+$139.43
Texas A&M vs. Texasbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,021Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$1,020.88
BYU vs. Cincinnatibacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+72.4%+$210
USC vs. Oregonbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$708Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+27%+$191.01
Texas vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+56.3%+$180
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST4654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Flamesbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$301.62
Stars vs. Bluesbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Predators vs. Bruinsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Golden Knights vs. Canadiensbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.05
Sabres vs. Maple Leafsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+96.1%+$21.14
Utah vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Lightning vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Sabres vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Predators vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Avalanche vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Blue Jackets vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+28.2%+$53.48
Kraken vs. Sharksbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+102.5%+$204.19
Avalanche vs. Krakenbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+83.5%+$222.02
Sabres vs. Krakenbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+75.1%+$163.79
Kings vs. Krakenbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$174
Devils vs. Senatorsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+117.4%+$144.39
Wild vs. Krakenbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+78.6%+$176
Red Wings vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$85
Flames vs. Canucksbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+124.4%+$124.44
Blues vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+96.1%+$93.2
Utah vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+100%+$50
Jets vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Capitals vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$160
Panthers vs. Ducksbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2025, EDT4346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aces vs. Mercurybacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$840Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+153.1%+$1,285.14
Mercury vs. Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Mercury vs. Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$132.56
Lynx vs. Mercurybacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$559Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$559.42
Lynx vs. Mercurybacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$470
Fever vs. Acesbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Fever vs. Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Liberty vs. Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Lynx vs. Feverbacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Liberty vs. Stormbacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+58.9%+$104.28
Lynx vs. Acesbacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Liberty vs. Valkyriesbacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Fever vs. Mercurybacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Sparks vs. Stormbacked Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$79
Dream vs. Sunbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Liberty vs. Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$76.67
Sun vs. Wingsbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Aces vs. Dreambacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Mercury vs. Sparksbacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+66%+$106.1
Liberty vs Lynxbacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Aces vs Wingsbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$8.48
Valkyries vs Stormbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.2
Mystics vs Sparksbacked Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+78.1%+$89.81
Fever vs Sunbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$59
Mercury vs Valkyriesbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$424.66
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST2445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Rybakina (+1.5)backed Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.82
Brisbane International: Mirra Andreeva vs Olivia Gadeckibacked Gadecki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Marin Cilic vs Nuno Borgesbacked Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+45.4%+$18.15
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$242.58
ATP Kitzbuhel: Misolic vs. Etcheverrybacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.61
ATP Kitzbuhel: Ofner vs. Struffbacked Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.55
Swiss Open: Cazaux vs. Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$25.71
Nordea Open: Carabelli vs. De Jongbacked Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Swiss Open: Kym vs. Cazauxbacked Cazaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Nordea Open: Baez vs. Darderibacked Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Swiss Open: Comesana vs. Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+71.2%+$39.84
Nordea Open: De Jong vs. Griekspoorbacked De Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Swiss Open: Burruchaga vs. Buse backed Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,184Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+107.4%+$1,270.82
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$490.95
Wimbledon Final – Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$772Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$772.25
Wimbledon Final – Anisimova vs. Swiatekbacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$160
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Djokovic backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$516Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+47.5%+$244.87
Wimbledon: Anisimova vs. Pavlyuchenkovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$21.36
Wimbledon: Andreeva vs. Navarro (W)backed Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$534Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+61.9%+$330.78
Wimbledon: Mertens vs. Svitolina (W) backed Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$297.29
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,324Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,324.15
French Open: Sabalenka vs. Gauffbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$304
All 24 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-1.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$298.37
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$79.4
Spread: Chattanooga Mocs (-9.5)backed Chattanooga Mocs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Drexel Dragons vs. Elon Phoenixbacked Elon Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Villanova Wildcats vs. Georgetown Hoyasbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$40.35
UNCW Seahawks vs. Towson Tigersbacked Towson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$100.58
San Francisco Dons vs. Santa Clara Broncosbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+25%+$20
Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. Nevada Wolf Packbacked Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+53.5%+$106.68
Spread: Pittsburgh Panthers (-1.5)backed Pittsburgh Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+104.1%+$52.04
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Pittsburgh Panthersbacked Pittsburgh Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+203%+$44.67
Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs. Prairie View A&M Panthersbacked Prairie View A&M Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Arizona Wildcats vs. BYU Cougarsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$882Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+37.8%+$333.36
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Ole Miss Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$22
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick43cpaid+60.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+112%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$48
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Delhi Capitals vs. Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$96.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.